2008 Offensive Predictions In Review

A long time ago in a country far, far away....

Strangely enough, I never did revise these after we picked up Carlos Gomez.  At any rate, I thought it'd be interesting to take a quick look to see how optimistic-slash-pessimistic I was back in January.

After the jump, we get to it...

Catchers

Player Games AB Hits 2B 3B HR BB SO AVG OBP SLG SB
Joe Mauer 146 536 176 31 4 9 84 50 .328 .413 .451 1
Projected 139 518 172 34 3 14 74 56 .332 .416 .490 9
Mike Redmond 38 129 37 6 0 0 5 11 .287 .321 .333 0
Projected 45 153 44 8 0 1 8 16 .288 .323 .359 0

Mauer:  Clearly I was optimistic with homer totals and stolen bases, but to be fair I wasn't optimistic enough about walks and strikeouts.  That's just incredible.

Redmond:  Projected within 28 OPS points, and I'm calling that batting average a push.

Also:  I had predicted a line for Jose Morales as well, but we all know that didn't happen.

Infielders

Player Games AB Hits 2B 3B HR BB SO AVG OBP SLG SB
Brian Buscher 70 218 64 9 0 4 19 42 .294 .340 .390 0
Projected 31 87 22 4 0 3 10 18 .253 .330 .402 1
Alexi Casilla 98 385 108 15 0 7 31 45 .281 .333 .374 7
Projected 64 205 53 8 2 0 18 30 .259 .318 .317 13
Adam Everett 48 127 27 6 1 2 12 15 .213 .278 .323 0
Projected 150 495 121 25 2 7 29 68 .244 .286 .345 10
Brendan Harris 130 434 115 29 3 7 39 98 .265 .327 .394 1
Projected 102 332 90 19 1 7 23 63 .271 .318 .398 4
Mike Lamb 81 236 55 12 3 1 17 32 .233 .276 .322 0
Projected 134 448 124 22 2 13 42 57 .277 .339 .429 1
Justin Morneau 163 623 187 47 4 23 76 85 .300 .374 .499 0
Projected 156 585 162 35 2 36 68 90 .277 .352 .511 1
Nick Punto 99 338 96 19 4 2 32 57 .284 .344 .382 15
Projected 72 152 37 6 1 0 16 29 .243 .315 .296 8

Buscher:  He just hit a lot more singles than I thought he would.

Casilla:  Wow, he really tailed off at the end of the year.  Here's something interesting--after coming back off the disabled list in August, he hit just .225/.304/.289 in 142 at-bats, with 20 strikeouts and 15 walks.  Was there something truly different about him after the set-back, or was it just the weight of a longer season settling in?

Everett:  Did anyone see this miserable year coming, injuries and all?  Oh well, I still lose this one.

Harris:  He got more playing time than I thought he would, but he's still projected within 5 OPS points.  I'm happy with that.

Lamb:  Two former Astros...two cursed former Astros.

Morneau:  A great year all around; not quite the homer totals, but he made up for it with all those doubles, as well as the increase in walks.  Great year.

Punto:  I expected something more middling than what he did, but I'm not complaining.  He had a decent year.

Also:  Follow the link at the start of this post, I did projections for Matt Tolbert and Matt Macri as well...but their numbers were pretty small on that list.

Outfielders

Player Games AB Hits 2B 3B HR BB SO AVG OBP SLG SB
Michael Cuddyer 71 249 62 13 4 3 25 40 .249 .330 .369 5
Projected 153 581 162 35 5 26 73 127 .279 .359 .491 5
Jason Kubel 141 463 126 22 5 20 47 91 .272 .335 .471 0
Projected 138 483 135 37 2 19 52 86 .280 .350 .478 6
Craig Monroe 58 163 33 9 0 8 16 48 .202 .274 .405 0
Projected 92 248 65 14 0 11 14 55 .262 .302 .452 0
Denard Span 93 347 102 16 7 6 50 60 .294 .387 .432 18
Projected 24 51 12 3 0 0 4 11 .235 .291 .294 4
Delmon Young 152 575 167 28 4 10 35 105 .290 .336 .405 14
Projected 153 582 171 42 1 20 35 118 .294 .332 .473 13

Cuddyer:  Even if he'd been healthy, this was one of my more optimistic predictions.  Next year's will be tempered quite a bit.

Kubel:  He had pretty much the same year he had last year; in 2007 he hit .273/.335/.450.  The total bases went up, as did walk and strikeout rates.  A good year for him, though.

Monroe:  My all-or-nothing prediction was accurate, but the "all" didn't come often enough...either that, or the Twins weren't as patient with him as I expected them to be.  Ciao, dude.

Span:  I didn't see this coming.  I just didn't.  He should be the leadoff hitter going forward until he loses the job.

Young:  Everything was pretty right on target here...except he hit half the bombs I was looking for, and the doubles weren't quite up to scratch, either.  I hope he's around next year, because I'd like to see him grow.

Also:  Garrett Jones, Jason Pridie and Darnell McDonald have projections too, but aren't worth more than a brief mention.

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