I thought signing Castillo to a 4-year contract was the most inexplicable, irrational signing of the off-season. You could argue about which is worse: total money wasted, which would weight toward largest contracts, or overvalued contracts based on cost/benefit ratio, so a smaller contract would be worse if the player’s value was miniscule. Using the latter logic, Castillo is pretty competitive.

An aging speed guy with chronic leg injuries, mediocre OBP, no power whatsoever, who’s pretty much stopped stealing bases, is not worth much over replacement level, so paying him like an all-star is weird—but the length, for a 32-year-old guy whose physical breakdown is already well on its way, is just mind-boggling. Four years, $25 million. There are people who will cost their team more than that, but few for whom the money could so clearly be seen as being thrown down the drain the day it happened (I’m talking about this year only).

To be fair, I will say I’m impressed that he has stolen nine bases this year, and I would have guessed his OBP with the Twins last year was lower than .356, which is pretty respectable. And he’s played most of their games this year, which is more than one might expect. But really, no one should be surprised by his .253 .359 .315 .674 line this year…and it’s all downhill from here.

Any predictions for his over/under date for remaining in the league?