FanPost

Pecota Founder Becomes a Political Star

Short diary, but I found this kind of interesting, as I think will some of the numbers-based people on this site.

As you may know, there was a hell of a Democratic primary this year.  Trying to figure out the polls and who would win and in what state got to be quite the enterprise on the Internet.

One person, Poblano by web-name, basically distinguished himself on several sites, far and above any other prognosticator, poll or pundit.  Actually, he now has a national reputation for being able to call election results.  He called, in advance, many primaries with a level of accuracy that had the Web buzzing about who this guy really was and how his methodology, regression analysis, worked.

Well, today the secret is out .  He was none other than Nate Silver, from Baseball Prospectus, whom many of you will recognize as the creator of the PECOTA projection analysis.

I don't really follow numbers that carefully, but I find the intersection of politics and baseball, at least in terms of analysis, to be somewhat intriguing. 

Also that, in spite of all the money and attention and power in politics, the guy who pegged primary results closest honed his skills trying to understand baseball.  That's as American as apple pie.

I kind of like that.

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