The Defensive Perception
With all the talk around the site recently regarding Delmon Young's defensive abilities in left field, I thought now would be a good time to gauge exactly where he's at so far this year.
It hasn't been an easy first year with the Twins for Delmon Young. His offense was ripped early and often, and now that parts of that game are coming around and fans are getting accustomed to being patient with young hitters, it's his defense that is coming under fire.
Without watching him in the field, we already know he's a big guy (MLB.com lists him at 6' 3", 200 lbs), built of solid muscle. We know he's talented, athletic, and that scouts have tagged him with all-around "plus tools" for years. All of those things are nice, and they certainly don't play against him. But the questions aren't rooted in what we don't see; the questions have to do with concerns about his ability to play left field, something we've seen nearly everyday for the last 10 weeks.
What We've Seen
Over the season's first couple of months, Young has made a fair number of high-profile mistakes in the field. In addition he's been caught taking bad routes and getting bad jumps, and in general he looks uncomfortable when he's tracking a ball in the air. His movements aren't smooth, they don't look practised, and as a result he can end up looking slower than he actually is (which is unfortunate, because as far as raw speed goes he's pretty quick). It's this combination that's pulling a shadow over his time in left field, so I thought it'd be interesting to compare him to other American League left fielders. Since we're questioning his mobility and tracking skills more than his arm, we'll focus on some of those metrics.
This list has been organized by Revised Zone Rating (RZR). I've used an arbitrary cut-off of 30 balls-in-zone, so guys like David DeJesus and Marcus Thames won't be on the list. Neither will Jacque Jones...since he's not around anymore.
| Team | Name | BIZ | Plays | RZR | OOZ |
| DET | Clete Thomas | 34 | 32 | .941 | 7 |
| NYY | Johnny Damon | 69 | 63 | .913 | 24 |
| TOR | Shannon Stewart | 48 | 43 | .896 | 12 |
| TEX | Brandon Boggs | 38 | 34 | .895 | 16 |
| TB | Carl Crawford | 113 | 101 | .894 | 29 |
| TEX | David Murphy | 35 | 31 | .886 | 7 |
| MIN | Delmon Young | 104 | 90 | .865 | 27 |
| BAL | Luke Scott | 78 | 67 | .859 | 13 |
| SEA | Raul Ibanez | 104 | 89 | .856 | 18 |
| CLE | David Dellucci | 52 | 44 | .846 | 17 |
| OAK | Jack Cust | 63 | 53 | .841 | 10 |
| LAA | Garrett Anderson | 56 | 47 | .839 | 20 |
| BOS | Manny Ramirez | 82 | 68 | .829 | 9 |
| CWS | Carlos Quentin | 89 | 73 | .820 | 17 |
| KC | Mark Teahen | 49 | 40 | .816 | 8 |
The first thing you notice about this list are the guys at the top, players like Stewart and Damon, who have been traditionally known as weak outfielders because of their weak arms. Fortunately for them list list deals more with range, and the ability to convert the balls in their zone into outs. It's just important to note that these metrics aren't measuring the full gamut of skills for excellent defensive players.
At any rate, Delmon Young comes in 7th out of 15 left fielders at converting BIZ (balls-in-zone) into outs, which isn't horrible. It's right around the league average. What should stand out to us about Young's numbers, though, are the 27 outs recorded outside of the left fielder's zone (OOZ). Delmon has recorded more outs outside his zone than any other left fielder in the American League outside of the lightning quick Carl Crawford, and that's impressive.
Changing Positions and Fields
One factor that hasn't been discussed is that Young was primarily a right fielder while playing with the Rays. Anytime you're playing a new position, even one as "interchangeable" as we think right and left field to be, there's a period of adjustment involved. Additionally, Young is playing on new turf on a daily basis. When you're in town for three or four games, you can fake it. When you play 81 games there, you need to get used to it. Not only are you getting used to the size of foul territory and where you are in relation to it, and the distance to the fence and when the warning track starts, but how your new center fielder plays and how things change when that player is on your left instead of your right, and how to get used to balls coming at you out of a sky that acts as camouflage.
And it's not like Young was an average right fielder in 2007. From right field last season he recorded an .868 RZR while making 35 outs OOZ. But that's not the outstanding part. In addition, when you take into account that powerful arm we've seen, he was a defensive force. Out of all right fielders in baseball in '07, Delmon Young saved his team the fourth most runs by holding and killing base runners. He trailed only Shane Victorino, Jeff Francoeur and...Michael Cuddyer.
Wrap It Up Dude, I Have Stuff To Do
It's important to remember that for as many hiccups we've seen in the field so far this year, he's made some pretty decent plays that most left fielders couldn't have done. It's just one of those things where it's far easier to remember the negative plays (like the one that led to the inside the park home run) than it is to pick out the plays where nothing went wrong.
As far as changing positions goes, I'm not trying to make excuses for Young's lapses in judgement, but just like we need to use patience with him at the plate (where we hope he learns patience), we need to have a bit of patience with him in the field as well. The tools are there, and there are some encouraging signs when we look at the numbers.
He's demonstrated a very strong arm, and he's shown that he can get to some balls that most players can't. The range is there, especially for a left fielder, so if we give him time to grow into this shoes I have little doubt he'll mature into one of the best defensive left fielders in baseball. Ultimately, in spite of what it looks like--that he's bumbling around a bit out in left field--we're doing pretty well as far as Young's defense is concerned. We certainly could be doing much worse.
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Just ran these...
Delmon’s MTHDMAN is 1.34 this season, with a RAEKWON of 3.45. We need to get that RAEKWON down Del!
Well...
The MTHDMAN is good. A good left fielder will always be in the .80-2.00 range according to the Big John Stubbs ratio. Essentially think of it as the number of steps to a ball a player makes in a whole game, divided by the beats per minute of the player’s music while walking to the batters box. So, if Del chased 15 balls, at an average of 10 steps per attempt, we are looking at 150 steps. And if his “entrance music” is 80bpm (beats per minute) then his MTHDMAN of that game would be 1.875. So, all in all, he is doing well in that category.
Hardly anyone outside of the East Coast Hip-Hop scene can explain RAEKWON…so lets just agree that he has to bring that number down!
Great work
That’s what I was trying to say in another post. He’s made some mistakes. And the Dome can be brutal on left fielders because the lights are so low. If memory serves, most of his mistakes are at home.
But taken for all and all, he’s been a vast improvement out there over the collection of characters we’ve trotted out. I mean RonDL had no business in the outfield. And as fast as both Ford and Tyner were, they took more Z routes on balls than Delmon does.
One thing I know, Delmon has the best arm of any left fielder we’ve ever had.
"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot
An interesting side note...
...is that a lot of teams in the AL haven’t had a “regular” left fielder. Kansas City, Detroit, Cleveland, Texas, Toronto, the Yanks, the Angels…they’ve all had to deal with injuries or platoons or, in Detroit’s case, filling in a hole left by a guy who was cut. We’ve been that team the last few years. Delmon struggles but we know how the Twins like their consistency, so they’ll keep trotting him out there…at least he has talent and time to grow into himself.
a couple other notes
1) He is recording all those outs out of zone with freakin’ Carlos Gomez, who seems determined to catch everything hit anywhere, in centerfield.
2) As Twins fans, we have very high standards for defense because we are used to seeing a lot of it done well. Delmon Young might not have met our standards yet, but if you look around the league the average left fielder is not better in the field, and the average left fielder definitely does not have as much youth/upside.
http://noblingblings.blogspot.com/
Thanks Jesse
now for a look at Delmon’s offensive numbers I direct you to:
http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2008/5/29/541422/delmon-young-is-becoming-m
We don't grade ballplayers on a curve
RZR as a measurement of an outfield’s defense is like determining an elephant’s weight by placing one of its feet on a bathroom scale.
It does not tell me:
1) When the outfielder went after a foul ball but failed to catch a very playable ball, as Delmon Young has done at least three times this year. Zone rating gives you credit for the catch, not for the failure.
2) When an outfielder misses the cutoff man.
3) When the outfielder throws to the wrong base.
4) When the outfielder fails to back up the other outfielder.
5) When the outfielder fails to back up a base on a throw.
6) When the outfielder backs up another outfielder, yet lets it roll to the fence, as Delmon Young did tonight.
7) When an alert infielder turns a throw from the outfielder, perhaps to the wrong place, into an assist for the outfielder by paying attention to the developning play and zipping the ball to the right base on an anxious base-runner.
8) If an outfielder goes back and to his left well, perhaps extraordinarily well, but does not go to his right and in well. Or vice-versa.
9) If the outfielder struggles with a ball bouncing around the fence, but the official scorer is not going to give him an error, yet the bumbling lets the runner take another base without drawing a throw.
10) If the outfielder can play a carom off the wall well enough to hold the runner to a lesser base.
Delmon’s outfield play is embedded in all of the above. He looks like a guy who didn’t think much about defense, and if he was coached on it, didn’t much care. In addition, he often has his glove in poor position, and he s a catch … throw guy, not a catch-and-throw guy. Example of the latter was Cuddyer gunning down Jeter at second in the Monday game of the Yankee series. All one motion. Catch-and-throw. Delmon catches, sets up (often with poor footwork and poor shoulder direction) and then throws. The throw is often either off the mark or high of its intended target.
He’s got assists, you say? Runners tend to keep running on you until you can show you can stop them. Then they still might run on you, but not as often, and more tentatively.
Delmon needs a lot of three-double games to make up for his outfield work.
As for comparison to others, not relevant. If you are a bit better than a carload of mediocre people, you’re nothing special.
Sure...
We don’t grade ballplayers on a curve. As for comparison to others, not relevant.
In general, no, we don’t grade ballplayers on a curve—but comparing him to the rest of the league at least gives you an idea of how good or bad he is in comparison to the rest of the league. It gives you a place to start. It may not be of interest to you, but it is to me. Besides, if your only judge of a player is stand-alone, you’re missing part of the picture.
As for 1-10, you’re right, but it’s why I said this: It’s just important to note that these metrics aren’t measuring the full gamut of skills for excellent defensive players. I wasn’t pretending that RZR and OOZ and BIZ were the be-all, end-all of defensive evaluation. Comments on the site had focused on his appearance in the field—less so on what happened after he made a play on the ball, whether it was a good play or a bad one. So I focused on that. We can do another study on that part of it, if you want. You could go for it, too.
He’s got assists, you say? Runners tend to keep running on you until you can show you can stop them. Then they still might run on you, but not as often, and more tentatively.
This is a great argument, but there are a couple of things-first, the study examinging hold and kills/assists was from 2007, when Cuddyer led all of right field in baseball, and Delmon came in fourth. You can’t brush off his assist numbers from last year when in the previous sentence you just praised Cuddyer for being a model example of handing base runners and being quick on the turnaround. Either the assist numbers from last year are a good thing or a bad thing; neither of us saw Delmon enough last year to make a solid judgment on how he handled balls for the Rays. (Unless you did. Did you?) Second, I used this study as an example-as proof that Young does have the ability to do the right thing with the ball after the catch. But again, it’s not the entire picture—we still need to exhibit some patience on a guy who’s still just 22. Poor footwork and shoulder direction, working on catch-and-throw, understanding the situation, knowing where the ball needs to be…yes, it all still needs work. Luckily he’s young, and in his first year with the Twins. If we’re still bitching about it in a couple years, then I’ll worry a little bit more, but right now I’d like to think the Twins are working on those very things.
He may not be anything special in the field right now, but he has the tools to be—so, hopefully, he can be coached. And even if you are only a bit better than a carload of mediocre people, you’re still above average. I think he’ll be okay.
Progress
of us saw Delmon enough last year to make a solid judgment on how he handled balls for the Rays. (Unless you did. Did you?)
Enough, and in the minors, to say he has not made suitable progress given his time on a pro ball field. If he were a college kid – and the coaching for college kids usually ranges from OK to not so hot, it would be one thing. And maybe if he had played in the Twins’ organization we’d see something different. His current shaky play COULD be attributed to his minor league coaching and his coachability, and CAN be attributed to his movements, which you will note often resemble those of a teen’s body that grew too fast for coordination to keep up with him.
Presumably, all these can be overcome. But he is frequently painful to watch, and pitchers certainly cringe when the ball goes his way.
He also needs to learn to play within his limitations and grow with that, rather than think he’s still in the SALLY league making up for defensive lapses with his bat.
Still, since Gardy has been telling people he’s “only 22,” everyone has picked up on it. And it’s good to see people are listening to Gardy, even if he is just speaking for the sake of the media and fans.
Do we need to listen to Gardy to know that 22-year olds still have time to develop?
I’m not sure there are any players who are “complete” at 22.
But I think you’re right on with everything you said here.
David Wright-
-didn’t look so bad to me at 22. He looked pretty good at 21. Same with Jose Reyes.
Complete? No. But even at 21, Luis Rivas was less maddening than Delmon.
The only consolation is to try to keep in mind that since TK, you picked it or you sat. So people who have followed the Twins for 20 years are not used to this.
As an aside that is so far afield it probably should be its own thread, when Walter Alston managed the Dodgers for 20-plus years, a big deal was made of his longevity. Enhancing the story was he reputedly never had anything but a one-year contract, so his unusual managerial longevity coupled with the lack of long-term contract made a nice little story, at least until you heard it 127 times. Which leads to the unusual stability of the Twins. Going on 50 years, two owners. More than 20 years now, two managers. Certainly, some people quibble that makes the Twins too inbred, but it’s been a good organization, mostly entertaining teams, and they have done a great job marketing a “low revenue” operation to fans who have had to enter the awful Metrodome on sunny summer afternoons.
To bring that tangent back full circle, I do wonder where Delmon would be had he come up through an organization that asks a guy to flash a little leather.

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