Twinkie Town: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Jeff Sullivan's MLB Trade Deadline Primer

The Best Twenty Game Stretch Ever?

I wrote the following column after Wednesday's game.  I had the idea that this might be the best 20 game stretch in Twins history.  I jumped the gun by comparing the Twins 20 game stretch in 1991 to a 19 game stretch in 2006.  I've updated the column to a twenty game stretch through Friday night.  Of course, the Twins won on Saturday night, too, so the streak continues.  But I wanted to update the column and provide it for your consumption.

Star-divide

The other day I said in a moment of exurberence that this recent hot streak was as well as the Twins have played in fifteen years.  Of course, I was referring to the stretch beginning on June 1, 1991 in which the Twins were one pitch away from winning twenty straight games.  At the end of play on May 31, 1991, the Twins had a 23-25 record and were tied for fifth in the seven team American League West, just one game ahead of the Kansas City Royals (have they been in the cellar forever?  No it just seems that way) and 5 1/2 games behind both Texas and Oakland.  The standings at the end of May 1991 looked like this.

Team Name            W   L   PCT    GB
Texas Rangers       26  17  0.605   --
Oakland Athletics   28  19  0.596   --
California Angels   26  21  0.553  2.0
Seattle Mariners    25  23  0.521  3.5
Minnesota Twins     23  25  0.479  5.5
Chicago White Sox   21  23  0.477  5.5
Kansas City Royals  21  25  0.457  6.5

The Twins then won 15 straight games, the streak ending when Rick Aguilera gave up three runs in the ninth inning against Baltimore to blow a two run save.  The Twins then won four more in a row, and after those 20 games, in which they went 19-1, the Twins had a record of 42-26 and were in first place, with a four game lead over Oakland.  The streak was an impressive one, to be sure, and the Twins had the good fortune of having everyone else in front of them fail even stay close to them.  The standings at the end of play on June 22, 1991 looked like this.

Team Name            W   L   PCT    GB
Minnesota Twins     42  26  0.618   --
Oakland Athletics   38  30  0.559  4.0
California Angels   37  30  0.552  4.5
Seattle Mariners    37  30  0.552  4.5
Texas Rangers       34  29  0.540  5.5
Chicago White Sox   32  33  0.492  8.5
Kansas City Royals  32  33  0.492  8.5

During that stretch, the Twins not only played historically well, but the top two teams in the division, Oakland and Texas, played sub-.500 baseball.  Other teams in the division played well during that time, but no one hung with the Twins.  Here is how the division fared between May 31, 1991 and June 22, 1991.

Team Name           W   L   PCT    GB
Minnesota Twins     19  1  0.950   --
Seattle Mariners    12  7  0.632  6.5
Kansas City Royals  11  8  0.579  7.5
California Angels   11  9  0.550  8.0
Chicago White Sox   11 10  0.524  8.5
Oakland Athletics   10 11  0.476  9.5
Texas Rangers        8 12  0.400 11.0

Of course, the big deal is that the Twins made up between 6.5 and 11.0 games on every team in the division in three weeks.  But, there's more to the story.  The rest of the division was 6 games over .500 during that time.  Counting the Twins, the American League West was 24 games over .500 over the course of the three week period.  In other words, the American League West was pounding the crap out of the American League East.  For the season, the American League West was a full 60 games over .500 and every team in the division played .500 ball or better.

Flash forward to 2006.  Once again, the Twins are playing in a power house division and once again the Twins found themselves back in the pack, although this year it is even moreso.  Over the last 20 games ending on Friday night, the Twins are 18-2, almost the same level of dominance as the 1991 Twins big stretch.  Yet, the Twins gained only 1/2 game against the Detroit Tigers.  Top James made the point that rarely has a team played as well as the Twins and not made up any ground.  Of course, I humbly point out to Top James that rarely has a team like the Tigers, already in first place and basically winning 90% of their games for almost three weeks put so little distance between themselves and the two teams directly below them.  It is a phenomenal stretch.

One reason has been thrown out for the inablility of the Twins to move up is that interleague play has prevented the Twins from playing the teams ahead of them.  However, in 1991, the Twins played zero, that's right, zero games against teams ahead of them in the standings during the twenty game stretch.  The first two games were against the Royals -- the only team in the division below the Twins -- and the other 18 games were against the worst three teams in the American League East .  The Twins caught a soft spot in the schedule and made hay.  It propelled them to a Division and, eventually, World Championship.

So, is it possible that the current stretch is better than the legendary 1991 stretch?  Let's take a look.  

During the 1991 streak, the Twins scored 118 runs and allowed 58 runs, for an expected winning percentage of 78.5%.  During the current streak, the Twins have scored 122 runs and allowed 54 runs, for an expected winning percentage of 81.5%.

As of June 22, 1991, the last day of the streak, every team that the Twins played during the streak was below .500 and the average record was 25-39, a winning percentage of 39.2%.  Pretty crappy.  As of right now, the average record of the teams that the Twins have played over the last 19 games is 36.5-41.5, a winning percentage of 46.7%.  That might not seem like much difference. But the average 1991 average opponent projects to a record of 64-98 while the 2006 average opponent projects to a record of 76-86.  In addition, seven games were played against teams with better than .500 records.  Six of those games were against division leaders.  So, the quality of opponent has been much better.

Let's look at starting pitching.

Year    IP       H    R  ER  BB  SO  HR  FIP   ERA   QS
1991  135.33  122  46  38  33  73  12  3.71  2.53  16
2006  131.33  107  35  31  19  98  12  2.73  2.12  15

Of course, there is one more game in the 1991 stretch, but the numbers are better in 2006.  The innings are comparable, the strikeouts are up, walks are down and the HRs are about the same (and this is a much more homer-friendly time, especially considering that the dome had the plexiglass in 1991 and that monstrosity in Houston).  Add it up and you have a much better FIP, a better ERA and it was achieved against better competition.  While the 1991 Twins had Morris, Tapani, and Erickson mowing down all comers, the Twins counter with our Stupendous Southpaws, along with a bunch of other guys trying to prove that the first part of the year was a fluke, or in the case of Boof Bonser, trying to prove he belongs, period.

While the Twins have been frustrated by their inability to make up ground, fans should -- and have, I believe -- just flat out enjoy the play.  And why not.  It might just be the best 20 game stretch in club history.

0 recs  |  Comment 6 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

And the Killer....
The only loss in the past 19 was a game the Twins were winning (Dennys Reyes in relief, two pitches, two outs, a couple runs ahead) that Kyle Lohse (kept the shutout for Liriano this afternoon) couldn't retire a batter and showed why he is doing what he is doing these days.

Whew!

by twintown on Jul 2, 2006 4:46 PM EDT reply actions  

Plus.......
Everyone's been pretty much a hero. Team play with many stars each night above and beyond the starting pitcher!

by twintown on Jul 2, 2006 4:46 PM EDT reply actions  

Note on the numbers
If your IP and ER numbers are correct, then the ERA for this 2006 run is 2.12, not 2.73.  Are the FIP and ERA numbers reversed?

by Jesse on Jul 3, 2006 1:51 AM EDT reply actions  

Corrected
You were right.  When I added the 20th game, I switched them around.  Thanks for the catch.
SBG -- Your source for half-baked crap

by SBG on Jul 3, 2006 9:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

After last night
I would say this is the best 20-game stretch in Twins history. Even during that historic 1991 stretch, we need not pound teams like the Twins are doing now. And we did not sweep first-place teams either.
Joe Mauer for MVP.

by cmathewson on Jul 3, 2006 12:22 PM EDT reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

TT is an SB Nation blog of, by and for the fans. We strive to be the best Minnesota Twins blog by providing quality content and analysis, as well as daily news and notes on the team. We hope you'll make Twinkie Town your home for all things Twins!
Start posting about the Twins »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

Connect_with_facebook

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Small
Mr. Grit overlooked
The_jet_small
Free Danny Valencia
Small
Minor League Report...July 24, 2010
Small
The Twins have the best starters in the AL.
Small
Minor League Report...July 17, 2010

Recent FanPosts

Small
Good News/Bad News: Twins trade Ramos for Capps.
Small
Chicago TV announcers...
Twins_small
Matt Capps
Bc_small
Clutch hitting, fact or illusion?
Minnesota_twins_vinyl_baseball_small
Words from the great beyond? And haves and the have nots…
Small
Trade Help: How Much Are My Guys Worth?
Small
Poll: Your favorite non-Twins team.
Small
What team do you hate the most?

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Twinkie Town On Twitter

SPONSORS

SBNation.com Recent Stories

HOUSTON - JULY 24:  Pitcher Roy Oswalt #44 of the Houston Astros throws against the Cincinnati Reds in the first inning at Minute Maid Park on July 24 2010 in Houston Texas.  (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images) +13 updates

Done Deal: Roy Oswalt Traded To Phillies, Will Make Debut Friday Night In Washington

Washington Nationals' third base coach Pat Listach shakes Adam Dunn's hand who rounds third after hitting a solo home run during the eighth inning of a baseball game against the Atlanta Braves, Thursday, July 29, 2010, in Washington. (AP Photo/Drew Angerer)

MLB Trade Deadline: Where Does Your Team Stand As Saturday Approaches?

Philadelphia Phillies' Cody Ransom, left, celebrates with Greg Dobbs (19) and Placido Polanco after Ransom scored on a single hit by Wilson Valdez against the  Arizona Diamondbacks to win the baseball game in the 11th inning Thursday, July 29, 2010, in Philadelphia. The Phillies won 3-2. (AP Photo/H. Rumph Jr)

Phillies Complete Sweep Of D'Backs With 11th-Inning Win

More from SBNation.com >


Editor-In-Chief

Twinkietown_small Jesse

Senior Writer

Small Bobomojo

Hrbek_small Jon Marthaler

The_jet_small cmathewson

Gladdentwins_small Adam Peterson

Hosken_powell_autograph_small RandBall's Stu

Special Contributor

Untitled_small Trevour

Twins-release_small Nick Nelson

Small Karlee Kanz

Moderators

Chairmanmauer_small fischean