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Series Preview: Colorado Rockies


Current Series

3 game series vs Rockies @ Coors Field

Sat 05/17 8:05 PM EDT
Sun 05/18 3:05 PM EDT


 

Going In, In Brief

This is what happens with a young, upstart team.  Over a long weekend, the Twins (20-20) took three of four from Goliath Boston, on the plains of war in Boston, and then drop three in a row to a very mediocre team in the Toronto Blue Jays.  Sure, getting swept by an inferior team is part of baseball, but it's far more likely this is a sign of inconsistency from a young team than it's a sign of the baseball gods playing their usual hijinx.  And as easy as it is to blame one guy or one play, the truth is that the three consecutive defeats were results of a number of things:  bad calls, bad judgement, bad plays, bad pitch selection, bad location.  Changing any insignificant detail at any random point in the game could have changed decisions in future innings, and the outcome of the game as a whole.  As tempting as it is to point at one moment, and declare that instant the instant where the game was lost, the hard truth to swallow is that the Twins are a mediocre team right now, and these things are going to happen.

On the other hand, the Rockies (15-26) are another team that, in many ways, is inferior to Minnesota.  I have to admit I was cheering for them last October, but they havn't exactly picked up where they left off.  Their pitching stinks, and outside of the Atkins/Holliday/Helton triumverate are having a hard time finding consistent offense of their own.  This has to be a bit disappointing for a team who's invested in their hitters:  with a rating of 109 this season, Coor's Field is a major hitter's park to this point.  In spite of The Humidor.  This could be a great platform for some of our own struggling hitters to break out of season-long power outages.

Twins Pitching Rockies
4.5 RAPG 5.3
9.7 H/9 9.5
2.7 BB/9 4.2
1.1 HR/9 0.9
5.8 K/9 6.1
Twins Hitting Rockies
4.4 RPG 4.3
.313 OBP .329
.375 SLG .391
23 HR 28
36 SB 37

Probable Pitchers

Nick Blackburn VS Ubaldo Jimenez
Livan Hernandez VS Greg Reynolds
Kevin Slowey VS Jeff Francis

Opposition Focus

Ubaldo Jimenez:  This 24-year old right hander has seen bits of the majors since 2006, but this is the year where it looks like he'll have the entire season to prove what he can do.  He strikes out roughly 1/3 fewer hitters at home, reducing his walk-to-strikeout rate to 1:1.  Then again, this will only be his third home start of the year.  Anyway, he's nothing stellar, but he has decent stuff, can strike a few guys out, but if things go according to his history this season the Twins will chase him before he completes six.  His fastball clocks in 96-98, while he's been known to tag 100 from time to time.  If his curveball can find any bite in the Colorado air, it's his most effective pitch.

Greg Reynolds:  Reynolds is 22, and getting his first stint in The Bigs.  His first start was just five days ago, where he went 5.2 innings in San Diego; 6 hits, 2 homers, 4 runs, two walks and a strikeout.  The Rockies have scuttled him right along, hitting pit stops in high-A ball in '06, double-A in '07 and a few starts in triple-A this spring before debuting with Colorado.  In the minors he was a ground-ball pitcher with decent command, although not necessarily impressive in striking guys out.  In San Diego, his fastball started out 92-94, but was 90-92 by the time he left the game.  He's mainly fastball-changeup-curve, but mixed in a few sliders against the Padres.

Jeff Francis:  Okay, here's a guy we recognize.  Francis is 27, and has spent his entire major league career with the Rockies.  I sincerely believe that if he were anywhere else, he'd easily be a popular second-tier ace; not Johan Santana, but on the next level.  At any rate, at his best he boasts a good fastball (89-91 mph) which is offset by what can be an achingly slow curveball (70-74) with some great movement.  Because of his movement, his likes to pitch low-and-away to right-handed hitters, and will challenge left-handed hitters down-and-in.  When he gets himself in a groove, he'd rather walk you than give you something to hit (or at least it looks like it).

Clint Barmes:  Barmes has done an excellent job stepping in for the injured Troy Tulowitzki, and with a sizzling line of .340/.382/.515 is posting some very un-Barmes like numbers.  He debuted with the Rockies in '05 at age-26, and hit well, but he struggled in full-time action in '06 and really hasn't had another opportunity to play regularly until now thanks to Tulowitzki's blistering '07 campaign.  If he keeps this up, the Rockies will have a very pleasant problem on their hands of how to keep him in the lineup.

Brad Hawpe:  Hawpe isn't the same player on the road (.663 OPS, 52% GB, 14% LD) as he is at home (.910 OPS, 31% GB, 31% LD).  Since we're playing in Colorado, when he steps to the plate, put on your face mask if you're in the stands.  Do it if you're watching on television too, just to be safe.

Ryan Spilborghs:  Spilborghs looks like the classic platoon guy (31 games, only 68 at-bats, .309/.380/.471), and it looks like the Rockies think so too.  He's getting 76% of his at-bats against right-handed pitchers.  But, small sample sizes or not, he's posting an .818 OPS versus RHP and a .975 mark versus southpaws.  If they're platooning him, maybe it should be based on where the Rockies are playing:  .364/.375/.636 at home, .261/.364/.370 on the road.  (But even that looks good next to the .588 OPS Willy Taveras is putting up.)

Stats


Batting

GABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSAVGOBPSLG
Clint Barmes 32 103 10 35 10 1 2 13 7 13 3 1 .340 .382 .515
Garrett Atkins 41 167 24 56 10 1 7 26 7 25 0 0 .335 .360 .533
Jonathan Herrera 10 25 1 8 1 0 0 2 2 3 1 1 .320 .370 .360
Matt Holliday 39 158 27 50 11 2 6 22 21 26 7 1 .316 .400 .525
Ryan Spilborghs 31 68 12 21 4 2 1 15 9 10 3 0 .309 .380 .471
Chris Iannetta 19 65 9 20 7 1 3 15 7 18 0 0 .308 .378 .585
Scott Podsednik 34 51 10 15 3 1 0 8 8 7 6 0 .294 .400 .392
Todd Helton 39 152 19 42 9 0 3 12 28 19 0 0 .276 .392 .395
Omar Quintanilla 10 38 5 10 5 0 0 2 0 5 0 0 .263 .263 .395
Brad Hawpe 38 131 16 33 7 1 3 16 23 32 0 0 .252 .368 .389
Willy Taveras 34 126 21 29 7 0 0 5 11 23 15 1 .230 .302 .286
Yorvit Torrealba 25 92 4 21 6 0 2 9 4 17 0 3 .228 .276 .359
Jeff Baker 21 47 5 10 3 0 0 6 2 14 0 0 .213 .255 .277
Aaron Cook 9 19 0 4 0 0 0 1 1 9 0 0 .211 .250 .211
Troy Tulowitzki 26 105 10 16 6 0 1 11 9 17 1 2 .152 .226 .238
Jayson Nix 17 45 2 5 1 0 0 2 5 12 1 0 .111 .216 .133
Franklin Morales 5 10 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 .100 .100 .100
Jeff Francis 8 12 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 .083 .083 .083

Pitching

W-LGGSCGSHOSVBSIPHRERHRBBKERAWHIP
Alberto Arias 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 4.1 3 0 0 0 2 2 0.00 1.15
Taylor Buchholz 1-2 19 0 0 0 1 1 21.2 11 5 4 0 7 16 1.66 .83
Matt Herges 1-0 20 0 0 0 0 0 23.1 16 7 5 2 6 22 1.93 .94
Kip Wells 1-1 10 1 0 0 0 0 19.2 16 7 5 2 14 16 2.29 1.53
Jason Grilli 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 7.2 7 2 2 0 5 9 2.35 1.57
Brian Fuentes 0-2 19 0 0 0 4 2 17.2 13 8 5 1 7 15 2.55 1.13
Josh Newman 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 6.2 9 2 2 1 4 4 2.70 1.95
Aaron Cook 6-2 9 9 0 0 0 0 60.2 56 22 19 4 21 29 2.82 1.27
Ryan Speier 1-1 15 0 0 0 0 1 16.0 16 6 6 1 5 12 3.38 1.31
Jose Capellan 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.0 3 1 1 0 0 2 4.50 1.50
Ubaldo Jimenez 1-3 8 8 0 0 0 0 40.2 46 30 25 3 28 38 5.53 1.82
Jeff Francis 0-4 8 8 0 0 0 0 47.1 58 33 33 9 19 31 6.27 1.63
Greg Reynolds 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 0 5.2 6 4 4 2 2 1 6.35 1.41
Franklin Morales 1-2 5 5 0 0 0 0 25.1 28 18 18 2 17 9 6.39 1.78
Manny Corpas 0-2 19 0 0 0 4 4 20.2 27 17 17 3 13 10 7.40 1.94
Mark Redman 2-3 7 6 0 0 0 0 31.0 41 29 27 5 12 18 7.84 1.71
Micah Bowie 0-1 10 0 0 0 0 0 8.0 11 8 8 1 3 5 9.00 1.75
Jorge De La Rosa 1-2 3 3 0 0 0 0 14.1 21 15 15 2 7 15 9.42 1.95
Luis Vizcaino 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1.1 5 4 4 0 3 1 27.00 6.00


 

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Hey Twins fans

just coming over from the Row. We are all a little bitter about the sweep that went down in Arizona this week. And the whole being 11 games under five hundred thing. As for the scouting, I would say that Ubaldo has plus plus stuff, but he walks too many guys and can’t stay out of the big inning. Maybe tonight will be the night he finally puts it all together. Reynolds is supposed to be a contact guy, but he was up in the zone against the Padres. Francis has been horrific this year. The thinking is that he’s tipping his pitches.

Our bullpen is unreliable, and none of our big sluggers can hit with runners in scoring position.

by moomacher on May 16, 2008 10:26 AM EDT   0 recs

Welcome to TT

The Rockies have a lot of talented hitters in the lineup…it won’t take much for them to blast into an early lead. But, hopefully what you say is true and we can keep you guys off the score board!

by Jesse on May 16, 2008 11:00 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

U-ball

U-ball is always entertaining to watch pitch. When he is in a groove he is overpowering and practically unhittable (reminds me of Verlander or Cain in that regard) but he never puts together a full game’s worth of that dominance.

So he may provide 2-3 innings of dominance and then a train-wreck or he might provide a train-wreck from the get-go. Either way the Twins should get a few runs and get to the Rockies bullpen early.

As to why he lacks strikeouts, I would chalk it up to him rarely being in hitter’s counts and to him rarely being able to locate either his fastball or his curve with any consistency. He gets a lot of swings and misses – they just aren’t for third strikes.

by MADness on May 16, 2008 12:49 PM EDT   0 recs

Also another wanderer from the "Purple Row"

Uballo: Really you guys need to see this guy. One day he will be an ace that even might get mentioned on ESPN. Think young Nolan Ryan or Pedro Martinez. Just electric stuff. Where it ends up is still anyone’s guess. He’s raw, but has all the makings of something really great. The “row” has nicknamed this guy “Nuke” for a reason.

Reynolds: He’s young, and rushed. He’s tall and likes to use that to go down in the zone to hitters. Reminds me of a VERY raw Brad Penny. Did I mention he’s rushed? He gave up a lot of fly balls in Petco…which is safe to do. In Coors…that could be an issue/problem

Francis: He’s not an ace, not even a lower tiered ace. He’s a soft throwing lefty, that like all soft throwing lefty needs movement and location to succeed. Problem is he doesn’t have much control. If he ever got command of that control, he could one day be a Jamie Moyer type. Right now he’s more a Mark Redman type.

Our Line up:

Willie Tavares CF: This guy can fly, and cover ground in CF. Has lost 1/2 step and is now struggling to steal 1st
Omar Quintella (L) and Jonathon Herrera (S), Jeff Baker® Pick your 2nd baseman de jour. the first 2 are AAA guys, the last one is a converted 3b/1b with a little pop but struggles to hit. Q is a great glove guy, and has been hitting, Herrera is a little slap hitter type he has potential but is rushed.
Holliday LF: Looks like he has some where better to be. Throw 1st pitch anywhere near the zone, and he’s swinging…and nubbing the ball or popping it up, or missing and going down 0-1.
Helton 1b: Has lost a lot of bad speed. Struggling just to put the ball in play at the moment. Still great with the glove. Can’t hit, or hit for any power, so why is he clean up?
Garrett Atkins 3b: maybe the most overlooked, and underated hitter in baseball. His average, home runs and RBI’s over the last 3 years put him up there with A-Rod and David Wright among 3rdbasemen. Get to know this guy, as I’ve heard the Twins have inquired about him.
Hawpe RF: Power hitter, that doesn’t have any power out side of Coors Field. He struggles against lefty pitching (hell he also struggles with righty pitching)
Iannetta/Torrealba C: They split time. Torrealba has the arm of a 2nd grader but seems to be a better on field coach. Iannetta is the inconsistent kid, with upside potential.
Barmes SS: a very good utility guy, forced to start at SS. He’s actually hitting some!

Coaching: we don’t have any.

WHAT THE (expletive deleted) IS GOING ON WITH THIS TEAM? YOU ARE THE NATIONAL (expletive deleted) LEAGUE (expletive deleted) CHAMPIONS, START PLAYING LIKE IT!!! WE NOW ARE IN LAST PLACE WITH THE WORST (expletive deleted) RECORD IN THE LEAGUE! THAT IS UNAC-(expletive deleted)-CEPTABLE!! YOU GUYS HAD BETTER SIT DOWN AND TAKE A LONG LOOK AT YOUSELVES AND FIGURE OUT WHAT THE (expletive deleted) IS GOING ON BECAUSE THIS TEAM IS TO (expletive deleted) GOOD TO BE PLAYING THIS (expletive deleted)! NOW, I’LL BE IN MY OFFICE IF ANYBODY FIGURES ANYTHING OUT. (SLAMS OFFICE DOOR) courtesy of free7694

by Redhawk on May 16, 2008 1:52 PM EDT   0 recs

Thanks Redhawk

I agree about Helton—he’s still and OBP machine, so he’d be a great guy to hit right in front of Holliday/Atkins/Hawpe. Atkins was someone who, as far as I know, the Twins have been interested since he was in the minors. Unfortunately we were giving PA’s to peaches like Tony Batista. I like him a lot, and I’m pretty sure the Twins even tried to get him last summer at some point.

Is Barmes really hitting 8th? Why, with how he’s hitting? How can Taveras bat lead-off…speed won’t get him anywhere if he can’t get on base. Not that we know anything about that.

by Jesse on May 16, 2008 2:30 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

All good points

logic is not something that influences Clint Hurdles lineup/playing time decisions.

by moomacher on May 16, 2008 2:54 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

stuff

Tavares is batting lead off, cause he has game changing speed once he gets on. Management, hasn’t figured out that he can’t get on yet. But if you move him down…who bats #1? Barmes could, but you’d like a little speed at the top of the line up (Barmes is average speed). Herrera has the speed, but he’s SO raw.
Barmes batting 8th: Welcome to the NL. Barmes has more patience than others (most of the team not named Iannetta), which you have to have to bat right before the pitcher.
Helton: well, we have no idea why he’s not batting #2. He profiles as very good #2 hitter, besides the fact that he’s slower then molasses. He can still work counts, take balls, etc.

As far as making sense…..I did say “Coaching: we don’t have any”

WHAT THE (expletive deleted) IS GOING ON WITH THIS TEAM? YOU ARE THE NATIONAL (expletive deleted) LEAGUE (expletive deleted) CHAMPIONS, START PLAYING LIKE IT!!! WE NOW ARE IN LAST PLACE WITH THE WORST (expletive deleted) RECORD IN THE LEAGUE! THAT IS UNAC-(expletive deleted)-CEPTABLE!! YOU GUYS HAD BETTER SIT DOWN AND TAKE A LONG LOOK AT YOUSELVES AND FIGURE OUT WHAT THE (expletive deleted) IS GOING ON BECAUSE THIS TEAM IS TO (expletive deleted) GOOD TO BE PLAYING THIS (expletive deleted)! NOW, I’LL BE IN MY OFFICE IF ANYBODY FIGURES ANYTHING OUT. (SLAMS OFFICE DOOR) courtesy of free7694

by Redhawk on May 16, 2008 3:03 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I should add/clarify

that if Taveras moved down, to say the 8th hole, than the Rockies would have 2 automatic outs in a row, with him and the pitcher. Throw in Torrealba, and you have potentially 3 automatic outs in row. Having Barmes here breaks this all up. Taveras is also a proto-typical lead off hitter. His issue this year is he’s a right handed speedster. That extra step over the plate that lefties don’t have to make shows up dramatically when the rightie loses a 1/2 step. That minute loss of speed has taken away Willie T’s magic trick of the bunt.

Also if Willie can show anything, he’s going to get moved, for Dexter Fowler who is in AA, but is all that and a bad of chips, and should be in the show next year. We want Willie to do well, and drive up his value. He can’t do that in the 8th hole.

WHAT THE (expletive deleted) IS GOING ON WITH THIS TEAM? YOU ARE THE NATIONAL (expletive deleted) LEAGUE (expletive deleted) CHAMPIONS, START PLAYING LIKE IT!!! WE NOW ARE IN LAST PLACE WITH THE WORST (expletive deleted) RECORD IN THE LEAGUE! THAT IS UNAC-(expletive deleted)-CEPTABLE!! YOU GUYS HAD BETTER SIT DOWN AND TAKE A LONG LOOK AT YOUSELVES AND FIGURE OUT WHAT THE (expletive deleted) IS GOING ON BECAUSE THIS TEAM IS TO (expletive deleted) GOOD TO BE PLAYING THIS (expletive deleted)! NOW, I’LL BE IN MY OFFICE IF ANYBODY FIGURES ANYTHING OUT. (SLAMS OFFICE DOOR) courtesy of free7694

by Redhawk on May 16, 2008 3:19 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Taveras is younger

than I thought he was. For some reason I pegged him to be in his 30’s. He’s not a bad hitter, but a lot of his OBP is tied up into his batting average—if he could take a few more walks it’d make him much more dangerous. Otherwise if he hits a slump he becomes pretty useless. He’s done a bit better this year in that category tho.

The reason I thought he’d be better suited for the 8-hole is a bit similar to what you said, except the other way around. I don’t see him as an automatic out, just someone who needs to get a lot of hits to have a high OBP…which in turn lets him use that game-changing speed. My philosophy, and it’s just me, is that I’d rather have a guy at the top who has a decent chance of getting on base, than a guy who has great speed but is having trouble reaching. I’d rather hit him 8th, and then if he reaches with less than two outs you can bunt him over over do whatever you’re comfortable doing.

But it’s really preaching to the choir. Gomez doesn’t have an OBP that’ll blow anyone away, but there’s the game-changing speed thing. If Gomez learns to take a few walks and be a bit more selective, he’ll make one helluva leadoff hitter.

by Jesse on May 16, 2008 6:07 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Taveras Is Young

which is what is so surprising about him losing that little smidge of speed out of the box.

As far as hitting and taking walks…he doesn’t get many walks, cause the pitchers throw it right down the pipe….and Willie can’t do a lot with it. Putting the Round bat on the Round ball and hitting it squarely is NOT Willies forte.

WHAT THE (expletive deleted) IS GOING ON WITH THIS TEAM? YOU ARE THE NATIONAL (expletive deleted) LEAGUE (expletive deleted) CHAMPIONS, START PLAYING LIKE IT!!! WE NOW ARE IN LAST PLACE WITH THE WORST (expletive deleted) RECORD IN THE LEAGUE! THAT IS UNAC-(expletive deleted)-CEPTABLE!! YOU GUYS HAD BETTER SIT DOWN AND TAKE A LONG LOOK AT YOUSELVES AND FIGURE OUT WHAT THE (expletive deleted) IS GOING ON BECAUSE THIS TEAM IS TO (expletive deleted) GOOD TO BE PLAYING THIS (expletive deleted)! NOW, I’LL BE IN MY OFFICE IF ANYBODY FIGURES ANYTHING OUT. (SLAMS OFFICE DOOR) courtesy of free7694

by Redhawk on May 16, 2008 7:55 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

We are dumb

I think you are underestimating Ubaldo. he is something very special. But he’s still young and raw.

At his best he’s unhittable. At his worst he’s unhittable (Cause he walks everyone).

Anyways our team is an absolute mess. We have 2 regular CF’s, 2 Regular Rf’s, 2 Regular Catches. 2 Regular SS’s, 2 Regular 2B.

I think its time for our team to sort out who the starters are and trade away some people.

I’ll be at the game tommorrow. I expect the Rox’s to somehow take 2 out of 3 but who knows considering our frequent ups and downs.

by acsguitar on May 16, 2008 6:08 PM EDT   0 recs

Fair enough

All the information I get is from websites, when I do these kinds of things. I’ve never seen Ubaldo actually pitch. I look at his pitchfx, firstinning.com, those kinds of things, to get an idea of his pitch speeds, which pitches break, etc. But a couple of Rocks fans have mentioned how he’s got some pretty good stuff, so I’m sure you’re pretty accurate there. I’m looking forward to seeing him pitch!

As for the redundancy….at least it’s a nice problem to have. At least you could ship some of that stuff off for other parts the Rocks actually need.

by Jesse on May 16, 2008 6:30 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Well redundancy is great

if it’s quality redundancy…..mediocre redundancy is not good. We have holes….lots, and lots of holes, but we have a crap load of CF’s! our GM thinks you can never have too many CF’s and old washed up crappy veteran relief pitchers.

I’m hoping the Rockies win one game. I’ll be at Sunday’s game.

By the way I’m a closet Twins fan. The Twins are one of my back up teams. I did several projects in the Minneapolis area in 05 then 06. Great run to the Division championship in 06, and I really was sucked in. I even got to see 3 Twins games. I tried to get tickets to the first home game against the A’s…...wow the dome is a real crap hole. Worse stadium I’ve been too. But it was fun team to watch. I’m sure you will love the new stadium.

In fact I really loved the twin cities....if I couldn't live in Denver, the Twin Cities, would be 1st on my list.  Minnesota, is a lot like Colordo....but with out the mountains.

WHAT THE (expletive deleted) IS GOING ON WITH THIS TEAM? YOU ARE THE NATIONAL (expletive deleted) LEAGUE (expletive deleted) CHAMPIONS, START PLAYING LIKE IT!!! WE NOW ARE IN LAST PLACE WITH THE WORST (expletive deleted) RECORD IN THE LEAGUE! THAT IS UNAC-(expletive deleted)-CEPTABLE!! YOU GUYS HAD BETTER SIT DOWN AND TAKE A LONG LOOK AT YOUSELVES AND FIGURE OUT WHAT THE (expletive deleted) IS GOING ON BECAUSE THIS TEAM IS TO (expletive deleted) GOOD TO BE PLAYING THIS (expletive deleted)! NOW, I’LL BE IN MY OFFICE IF ANYBODY FIGURES ANYTHING OUT. (SLAMS OFFICE DOOR) courtesy of free7694

by Redhawk on May 16, 2008 8:03 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I like

I like the Rox TV announcers. I dont know who is on lead, but former Twin George Frazier is the color guy.

by DedicatedFollowerOfFashion on May 16, 2008 7:01 PM EDT   0 recs

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