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Series Preview: Detroit Tigers


Current Series

3 game series vs Tigers @ Metrodome

Sat 05/03 7:10 PM EDT
Sun 05/04 2:10 PM EDT

Going In, In Brief

Winning two straight against the White Sox has made the Twins (13-14) winners of three out of their last four, which hopefully gives them a nice push into the second month of the season.  Finding some sort of offensive consistency is an issue, averaging just 3.8 runs per game.  Positively though, Joe Mauer, Carlos Gomez and Justin Morneau have been more effective at the plate recently.  Michael Cuddyer is hitting .316/.381/.526 in the five games since his return to the lineup.

Detroit (14-15) is a hot team right now.  They swept the Yankees in New York for the first time since 1966, and are on a bit of a streak having won eight of their last 10 contests.  They boast the American League's highest-scoring offense (5.2 RPG), lead the AL in both OBP (.356) and SLG (.443), and are second in the AL with 33 home runs.  On the plus side, their pitching staff leads all of baseball in walks and carries a relatively hefty 4.85 staff ERA.

Tigers Pitching Twins
5.2 RAPG 4.6
8.5 H/9 9.6
4.7 BB/9 2.6
0.8 HR/9 1.1
5.7 K/9 5.8
Tigers Hitting Twins
5.2 RPG 3.8
.356 OBP .305
.443 SLG .362
33 HR 14
14 SB 27

Probable Pitchers

Armando Galarraga VS Livan Hernandez
Justin Verlander VS Scott Baker
Kenny Rogers VS Boof Bonser

Opposition Focus

Armando Galarraga:  With three pretty good starts under his belt this year, this 26-year old right hander possesses decent capabilites to strike hitters out while maintaining pretty good control as well.  He's been inducing a lot of ground balls, so pitch selection will be important for an aggressive Minnesota offense.

Justin Verlander:  Verlander's off to a slow start, with higher walk rates and lower strikeout rates than  what we're used to from him.  He's only notched one quality start in six opportunities, and he can have trouble throwing strikes at times, so the (again) aggressive Minnesota bats should be patient and work counts.  Make Verlander prove that he can throw strikes.

Kenny Rogers:  Usually able to hit his spots pretty well, Rogers has walked more guys than he's fanned so far.  Like Verlander he's had trouble catching the strike zone at times, especially against right-handed hitters.  He turns 44 in June, so it's more than possible he's hit the end of what's been a very good run, but those kinds of guys have a tendency to mop up the Twins.  At least it seems like it.  Hopefully Young, Cuddyer, Gomez and Harris can come through for the Twins; starting the game with Monroe in the lineup, and then removing him later, might not be a bad strategy here.

Magglio Ordonez:  He's following up a career-best '07 pretty well; five homers, eight doubles, nearly a 1-to-1 BB:K ratio and a .923 OPS.  Ordonez is proving to be one of the best hitters of the last 10 years, with a career line of .312/.371/.522.  He's 34, and he's still incredible.

Curtis Granderson:  He's baaa-aaack:  .310/.459/.793 in the eight games since his return to Detroit.  The surprising part:  eight walks, four strikeouts.  Even though they've only sent him once (and he was caught), the pitcher will still need to keep a close eye on Granderson.  He reminds me a lot of Alfonso Soriano, both in skill set and physical form; if he can develop more patience and better discipline than Soriano, Granderson is looking at one heck of a good career.

Carlos Guillen:  Lots of line drives (22%), lots of walks (14.3% walk rate), good ISO (.204).  He's a doubles machine so far this season (9), and just another dangerous hitter in the Tiger batting order.  He and Miguel Cabrera have flip-flopped playing third and first the last few games.

Stats


Batting

GABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKSBCSAVGOBPSLG
Ramon Santiago 11 24 6 9 3 1 1 8 3 1 0 0 .375 .483 .708
Carlos Guillen 24 88 16 29 9 0 3 12 15 15 3 0 .330 .423 .534
Magglio Ordonez 29 108 18 34 8 0 5 21 15 16 0 0 .315 .395 .528
Curtis Granderson 8 29 11 9 3 1 3 6 8 4 0 1 .310 .459 .793
Edgar Renteria 28 110 15 34 5 0 3 17 5 18 0 0 .309 .336 .436
Clete Thomas 18 61 2 18 4 1 0 5 3 14 2 0 .295 .338 .393
Miguel Cabrera 28 104 16 29 5 1 6 22 15 19 1 0 .279 .369 .519
Ivan Rodriguez 25 98 12 25 8 1 1 12 5 18 3 0 .255 .302 .388
Brandon Inge 26 77 10 19 5 0 3 14 14 21 1 1 .247 .368 .429
Ryan Raburn 17 21 4 5 2 0 1 4 4 5 0 0 .238 .360 .476
Placido Polanco 21 84 13 19 4 0 2 9 12 7 1 0 .226 .337 .345
Marcus Thames 15 35 7 7 0 0 2 5 4 1 0 0 .200 .282 .371
Jacque Jones 21 69 10 13 2 1 1 5 8 16 0 1 .188 .275 .290
Gary Sheffield 21 74 10 13 3 0 2 5 16 16 3 0 .176 .337 .297

Pitching

W-LGGSCGSHOSVBSIPHRERHRBBKERAWHIP
Francisco Cruceta 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0.00 1.00
Clay Rapada 2-0 7 0 0 0 0 0 7.0 2 0 0 0 0 6 0.00 .29
Aquilino Lopez 2-0 11 0 0 0 0 1 18.1 15 1 1 0 1 14 0.49 .87
Armando Galarraga 2-0 3 3 0 0 0 0 18.0 7 5 3 1 6 13 1.50 .72
Denny Bautista 0-1 12 0 0 0 0 0 12.0 8 3 3 0 12 8 2.25 1.67
Todd Jones 0-0 11 0 0 0 5 0 11.0 8 3 3 1 5 5 2.45 1.18
Bobby Seay 0-0 11 0 0 0 0 0 9.0 9 3 3 0 3 8 3.00 1.33
Jeremy Bonderman 2-2 6 6 0 0 0 0 35.0 33 20 15 4 23 18 3.86 1.60
Francis Beltran 1-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 4.2 6 3 3 1 4 4 5.79 2.14
Justin Verlander 1-4 6 6 0 0 0 0 36.0 35 31 26 5 18 20 6.50 1.47
Kenny Rogers 2-3 6 6 0 0 0 0 30.2 38 24 23 3 19 13 6.75 1.86
Nate Robertson 1-3 6 6 0 0 0 0 34.1 42 26 26 5 9 27 6.82 1.49
Dontrelle Willis 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 5.0 1 4 4 0 9 0 7.20 2.00
Zach Miner 1-1 11 0 0 0 0 1 17.1 19 16 15 2 11 12 7.79 1.73
Yorman Bazardo 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3.0 7 8 8 0 5 3 24.00 4.00


 

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Ouch

The “offense” half of that comparison chart is absolutely brutal – the Tigers have 17% better OBP, 22% better slugging, and a whopping 136% more homers than the Twins.

Curtis Granderson frightens me (in a baseball sense; he doesn’t seem like a particularly scary guy otherwise).

"There are only two things that are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former." - Albert Einstein

by BeefMaster on May 2, 2008 10:35 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Granderson is good. Even when he strikes out 140 times a year...that IS scary.

It doesn’t help that Detroit is an offensive jugernaut, but yeah, comparing the hitters sort of puts into perspective how “scrappy” we’ve been as a team so far this year with the bats. With Cuddyer healthy, hopefully things can turn around a little bit. Justin’s pulling his weight, Joe’s been better the last few games. We just need Kubel, Young and Lamb to pull their weight.

by Jesse on May 2, 2008 10:39 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

With our pitching...

We might be able to pull out 2 games, it depends how well Boof and Baker are able to battle. If they can limit their hitters to 3 runs over 6-7 innings they give our pathetic offense a shot. Livan I expect will get hammered again. Nice little run big buddy. Time to make way for the true innings eaters ( yes the 3 B’s and Slowey are ready…)

Gardenhire's major league career: Banjo hitting, futility infielder who couldn't lick it.
Rick Anderson's major league career: Strikethrower who never made it happen his sub 90's fastball.
Really gives a new definition to living vicariously through other people, don't it?

by caseintheface on May 2, 2008 3:04 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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