TR on Hartman
Terry Ryan was on the Chad Hartman Show on KFAN yesterday. Ryan was blunt about things as usual. These are my impressions from the segment, although if you think you have a different take feel free to add.
- TR gave the distinct impression that he was going to spend ZERO dollars on offense this winter on the free agent market. He said he was happy with the offense this year and sounded a bit gun-shy over the Batista experiment and not landing Frank Thomas, which he characterized as "my fault." He said something to the effect of "we finally got to 800 runs and that's where we need to be."
- When Hartman pressed him on this, saying that he thought that the Twins still needed to add a #3 hitter, Ryan reminded him that Mauer is only 23 and is expected to grow into that role. Interesting that Mauer won a batting title this year and both Ryan and Hartman sounded somewhat disappointed in his production. The impression that I got is that Ryan expects Mauer to be the "big bat" that many are looking for.
- It sounded like Ryan would bring back Silva, saying that Carlos is "someone that Rick Anderson can work with."
- Ryan said all loose change would be spent on starting pitching. He did not sound very confident in the young starters being ready, and stressed that the Twins identity is pitching and defense. He also stated that many of his moves will hinge on whether Liriano shows progress this fall.
- He was unsure on bringing back Rondell White.
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60 comments
Comments
You forgot...
by ubelmann on Oct 11, 2006 2:13 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Well,
by wcooley on Oct 12, 2006 3:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How about talent?
I also think you could do worse than Gardy, but I would never mention him in a conversation about really good managers.
by ubelmann on Oct 12, 2006 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Talent
Gardy has had a lot of talent in the bullpen. He's also used that talent very well.
It's fun to second-guess the manager and to point out his shortcomings, that's part of being a fan. But as long as Pohlad owns the team and TR is GM, debates about Gardy's future with the Twins will be academic.
by wcooley on Oct 12, 2006 6:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Again...
I think the Twins could probably do better than Gardy, but there aren't that many guys out there who are both good at in-game strategies and good at keeping players in line. I don't see any obvious candidates out there that would do a whole lot better than Gardy. And teams just don't fire managers when they are winning. (It's a whole chapter in Earl Weaver's book on managing a baseball team.)
Like you said, though, it's fun to dissect his moves, so here we are.
by ubelmann on Oct 12, 2006 7:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
fired
But plenty of other people do think he should be let go, or that he is an "idiot" or a "dunce" (see Adamonfirst's comment below).
And if people take the tack that Gardy won the first two titles by default because the rest of the division was horrible, then what do these people say about this year, when the Central was the best division in baseball and he still won it?
by wcooley on Oct 12, 2006 10:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That
Also note I didn't call him a dunce, but I did say he plays the part sometimes.
by AdamOnFirst on Oct 12, 2006 10:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Cuddyer
He was given a chance in the past and he didn't take it. That he was able to at age 27 and not at age 25 is not exactly unusual.
by TT on Oct 13, 2006 10:05 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Chance
by AdamOnFirst on Oct 13, 2006 12:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yep...
Gardy better give Kubel a real shot (if he's healthy) next year.
by djskilbr on Oct 13, 2006 12:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Restovich
Ah...spare outfielders of the past: Ford, Rabe, Tyner. Ryan, Restovich, Kielty, Buchanan. Mohr, Allen, Barnes, McCracken, Cummings. Latham, Ochoa, Kelly, Brede, Cole. Where did they all go!
by twintown on Oct 13, 2006 2:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Restovich
Ah...spare outfielders of the past: Ford, Rabe, Tyner. Ryan, Restovich, Kielty, Buchanan. Mohr, Allen, Barnes, McCracken, Cummings. Latham, Ochoa, Kelly, Brede, Cole. Where did they all go!
by twintown on Oct 13, 2006 2:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Cuddyer and Kubel
He was handed a job twice and told it was his.
I am sure getting a regular job and settling in helped Cuddyer. I think that was was what the Twins hoped would happen when they stuck him in the outfield mix in spring training and left him there.
Where are the people who were complaining about the same thing with Kubel after his hot June. How the Twins didn't give him a chance and should have just stuck him in the lineup. I'm sure they learned something from that that they can share here. Or maybe they didn't.
by TT on Oct 13, 2006 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ok
A guy that hasn't faced big league pitchers in real games in a year isn't exactly a good parallel I know no ones a exact match but let's remember having all of you ligaments in your chopped to bits isn't easy to recover from (See Culpepper, Daute) this year he was still playing with a brace in spring training and some set backs were a good possible one that I hoped wouldn't happen but it did. And in the month he received regular playing time this was his batting line .333/.365/.580 after that his knees started hurting and he waited 2 weeks then told the team after the all-star break.
His other line (the rest of his year) is like rondell white's from the first half of the year yet they kept playing him. This just goes to reinforce my view that if you don't impress Gardy right away and wait say a month to get hot it's already too late.
On An unrelated note I'll be interested to see what happens next April if Cuddyer struggles like he has before and if there's any difference in how Gardy plays him in comparison to white this year
by FrozenTed9 on Oct 13, 2006 3:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Kubel
Finally, Kubel was playing more and more everyday, partly because he was forcing the team to do so. We never, unfortunatly, got to see if he would havve been benched for some slumping, because his knees effectivly ended his sseason.
That was a most uinfortunate injury, and I think it has to be clear he'll never have all the tools he once did, but he can still be a very solid hitter and a decent outfiedler, and I hope he'll be healthy enough to do that this year.
by AdamOnFirst on Oct 13, 2006 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
Kubel should have been sent to Rochester to start the year regardless of his hitting in a few spring training games. Cuddyer should have had right field to himself starting the year regardless of his hammy tweak. Bartlett....well you know how I feel.
I wrote a long diary coming out of spring training about these snap decisions by Gardy. I hope they fix this next spring. Fortunately, they won't have as many of these competitions in spring training and most of the players can relax and use the practice to get ready for their seasons. Considering how meaningles spring training at bats are (pitchers are just getting their work in), I'm surprised they place as much emphasis on spring training performances.
by cmathewson on Oct 13, 2006 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just to be clear...
by djskilbr on Oct 13, 2006 5:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly
I hope Kubel gets healthy enough to play Winter Ball, because it sure sounds like a repeat of last year with Bartlett. Ryan "strongly suggested" that Bartlett play Winter Ball. When Bartlett opted to work out at Lee County instead, his status with the organization was dropped down a notch, even to the point of several in the org suggesting that the Twins should acquire a shortstop and others saying this was Bartlett's last chance. That came after a pretty good second half of the year in the majors in 2005.
On Hartman, Ryan said his strongly suggesting that Kubel play Winter Ball makes it not really optional. But, in my view, Kubel should not play Winter Ball unless his legs are healthy. If playing Winter Ball prevents him from getting his legs healthy, he'll be worthless to the team in Spring Training. At that point, it will be too late to acquire a left fielder who can hit a little and play good defense. If Kubel's knees come around before Winter Ball, he'll be on track to be the everyday left fielder in 2007. If not, he'll be in Bartlett's position next year and possibly make a contribution in the second half.
We're kind of in the same boat this year as last relative to Liriano and Kubel. Both are huge question marks going into the offseason who have tremendous upside. If both get healthy enough to play as they are capable, I like our chances next year.
by cmathewson on Oct 13, 2006 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wonder.....
by twintown on Oct 13, 2006 6:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If
I think that some of Ryan's concern is Kubel has not worked hard enough to rehab his knees to be ready for winter ball. This is a concern. If this is true, that Kubel hasn't worked hard enough, it has a number of causes that probably factor in more or less. The first being Kubel just isn't a hard enough rehabber. he doesn't hit the gym hard enough. I really hope that is alesser cause, because that attitude wont make you a good player. Another contributing factor was that they should have shut him down. By mid-August it was pretty clear he was doing nothing for the team and indeed he recieved very very few at bats the last 6 weeks. HE would almost definitely have been better off working out and playing a bit in the instructional league than sitting around on the bench watching the team play.
by AdamOnFirst on Oct 13, 2006 8:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Kubel's work habits
And unlike some other posters here, I think Pat Reusse is a very good baseball mind, a fantastic writer and a hard working reporter. I look forward to his columns.
by wcooley on Oct 15, 2006 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ah
So we'll see how that turns out. I hope it was just sepculaion on his part and not something Ryna said.
by AdamOnFirst on Oct 15, 2006 5:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Reusse
by TT on Oct 15, 2006 5:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Gopher Hockey
by wcooley on Oct 15, 2006 10:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
In this case
I think some in the organization plant this information with the press to light a fire under certain players. That seemed to be the case with Jayson Bartlett, who got hammered in the press while Castro was going to be a future gold glove winner. The message in this case is: If you work hard Kubel, there's a job for you next year. If not, we'll acquire someone.
by cmathewson on Oct 15, 2006 10:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't
Jim Rantz's comment below is more enlightening.
As far as Kubel being ahead of schedule in June, was that actually said by teh Twins or was that your response.
I don't trust Ruesse, amd I don't want to think Kubel is lazy, but it is aways a possibility.
by AdamOnFirst on Oct 16, 2006 1:33 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Where I get my information
The time frame for his full recovery was 18 months from November 2004. So he should have been fully healed by April of 2006. My bad. I believed the reports from the strib that said he was ahead of schedule.
by cmathewson on Oct 16, 2006 10:55 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
18
by twintown on Oct 16, 2006 11:28 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
BTW
September .228 ba .259 obp .267 slg
In August he had 8 doubles, in September he had 1. Did anyone notice if teams were pitching him different?
And his defense went from what I would term "fantastic" to what I would term "jayvee." I was almost hoping that there would be news of a nagging injury. I do think that Gardy could have given him a day off here or there.
JB better not get off to a slow start next year or his days at SS will be numbered.
by wcooley on Oct 16, 2006 10:22 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's not quite fair
by cmathewson on Oct 16, 2006 11:00 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Bartlett in New York
Strongly advocating Bartlett over Castro was one thing, favorably comparing Bartlett to Jeter is a sign of lost perspective.
If Bartlett plays like he did in September and the post-season to start next year Casilla will replace him by June 1.
by wcooley on Oct 16, 2006 12:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sorry...
by djskilbr on Oct 16, 2006 12:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm sorry
Bartlett had a very good June/July/August. But the comparison to Jeter is ridiculous.
And the Twins cannot afford to be patient with him if he plays like he did in Sept./Oct.
by wcooley on Oct 16, 2006 12:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
When Jeter was a rookie
Please explain to me why the Twins can't afford to be patient with Bartlett. Patience has helped the team a little with Cuddyer and Morneau. Why wouldn't it help with Bartlett? I'm confused as to why you would prefer a AA second baseman to Bartlett. That's just a knee jerk reaction, if you ask me, emphasis on the jerk.
by cmathewson on Oct 16, 2006 1:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Any
The Twins can't afford to be patient because they know that they have a very good shot to win the World Series next year. If their shortstop flounders like he did at the end of this year they will need to make a move.
How old was Jeter when he was a rookie? By the time he was Bartlett's age he had already put in several good years.
I hope Bartlett plays more like he did in June/July/August next year. I hope Gardy gives him some days off. I hope the Twins win the world series. I hope Scarlett Johannson calls me tonite. But I'm worried these things might not happen.
by wcooley on Oct 16, 2006 1:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, just look at priorities
I agree, if he flounders like he did in September and October for the first three months next year, they'll have to do something. I would put the likelihood of that at around .5 %. He has had four consecutive excellent seasons. He has tended to wear down late in all of those years. He has never taken those struggles into spring training the following year. Projecting that he would, let alone that he would take them three months past spring training, is just bad forcasting. Feel free to make bad projections, but don't expect me to just leave them alone unquestioned.
Yeah I have affection for him. A big part of that is that no matter what he does on the field, he never seems to get any respect. I wonder why that is. The Twins have not exactly thrived at shortstop ever in their history. Zoillo was great for like three years. Since then, they've had one all-star shortstop in 40 years, and he blew out his shoulder at the all-star game and was never the same player afterwards. Bartlett has a chance to be better than anybody since Zoillo. He's a better hitter than Gagne and he's as good in the field, according to Gardy and TK. He's not yet had one full year in the majors, and already people are calling for the next guy, a guy who started last year in A ball (at the same age Bartlett was in A ball, BTW).
by cmathewson on Oct 16, 2006 1:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jason
Let's say he wasn't tired though, and that is no excuse. Let's say he just played terribly for september without reason.
He still had a great overall season, hitting over .300, boosting our defensive range, getting on base at a nice clip and displaying gap power at times. Good players are entitled to bad months. Justin Morneau had a terrible start, Torri Hunter had a bad moth in there, Santana had a bad month, Cuddyer had a big slump, Radke was abysmal for two months and he's still everybody's hero. Why? Dspite some extended periods of struggle, they still had good overall years. Bartlett did too, and it is ridiculous to be talking about replacing him at this point. Have we learned nothing? Did your eyes see nothing? He played great on both sides of the ball this year!
As for the Jeter analogy, I understand the argument, but I think the euphimism is decieving. THe point is, in a market like NY, if a shortstop came in and improved the team like that, he'd have the media worshipping him, just like Jeter did after one good postseason. After 1996, Jeter was set in stone as a star forever.
So i don't know what's up, up why are we still wondering about Jason Bartlett. He's shown he's a good player over long periods of time twice now.
He's an ancor of the team beyond the stars for years to cme and I'm excited for the dynamic 2008 Bartlett-Casilla Dp combo.
by AdamOnFirst on Oct 16, 2006 1:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Two months
He still had a great overall season
No, he had a great two months from mid-June to mid-August. After that he struggled.
He's shown he's a good player over long periods of time twice now.
Again, that really isn't true. He had the same thing happen last year when he came back from Rochester. He started out hot and then cooled off, a lot. He ended up hitting the second half the same way he did the first half.
If he hits .242 next year, like he did last year, I am willing to bet all the fans excited about his defense will start to notice some flaws.
I don't think Cassillas is going to take Bartlett's job next year. But I would not be surprised if some fans are screaming for that move some time around mid-year.
by TT on Oct 16, 2006 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
One month
But I would not be surprised if some fans are screaming for that move some time around mid-year.
I agree with that. I wouldn't be surprised if he's hitting .350 and some fans are screaming for the next guy. If they're screaming now after one of only three seasons in Twins history in which a shortstop hit over .300, they'll find some reason to scream about his deficiencies. It's a mystery to me as to why. It's not as though he's filling big shoes or anything.
by cmathewson on Oct 16, 2006 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ditto
by AdamOnFirst on Oct 16, 2006 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Reality check
So what? There are lots of players who hit just fine at AAA and struggle when major league scouts and pitchers work them over.
He hit .300 in late August
After going 4 for 4 against Cleveland on the 16th, he went 9 for 41 the rest of the month. He stopped hitting in mid-August.
And lets be clear, he didn't hit over .300 over a full season. He was called up in mid-June. He only played in 99 games and if the season had gone another week he probably wouldn't have been hitting over .300 any more.
He had one mediocre month.
He had a month and half to end the year that was worse than Castro's stint with the Twins to start the season and had everyone complaining.
Of course, its not at all impossible that Gardy wore him out. And we can hope that he comes back next spring and hits like he did when he was first called up. If he does, and can sustain it for a full season, you can start comparing him to Michael Young. But right now he still hasn't played a full season and his last six weeks, not even including the playoffs, were not reassuring.
by TT on Oct 16, 2006 5:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
fluke
If you include the playoffs, I would call his play "horrifying."
Personally I am worried about Bartlett next year. And Punto. It is not beyond the realm of possibility that those two guys had career years last year. I hope I am wrong.
by wcooley on Oct 16, 2006 5:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Career years
I'll say Punto had a career year. Bartlett did not. You have to ignore minor league play to say Bartlett had a career year. Punto never has hit that well for a sustained period, in the majors or the minors. Bartlett has hit that well or better for three straight years. It's unlikely that it's a fluke. In fact, his slump is more of a fluke, given his career numbers.
And I know some people completely discount minor league numbers, claiming that some players have hit well in the minors and not in the majors. This is a falacy. Most players who hit well in the minors also hit well in the majors. A large majority of players who hit well in the minors and also hit well in the majors continue to do so. Of course, players have slumps. And some players, like Lew Ford, have flaws in their games that are not fully realized until their second or third years in the majors. Bartlett is not such a player. He uses the whole field and has a good eye at the plate. There's nothing in his game, save his lack of sustained power, that indicates that he will experience a sustained slump along the lines of Ford's 2006. Is it possible that Bartlett is like Ford? Yes. But it is highly unlikely.
Go ahead and worry about him. But, taking the same level of concern into account with similar odds, you would worry about everyone on the team except perhaps Mauer, Morneau, Santana, and Nathan. I choose to be more optimistic and focus on more glaring holes in the team, such as starting pitching, left field and DH.
by cmathewson on Oct 16, 2006 6:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think we
In all seriousness bartlett had a 86% contact rate which should be able to sustain a near .300 batting average his 6% walk rate could improve but overall his raw batting numbers look alright.
by FrozenTed9 on Oct 16, 2006 7:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
well
"You never know how a player is going to rebound mentally from injuries, but with Jason there's never been any doubt of where his desire is. It's to be back on the field."
--Twins farm director Jim Rantz
by FrozenTed9 on Oct 16, 2006 12:16 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Partially right
Here's what cuddyer did against lefties in 04 .293/.379/.472 in 128 at bats Jacque hit .245/.328/.329 in 155 at bats this is where cuddyer should have been given extra playing time in 2004 they completed each other perfectly and Gardy didn't realize this. It's just one point and probably is more related to gardy wanting the players called up to produce right away and in a win now environment that is not necessarily a bad thing.
It mainly comes down to the expectations you put on he and what kind of player you thought he was going to be and fact that he is a slow starter didn't help his case. From 2003 to 2005 he hit .227.287.377 in April During his whole career this is the only month that his OPS is below .750 and April and June are the Only ones that he was below .800 and that's not including this year which was the time he was "proving" himself in conclusion Cuddyer's performance was always masked by a poor start making his overall number go down. I'm not trying to say one month doesn't matter but the notion that he never showed his ability is exaggerated.
by FrozenTed9 on Oct 13, 2006 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Gardy's whims
Then he'll give guys a chance in situations where they just aren't ready. The Glen Perkins thing in the playoffs is the best example of that I can think of. Putting Bartlettt in the number 2 hole to start the 2005 season is another one. He was ready to be a number 9 hitter, but not a run producer, after just 30 at bats in the majors.
He just needs to give guys a real chance before judging them. You can't tell a lot about a player until you see them play everyday for a couple of months. This is tough when you have expectations of making the playoffs. But in this market, it's necessary. For all the scouting and developing this organization does, it sure handles the guys it's trying to break into the majors strangely. They have to earn playing time under an intense microscope in which one mistake can send them to the bench for two weeks, or down to Rochester for two months. That's just not conducive to building confidence.
by cmathewson on Oct 13, 2006 1:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's a juggling act.....
Should Cuddyer be #4. Not with the power of Morneau at #5. And Hunter actually had a near equal year and is making how many million...to bat 6th. Most expensive sixth place hitter outside of a Yankee line-up.
Maybe MINNESOTA should pull an Oakland and bat Mauer leadoff. Then we don't have to worry about double plays. He does look at pitches. Sure, not as sure-foot on the basepaths (how many bases did he steal...sic)...but I didn't see the lightning all-the-time from the fleet-of-foot Castillo or Punto.
by twintown on Oct 13, 2006 2:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
109 RBIs, 105 runs scored
by cmathewson on Oct 13, 2006 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Or
by FrozenTed9 on Oct 13, 2006 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
THose teams
We would have won more games and gne further in teh playoffs in Gardenhire weren't very often rather a dunce.
by AdamOnFirst on Oct 12, 2006 7:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
75 million
by twintown on Oct 11, 2006 5:40 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Get your votes in now!
Actually I'm surprised more people haven't selected option #1. I thought Gardy's moves in game three, bringing in Perkins and walking Thomas, were just plain weird.
by wcooley on Oct 12, 2006 6:34 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Walking Thomas...
And for good measure, take a gander at Frank Thomas' career and '06 splits after he is ahead 3-0 in the count:
.385/.795/1.000 -- after 3-0, 2006
.293/.754/0.579 -- after 3-0, career
You're looking a chance of at least about 7% that Thomas hits a home run in that situation if you pitch to him, and even if you do pitch to him, he's probably going to reach base anyway.
OTOH, Chavez only hits a HR against lefties about 3.5% of the time, and Thomas might not even score on a Chavez double. In that situation, I think it's justified to play a sort of all-or-nothing approach, and walking Thomas is the first step in that approach.
by ubelmann on Oct 12, 2006 7:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Intentional Walk
by wcooley on Oct 12, 2006 10:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
There were no...
by ubelmann on Oct 13, 2006 1:15 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Perkins
I agree on Perkins. The Twins had one of the best bullpens in baseball all year, and here is a young rookie with almost no major league experience the first guy off the bench in a must win game.
I am sure it was a left-handed matchup thing. But there was no way he was going to make it through the rest of the game without using a right-handed pitcher.
by TT on Oct 12, 2006 9:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Conversation
Over the last two years, including his poor hitting stretches last year, bartlett has played just over one full season in the majors. In that time he has a .278/.342/.364 line. His recent line, for the last four months was .309/.367/.393. Let's say that his overall line is his whole rookie year and his line from his four months this year is like his second half. Those a pretty good numbers from a rookie shortstop with a plus-glove.
Bartlett is a quality player who played an important role in turning the Twins around this year. He is better than any infielder the Twins have had, other than arguably castillo, since Guzman's 2001, which was the best since Knoblach. Why are you all over him? There are many otehr worse things than Jason Bartlett...
by AdamOnFirst on Oct 16, 2006 7:26 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
replying to your previous comment
by Pilargarza on Jan 16, 2007 9:01 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

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