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HELP!!! -- The greatest players of all-time

Hey guys. I'm visiting from AN.

I'm putting together a list of the greatest players of all-time and as one step in the process, I'm enlisting fan support.

As members of the sportsblog community (that aren't Angels fans), you are probably smarter than most, so help me out.

Click here to see the nominees and vote on your own Top 10.

Thanks

0 recs  |  Comment 31 comments |

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Well...
I think it's awfully tough to just throw a list together for baseball.  I really think you have to break it into categories, as such:

Best overall:
Babe Ruth (obviously tough to argue this one because he dominated BOTH sides of the game)

Best hitter:
Ted Williams (the guy was an absolute machine)

Best pitcher:
Walter Johnson (see Ted Williams)

Best more modern all around athlete/hitter:
Tie btwn. Willie Mays/Mickey Mantle

Best defensive player:
Brooks Robinson

Other than that, I'm not sure you can really cut and dry make a list, to me.

by djskilbr on Dec 18, 2006 1:10 PM EST reply actions  

I agree, mostly
Hard to beat Roger Clemens for best pitcher. And as good as Brooks was, I have a hard time giving that to a third baseman. It should either be a shortstop (Ozzie Smith) or a center fielder (Willie Mays).
Joe Mauer for MVP (for real).

by cmathewson on Dec 18, 2006 2:09 PM EST up reply actions  

For
For any one season, I'm not sure I wouldn't want Sandy Koufax on my team...

You can debate these things forever...

"Baseball is great because you can't take a knee or kill the clock. You have to put the ball over the plate and give the other guy his damn chance." C Stengel

by AdamOnFirst on Dec 18, 2006 3:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Like you said...
...these things can be debated forever.  Off the top of my head, though, for one season of a pitcher, I like Pedro Martinez's 1999 a lot.  13.2 K/9, 1.6 BB/9, 0.38 HR/9 in a hitter's park in a DH league in the middle of a hitter's era.  I mean, that's sick.  Koufax pitched in a non-DH league with a higher pitcher's mound in a pitcher's park in a pitcher's era.  What Pedro did in '99 was in-sane.

by ubelmann on Dec 18, 2006 4:27 PM EST up reply actions  

I'd have to agree there...
but if we're talking a career, I'll take the Big Train.

Hitters, I'm sticking with Ted.  What he did in a pretty good league for hitters by dominating OBP/etc was pretty insane.

by djskilbr on Dec 18, 2006 4:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh, and overall, again...
no doubt, Babe Ruth.  But then I doubt anyone would argue that anyway.

by djskilbr on Dec 18, 2006 4:34 PM EST reply actions  

There are things...
...that go against Ruth, like how much you care about adjusting for integration and whatnot.  Heck, even just adjusting for the increased talent pool from players overseas is a tricky issue.  Also, how much you care about positional effects and defense.  I think some stick by Willie Mays as the greatest they've ever seen play.  It's tough to retrospectively evaluate defense, but Mays was a pretty great player.

For instance, if you take WARP, Babe Ruth is at 234 wins above replacement level and Willie Mays is at 206 wins above replacement level.  That includes Ruth's pitching contributions, but it uses the rather flawed FRAR to evaluate each player's fielding.  FRAR considers Ruth to have been a slightly above average defensive corner outfielder and Mays to have been a slightly above average defensive center fielder.  Now, everything on Mays would seem to indicate that he was definitely better than slightly above average fielding.  28 wins is a lot, but if you consider Mays to be the elite defensive CF of all-time?  That makes it pretty close.

by ubelmann on Dec 18, 2006 4:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Ya...
I guess I just tend to view Ruth in a different class solely because he dominated in each of the two major aspects of the game.  Fair or not, we'll probably never see another player do that, so it'll be awfully tough to outweigh that measure.  That's all.  If we're talking "prime" position players only, I'd personally say it's one of Mays, Mantle, Williams.  

Just my take.  As has been pointed out, we could debate these forever.

by djskilbr on Dec 18, 2006 5:03 PM EST up reply actions  

I
I view Ruth as untouchable because he excelled at and mastered something that NO ONE had EVER done before.  He did it at a time when the game really needed it.  He's basically the original celebrity.  He singlehandedly ushered in a totally new era of offensive explosion and irrevocably changed the face of the game.
"Baseball is great because you can't take a knee or kill the clock. You have to put the ball over the plate and give the other guy his damn chance." C Stengel

by AdamOnFirst on Dec 18, 2006 8:33 PM EST up reply actions  

WARP
already factors iin FRAR ...

I agree FRAR isn't the best defensive stat out there ... but, it probably is for non-modern players.

by devo on Dec 18, 2006 7:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Right...
FRAR might be the best we have for players before the retrosheet era, but we do know that for modern players it's not that accurate, so we should expect that it's probably not very accurate for historical players.  I wouldn't protest much if someone said that FRAR (and subsequently WARP) was underrating Mays.  

I guess I'm just saying that starting from WARP and acknowledging the limitations of FRAR, you can make a decent case for Mays being as valuable as Ruth.

by ubelmann on Dec 18, 2006 8:06 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't advocate taking WARP3
minus FRAR as gold -- but if we take it as such,

Mays averaged about 20 FRAR/yr, about 2 wins. 40 runs is about the most the perfect CF could save on average, so if we give that to him (ignoring the late career fall-off to right around league average from 68 on that FRAR shows), that adds 2 wins to his average season and 1 run to his peak seasons (which typically showed higher FRAR already)

Giving him those additions, his WARP3/154 is rises to 12.6 (Ruth 14.4, Bonds 12.55) and his best 5 years increase to 71.4 (Ruth 78.1, Bonds 75).

The only way that I see anyone other than Ruth or Bonds (with an obvious reason not to choose him) as the greatest of all-time is if you seriously subtract from Ruth's value, due to perceived dilluted competition.

by devo on Dec 19, 2006 12:13 AM EST up reply actions  

Diluted
While the lack of black and latino players may have made it potentially easier on Ruth, there were also less teams around, so the talent was more condensed.
"Baseball is great because you can't take a knee or kill the clock. You have to put the ball over the plate and give the other guy his damn chance." C Stengel

by AdamOnFirst on Dec 19, 2006 12:20 AM EST up reply actions  

Uh, no
Population of the US today: ~300 million.
# of MLB teams: 30

Population of the US in 1910: ~92 million
# of MLB teams: 16

Population of the US in 1930: ~123 million
# of MLB teams: 16

The number of professional baseball teams has less than doubled since the beginning of Ruth's career and the population of the US has tripled.

Additionally, we now have players from Venezuela, the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Mexico, Japan, Cuba, Canada, and other countries.  And on top of that, the color barrier kept a significant portion of the US population during Ruth's day from being eligible to compete against him.

If you want to get an idea what this does to the league, consider this: take two teams from today's MLB.  Now subtract everyone who isn't from the United States.  Now subtract everyone who doesn't qualify because of the color barrier.  Now randomly subtract two out of every three players remaining because the US was a smaller country then.

Just for kicks and giggles, let's try this out with the Twins and the Yankees.  Starting with their opening day rosters, I took out players born in foreign countries and players who couldn't crack the color barrier, leaving me with 24 players.  Now we adjust for the population issue and take away 16 of those 24 players.  Generating random numbers with Mathematica, I'm left with the following eight players:

Kyle Farnsworth, Mike Myers, Jason Giambi, Willie Eyre, Matt Guerrier, Joe Nathan, Mike Redmond, and Michael Cuddyer.  Sum their VORP from this season, and you get about 158.  To fill out the rest of the roster, you're going to need to bring in some replacement-level players (even though by now it should be clear that under these restrictions replacement level should be set much lower.)  An entirely replacement level team should win about 43 games, so this team of eight guys with a bunch of replacement level dudes would've won about 59 games.

And the Twins and the Yankees were two of the best teams in all of baseball!  Start playing this game with the Royals and the Pirates and you're going to get some pretty ugly results.

Doubling the number of teams hasn't nearly kept pace with the expanding number of talent sources.  Thank you, Jackie Robinson.  Thank you, thank you, thank you.

by ubelmann on Dec 19, 2006 2:21 AM EST up reply actions  

the competition for top "players"
has expanded in more than just the approximate doubling of teams. The NFL, NBA (not that it's taking too many white athletes away from baseball), NHL and MLS have all come into existance since then. The changing economic and social realities of our society also tend to distract young men from persuing sports as thoroughly as they might have.

It's not to say the talent pool wasn't dilluted -- it likely was -- but I don't think it is anywhere near as significant as you're suggesting.

by devo on Dec 19, 2006 2:48 AM EST up reply actions  

It's not a matter...
...of perception--Ruth definitely played against inferior competition.  Much, much inferior competition.  It's just a matter of how much you want to penalize him for that.

by ubelmann on Dec 19, 2006 12:54 AM EST up reply actions  

I
I strongly disagree for the reasons I said.  That view is simplistic.
"Baseball is great because you can't take a knee or kill the clock. You have to put the ball over the plate and give the other guy his damn chance." C Stengel

by AdamOnFirst on Dec 19, 2006 3:15 AM EST up reply actions  

Five arguments
I think you can make a strong case that the talent level overall in this day and age is much better than it was in the Babe's time.
  1. Diversity. When Babe Ruth was growing up, everyone played baseball. But only the white Americans made it to the Major Leagues. By the time I was growing up, the best players were about equally split between whites, blacks and Latinos. So even though not everyone plays baseball in this country anymore, it's more than made up for by the infusion of other races into the sport.
  2. Economics. When the Babe played, baseball players were near the bottom of the salary scales in the US. Guys played for the love of the game, not as a ticket to prosperity. Now they're at the top of the economic food chain. The chance for a big payout is a powerful incentive to play for more than the love of the game.
  3.  War. When the Babe played, most of the best men in the country either were at war or had died on the battlefiled. Soon after he retired, the whole cycle repeated itself. The population of males did not fullly recover until towards the end of the baby boom.
  4. Scouting. When the Babe played, guys tried out at dedicated events to try to win jobs in baseball. Teams might have had two or three scouts, but that was it. And they had no technology with which to help them evaluate players and communicate their findeings with a huge scouting staff on each of the 32 teams. Now scouts scour every nook and craney of the globe looking for baseball talent, and communicating about every find on the same day.
  5. Development. When the Babe played, the minors was a loosly configured association of Class B teams, and most college programs were club sports. Now those who dedicate themselves to babseball have unprecedented access to facilities and instruction.
The results should be obvious enough. How many pitchers threw harder than 90 miles an hour in the Babe's time? Feller was the first to really throw hard. How many hitters could launch homer after homer in batting practice? How many guys ran like Juan Pierre?

There are all sorts of rules issues that differentiate the Babe's game from ours. The fact that he hit something like 500 home runs in the dead ball era combined with the fact that talent in his day was nowhere near talent of today overall suggests that he was without a doubt the best player ever. He was like Gretsky or Jordan or Armstrong in the sport of baseball. It's ironic he was called Babe because he was a man among babes.

Joe Mauer for MVP (for real).

by cmathewson on Dec 19, 2006 10:38 AM EST reply actions  

Therest
Theres a concept of biology applied to baseball called the limit of human possibility most of your points allude to, but it's really to long winded to get into it here.  Its in Stephen Jay Gould's one baseball book...

And for:

"How many hitters could launch homer after homer in batting practice?"

For most of his career, the Babe and only the Babe.

"Baseball is great because you can't take a knee or kill the clock. You have to put the ball over the plate and give the other guy his damn chance." C Stengel

by AdamOnFirst on Dec 19, 2006 11:48 AM EST up reply actions  

In his time
Babe was the only one who did. Now kids lke Morneau do it all the time. When Morneau was drafted, on his way to the GCL from Vancouver, he stopped by the Dome, donned a uniform and participated in early BP. He hit 30 consecutive balls into the upper deck, according to Terry Ryan. Or think of Big Papi's or Big Mac's BP. It's insane. Of course, the balls are a lot harder now. The ball was not made like it is now until 1931.

BTW, I urge anyone in the Twin Cities to check out the Baseball in America exhibit at the Minnesta History Center. Among other things, you can compare the Babe's bat to that used by McGuire. And you can compare the balls used in the dead ball era to those used today.

Joe Mauer for MVP (for real).

by cmathewson on Dec 19, 2006 12:34 PM EST up reply actions  

I'll second that recomendation
I visited it when it was in Oakland. It is phenomenal ...

by devo on Dec 19, 2006 1:41 PM EST up reply actions  

2. Economics
baseball players were not "near the bottom of the salary scales in the US." They were near the top. They were no where near as well paid as their counterparts are today, but they did quite well for themsleves.

You might recall that in 1931, Babe Ruth sought a salary of $80k, more than President Hoover received.

Of course, today, any player who has reached arbitration or free agency makes more than the President ($400k), but that was still a very large sum of money for 1931.

by devo on Dec 19, 2006 1:47 PM EST up reply actions  

In Ruth's time...
...they didn't even train year 'round because they didn't get paid enough to last them the whole year.  That's a big difference.

by ubelmann on Dec 19, 2006 2:09 PM EST up reply actions  

In the 1920s
the average player made $6,992.

By contrast, in 1924 (I would guess this is a fairly decent estimate of what the average would have been for the '20s' but feel free to adjust slightly) on average:
a bricklayer made $3,432
a plumber made $3,146
a carpenter made $3,004
keep in mind, those are highly skilled professions, most folks worked in these fields:
a manufacturing worker made $1,300 (1925 figure)
a farm worker made $2,500 (including board)

While major leaguers certainly weren't rolling in dough the way they are now. If they had to work a second job, it was because of lifestyle choices more than a low income.

by devo on Dec 19, 2006 3:55 PM EST up reply actions  

So you're saying that
Ballplayers made roughly twice what blue collar workers made. If you look at the average salaries for blue collar journeymen today, you'll find it's around $50,000, or 13% of the minimum salary for professional baseball players and about 2% of the average. The difference between ballplayers and ordinary folks is orders of magnitude greater now than it was in Ruth's time. So the incentive to play ball is much greater today than in Ruth's time. That was my point.

I don't know how Ruth would do against today's competition. But he sure destroyed the competition of his time like no other baseball player has in the history of the game.

Joe Mauer for MVP (for real).

by cmathewson on Dec 19, 2006 5:31 PM EST up reply actions  

But
But they still were well off and made plenty enough to be considered a profession worth striving for, so the majority of the economic argument is false.
"Baseball is great because you can't take a knee or kill the clock. You have to put the ball over the plate and give the other guy his damn chance." C Stengel

by AdamOnFirst on Dec 19, 2006 8:56 PM EST up reply actions  

huh?
If I can make $10 million a year as a baseball player as opposed to $50,000 a year as a mason, that's a pretty powerful incentive to endure years of bus rides and minor league pay.

If I can make $8,000 as a baseball player instead of the $4,000 I can make as a brick layer, the long road to the majors doesn't sound that great. With a wife and children and such, there's a powerful incentive to start making a living wage sooner rather than later, considering the payout at the end is uncertain and only twice what you would make.

Far from being a "false" argument (I think you mean "valid," but I'll let that go), it's just the kind of reasoning people go through when they consider career choices, or investments, or any kind of decision that involves balancing risks and rewards. The risks of going for a career in baseball are great (think Chris Weinke). The rewards better be pretty good at the end. In Ruth's time, they were twice what ordinary folks make. In our time, they're 50 times what ordinary folks make. If you can't see that difference, you can't be convinced of much.

Joe Mauer for MVP (for real).

by cmathewson on Dec 20, 2006 11:17 AM EST up reply actions  

Several
No, I more meant false because it renders several of the assumptions the argument requires false.  Many of the players wouldn't have HAD families at that age, minor leaguers didn't have to travel as much, and if they did it would probably be met with mre excitement since people in general didn't get to travel that much, may players played primarily for pride ad fame, which could still be earned in spades, and minor league pay wasn't so bad either.

So while they make a lot more money now, a lot of the advantages you try to present really weren't there.  The original argument was that baseball players didn't make enough money, so people wouldn't want the job.  Well, as we've seen, baseball players made great money at the time, so the majority of people would happily travel around the country in the minors for a few years to earn fame playing a GAME (I think there was more realization that it was a GAME people were paid for back then) they loved.  Most people wouldn't quite just because they were making merely  times what they could in a factory.

Also, it is worth noting, as we said Babe Ruth DID make 80 k a year, so the best players still made in excess of 50 times what the average factory slob made, so the huge economic difference was thee to an extent.

"Baseball is great because you can't take a knee or kill the clock. You have to put the ball over the plate and give the other guy his damn chance." C Stengel

by AdamOnFirst on Dec 20, 2006 1:30 PM EST up reply actions  

You forgot one...
...other important one:

In every sport, humans are better now than they were eighty years ago.  We're bigger, stronger, faster, and we can jump higher.  No one wonders whether Jesse Owens or Michael Johnson was the faster runner, we know that Owens wasn't even close.

It's really pretty delusional to think that the top players from eighty years ago are anything close to the top players today.  It's a matter of taste whether or not you want to hold that against Ruth, but it's there.

by ubelmann on Dec 19, 2006 2:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Ruth
But Ruth was also of that ERA.  it is impossible to judge players of seperate eras DIRECTLY in competition because many things change beyond their control; techniques, technology, training, etc
"Baseball is great because you can't take a knee or kill the clock. You have to put the ball over the plate and give the other guy his damn chance." C Stengel

by AdamOnFirst on Dec 19, 2006 8:56 PM EST up reply actions  

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