Twins Projections

by Bobomojo on Dec 15, 2006 12:35 PM EST Comment 6 comments

Baseball Think Factory has posted the new ZIPs projections for the 2007 Twins. While I don't trust ZIPs as much as PECOTA, it still makes for good off-season dreaming.

You can see the projections here:
http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/oracle/discussion/2007_zips_projections_minnesota_twins/

ZIPs doesn't seem to like Cuddyer's chances at picking up where he left off in 2006: 265/348/463.

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These look reasonable to me

Cuddyer probably will step back a little. The third base situation is dire, and I think ZIPs is about right on Punto--he was a pretty bad hitter hitting .290, and he won't hit .290 again.

I think the system might be a little high on Garza (I don't expect an ERA under 4 this year), and a little low on Bonser (almost 5 seems worse than he's likely to be).

Still, it looks about right. As usual, I'm worried they won't score enough to win.

by Eric in Madison on Dec 15, 2006 12:54 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Bonser

It appears ZiPS is concerned about Bonser's vulnerbility to the long ball, projecting he'll serve up 32 in 170 innings.

But pitching's very unpredictable. No projection system is great at it. So who knows?

Also, I'll be thrilled if Kubel hits like that.

by jianfu on Dec 15, 2006 1:03 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

DUP

This is the only made up stat I care about...where are the DUP ratings Mr. B??

D.U.P. I TELL YOU!

by mbennett on Dec 15, 2006 1:49 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Santana: 45
Mauer: 17.4
Morneau: 4.21
Punto: 176 (for some reason, tiny white guys have amazing DUP skillz)
White: 1.023 (kinda the opposite of the Punto comment)
Cuddyer: 28
Nathan: 2,678.012 (yes, he's that good)

I'm still doing the runs on the players. I hope to have 'em up soon.

by Bobomojo on Dec 15, 2006 2:06 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

I'm late to the party

What are D.U.P.'s?

by wcooley on Dec 15, 2006 4:16 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Hih Heh

Come on cooley, Didn't U Pay-attention?

"Baseball is great because you can't take a knee or kill the clock. You have to put the ball over the plate and give the other guy his damn chance." C Stengel

by AdamOnFirst on Dec 15, 2006 4:46 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs