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Dugout Splinters: Minnesota Twins

The following will appear in the June kickoff of GameDay, of which I was fortunate enough to be Guest Editor for the second time this year.  Thanks again to GameDay and John Bonnes, as well as to my contributing authors for the monthly features and our graphic artist, Jay.

In Bloom

Minnesota went 15-13 in the second full month of the '08 season, which was good enough to keep them right in the thick of the AL Central.  Entering play on Monday, this leaves them one game off the pace set by current division leaders Chicago.  After a generally lethargic performance by the offense in April, a number of players stepped up their game in May.  The overall difference in team offense between April and May is a pretty stark contrast:

Month

Games

Runs

Hits

XBH

BB

SO

AVG

OBP

SLG

April

26

99

225

58

55

160

.258

.302

.361

May

28

154

276

77

106

181

.273

.341

.399


Sure, the Twins struck out an additional 21 times in two extra games, but considering the dramatic increases across the board in the remaining categories, I'll take the extra K's.  So, who do we thank for a great May?

Mike Lamb deserves a lot of credit.  While his season stats still aren't encouraging, he picked up his slack in May to the tune of a .304/.340/.407 line.  Lamb's problem is the Twins' problem across the board-a lack of power.  Continued success at the plate in June from our everyday third baseman will go a long way in sustaining the team's pace from May, and considering the lack of experienced in-house alternatives at the hot corner the Twins will need him to do just that.

The arrival of Alexi Casilla couldn't have come at a better time.  He's still raw, but his patience at the plate is paying huge dividends.  In 50 May at-bats he raked, putting together a scathing line of .340/.417/.520.  Nobody's under the delusion that he can sustain this level of production all year, but his peripherals look great, and he's been a perfect fit at the top of the order with Carlos Gomez.

Speaking of which, Casilla wasn't the only one to flash some improved plate discipline.  The aforementioned Gomez hit .299/.348/.449 on the month, working six walks as opposed to the disappointing single one in all of April.  If Alexi and Carlos continue to hit well at the top of the order, they're going to give the middle of the order plenty of run-producing opportunities.

Know what?  I think they're up to the challenge...the M&M boys destroyed pitching in May.  Joe Mauer, even after a relatively cold close to the month, put together an astounding .333/.442/.387 performance, including an incredible 19 walks.  Justin Morneau had already hit well in April, but he did even better in May.  While "only" hitting four home runs, he once again displayed the ability to let power be a secondary trait when simply being an exceptionally good hitter and merely driving the ball will do.  He batted .336/.405/.496, hitting with authority to all fields.

With the pitching hitting some stumbling blocks last month it's even more imperative that the bats stay alive.  If the as-of-yet under-performing Delmon Young and Michael Cuddyer (both have had brighter moments recently) can join the guys listed above, we might be talking about a legitimate pennant race by this time next month.

State of the Pitching Staff

First things first:  In case you haven't heard the status of Nick Blackburn (who was hit in the face by a line drive on Sunday afternoon), he expects to make his next start on Friday against the White Sox.  All gold stars and warm fuzzies there.

As for the rest of the boys, there's been some good mixed with some bad.  Boof Bonser had a target on every pitch he threw in May (six starts, 30.1 innings, 38 hits, 35 runs, 8.60 ERA), and is likely headed to the bullpen.  While Thursday's starter is still listed as TBA as of this printing, it's likely that Scott Baker will take Bonser's slot.  Last week, under the guise of keeping Glen Perkins on a 5-day rotation, Bonser's start was bumped back a day.  That move happened to coincide with Baker's final rehab start...wink-wink, nudge-nudge.  If for any reason Blackburn is unable to go on Friday, you might see Boof make one final start there before getting a new role.

On the whole, while there were some big boosts from certain hurlers in May (specifically Kevin Slowey and Perkins), it was still the pitching (and defense for that matter) that kept the offensive boom from netting more than a +2 record for the month:

Month

WHIP

Runs/Game

K/9

BB/9

H/9

HR/9

April

1.37

4.2

5.79

2.68

9.64

1.14

May

1.46

4.4

5.30

2.70

10.45

0.97


Finally, down in Rochester, Francisco Liriano had his best outing of the season (by far) on Saturday, going 6 1/3rd, allowing a single run on three hits, a walk and seven strikeouts.  He'll be back eventually, but until that time comes there are still things that need to be ironed out.  A number of starting and relief roles in flux right now, and that's never good for a contender.

ON THE HILL  

 

Tuesday:  Kevin Slowey  (2-4, 3.38 ERA)

 

 

¨        2008:  34.2 IP, 30 H, 24 K, 6 BB, 6 HR

¨        2007:  4-1, 4.73 ERA, 66.2 IP, 82 H, 47 K, 11 BB

¨        Fastball, changeup, curve, slider

¨        For a guy who "doesn’t have a strikeout pitch", he does pretty well.

¨        He threw a complete game in his last start, but still threw fewer pitches than he had in his previous three.

¨        As far as Slowey is concerned, accuracy is king.  He won’t overpower anyone, but all of his pitches can be thrown for strikes.  When he’s on his game he’s a marksman, and it’s beautiful

 

Wednesday:  Glen Perkins  (2-2, 3.90 ERA)

 

¨        2008:  30 IP, 37 H, 16 K, 6 BB, 4 HR

¨        2007:  0-0, 3.14 ERA, 28.2 IP, 23 H, 20 K, 12 BB

¨        Fastball, changeup, curve/slurve

¨        He had his first rough start in five his last time out, managing only four innings.

¨        Perkins has been throwing his changeup a bit more often this season, but at the cost of how often he uses his breaking balls.  This could be because of how similar is fastball is to his changeup in movement, which makes it more deceptive.

¨        He’s been hit very hard this year, especially for a guy who’s putting up solid number as he has.  Nearly 30% of balls-in-play against him have been line drives, which are the most difficult BIP to turn into outs.

¨        At least half of his breaking balls will miss the strike zone, according to pitch records.  It’s his only pitch with much horizontal break, but there can be a lot of it.

 

Thursday:  Scott Baker  (2-0, 4.09 ERA)

 

¨        2008:  33 IP, 31 H, 29 K, 5 BB, 6 HR

¨        2007:  9-9, 4.26 ERA, 143.2 IP, 162 H, 102 K, 29 BB

¨        Fastball, changeup, curve, slider

¨        Baker made his two rehab starts, and pitched well on both occasions.

¨        He gets good movement off both of his breaking balls which, opposite of Perkins, have less spin than his fastball and changeup.

¨        Baker relies on location just like Slowey.  Neither one of them are over-powering, but where Slowey can paint his pitches where he likes, Baker’s able to attack a bit more direct.

 

0 recs | Comment 7 comments

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Mauer and Casilla

More good news on Mauer tonight, hitting his first dinger of the year. He really turned on and launched a high and inside hanging curve.

As for Casilla, he’ll obviously fall off, but the good thing is, he could lose 75% of his isolated power and 40 batting average points and still be a very strong player with his speed and defense. Hopefully, he’s turned a corner in turning all that talent into production.

One last thing you didn’t mention in that article, Cuddyer is back! He was EVERYWHERE in the Yankees series, driving the ball all over the field, getting big RBI’s, and flashing that arm off against Yankee’s baserunners. It’ll be good to have Cuddles back…

I’m excited to get back in town so I can read your second effort at the game!

"You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the damn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all."
~ Earl Weaver
"In God we trust. All others must provide evidence."
~ Billy Beane

by AdamOnFirst on Jun 3, 2008 2:09 AM EDT   0 recs

Young bothers me

when I see some of his plays in the outfield. His offense really does not bother me that much. I really figured once he got more comfortable he would start hitting better and supposedly he has started slow in the past – don’t know if they are talking about minors and last year or only last year when they refer to his slow starts.

Back to his defense. From what I understand I believe he is faster than Cuddyer but he sure does not look like it when he is in the outfield. When Cuddy goes after a ball he looks smooth in his strides. Delmon looks like his feet don’t know what to do. I thought it looked like he should have gotten to the ball that went over his head last night and then later the one that he came in on he fumbled the ball around for a while before he got a handle on it. This is not the first time we have seen this play from him in the outfield. I sure hope he gets better because I really want to like the guy.

richman

by anderson800 on Jun 3, 2008 11:02 AM EDT   0 recs

humorous

You and I posted the same thoughts on Young at the same time. I posted mine as a fanpost instead of a comment because I was hoping to elicit some analysis from someone who knows what he/she is talking about (not saying that isn’t you, just saying that isn’t me).

by montanatwinsfan on Jun 3, 2008 11:39 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I'm working

on a post examining Young’s D as we speak type.

by Jesse on Jun 3, 2008 1:24 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Young is a very good left fielder

Young has way more range than Cuddyer. He gets comparable jumps but runs a step or two faster to every ball than Cuddy. He’s made more plays outside of his range out there in two months than all the left fielders did all year last year. That’s why his range factor is 2.21 compared with the leagues 1.73 for left fielders. Cuddyer’s range factor in right isn’t bad either2.16 compared to the league average 1.80 for right fielders.

He has nearly as strong and accurate of an arm as Cuddyer. His 7 assists leads the league. Cuddyer has 4 assists, but a lot of guys just don’t run on him, so he still probably has a better arm than Delmon, but not by much.

Lew Ford had decent range until the last couple of years, when it dropped off the table. I was going to say that Jacque Jones was better, but looking at the numbers, not so. He had comparable range but not nearly as good of an arm. Neither Mack nor Gladden had anywhere near the range of Young or Jones. You can make an argument that Young is the best left fielder the Twins have ever had. Give him a couple of years and you will.

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on Jun 3, 2008 6:24 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Casilla

Has Gomez had a positve effect on Casilla? Watching Casilla at 1st against Pettitte in the bottom of the 3rd inning, I was surprised how aggressive he was. On Mauer’s comebacker, Casilla got a huge jump and would have been safe at second.

This doesn’t appear to be the same player who was…um..had lots of room for improvement following last season.

by faketeams on Jun 3, 2008 4:31 PM EDT   0 recs

True, he's not the same player.

He’s always been aggressive…often times, too aggressive. I’m hoping he’s learned to reign it in a little bit actually, and learned to use those skills wisely instead of like some rogue F-14 in an ‘80’s flyboy movie.

Mostly I’ve been impressed with his discipline at the plate, which is something he was doing at AAA in addition to Minnesota. I’m hoping he’s taking the 2nd base job and running with it.

by Jesse on Jun 3, 2008 5:01 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

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