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Twins Hammer and Homer Royals for the Sweep: Bring On the Tigers!

Twins 13, Royals 4

Do you hear that?  Can you still hear it?  It's the reverb from the cacophony of noise created by fans at the Dome.  Why, you may ask?

Because we just forced game 163.

"BOOM!" said Jason Kubel.

"BOOM!" said Delmon Young.

"BOOM!" said Kubel, again.

"Ditto," said Delmon.

As the Detroit Tigers hung on to salvage one game from the Chicago White Sox this afternoon, the Twins were busy putting the hurt on the Kansas City Royals.  It was 7-0 at the end of the third inning, with six of those runs crossing the plate stuck in Kubel's beard; a pair of three-run jacks lifted Jason to one of the best days of his career in a crucial game.

Young went deep twice of his own accord, solo shots that, "just enough" or not, certainly did the trick.  His second blast put the Twins up 8-1 going into the sixth, and the game looked like it was on ice.  But oh yeah, we were facing the Royals, and they have just as much fight as the Twins.  Sadly for them they don't have the talent to match, but for one half of an inning, things were interesting.

Carl Pavano started on three days rest this afternoon, and he looked good.  Working out of a second and third with one out situation in the second inning, he made a statement about exactly what kind of a pitcher he can be when he bears down.  He worked John Buck out-in-out-in-in to induce a shallow fly-out to center that couldn't score a run, and then quickly sent down Alex Gordon as well.  It was a microcosm of the game for the Royals:  try as they might, it wasn't going to be good enough.

Pavano pitched around a Luis Hernandez leadoff double in the third before allowing a run in the fourth off back-to-back doubles by Alberto Callaspo and Mark Teahen.  He looked strong again the fifth before falling off the table in the aforementioned sixth.

Mike Jacobs picked up a leadoff single before Callaspo tripled to bring the score to 8-2.  Still Pavano battled back, striking out Teahen and inducing a Buck ground-out for out number two.  Another run scored, but with the bases empty and the bullpen spare he attacked Alex Gordon.

"BOOM!", said Gordon.  8-4, hook for Pavano, enter Bobby Keppel.

Quick, ask me which pitcher I don't want to see in a game.

Keppel lasted six pitches, delivering five fastballs down the middle of the plate and a slider in the dirt.  The Royals continued to jab with the left, trying to inch closer before coming in with a strong right.  With runners on the corners and still just the two outs that Pavano managed, Ron Gardenhire went to Ron Mahay in order to get lefty Mitch Maier.

Mahay hit Maier.

Bases loaded, down by four and with Billy Butler at the dish, this game suddenly didn't look like such a sure shot.  Gardenhire power walked to the mound for the third time that inning, stuck two fingers up Mahay's nose, pulled down, said "Get outta here you knucklehead"  and then poked Mahay in the eyes.  Out came Jon Rauch.

Big, surly Jon Rauch.  The Jon Rauch whose tattoo changes color depending on his mood.  I think it's like a mood tattoo, and today it was green.  Whatever green means, it didn't bode well for the Royals.  Rauch dusted in and out with a couple of breaking balls, and then attacked the outer half with two consecutive fastballs, the second of which Butler just stood and watched without flinching.  Strike three, good sir.

From there things got considerably easier.  In the bottom half of the sixth Denard Span walked, and then scored on an Orlando Cabrera double down the left field line.  After Kubel singled in the seventh, Carlos Gomez replaced him on the bases and later scored on a Matt Tolbert (TOL-BEAR!!) double into right.  In the bottom half of the eighth Span singled, and then scored on a Cabrera double down the left field line.  Yes, again.  Oh, and one more thing.

"BOOM!" said Cuddyer.  With authori-tah.

Astoundingly the Royals actually out-hit the Twins 12-11, with the difference being that A) the Twins walked seven times and B) the Twins out-homered the Royals 5-1.  That kind of thing usually makes it very easy to win.

Brian Duensing, Jesse Crain and Francisco Liriano dusted off the final three innings without allowing a run, and at the end of the afternoon the Twins had done the unbelieveable:  they'd swept the Royals, and earned themselves a shot at the division title.

While the White Sox couldn't complete the miracle, it hardly seems to matter.  Minnesota was written off for dead, not just by most of the baseball world but by many of their own fans.  And you know what?  I don't blame anyone.  I don't harbor any hard feelings toward anyone for looking at the mathematical probabilities on Friday morning and saying "nope".  But it was't over then, and it's not over now.

Tuesday afternoon at four the Tigers come to town to defend a crown that should be theirs.  There will be no pressure on the Twins in this game--they're "not supposed" to even be there.  For the second year in a row the Twins have to play game 163 to decide whether or not they are the AL Central champions, to decide whether or not they earn the right to play post-season baseball.  This time the game is being played where it should be played:  in the comforts of Dome.

The season plays on for at least one more glorious afternoon of baseball.  And we get once last shot under the teflon sky.  Are you excited?  Because you sure as hell should be.

Stars of the Game
#3:  Delmon Young  (2-for-5, 2 HR, 2 RBI, 2 R, .071 WPA)
#2:  Carl Pavano  (5.2 IP on three days rest, 8 H, 7 K, 1 BB, 4 R, .096 WPA)
#1:  Jason Kubel  (3-for-4, 2 HR, 6 RBI, 2 R, .257 WPA)

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Comments

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I gotta be honest..

I was one of those that said “not possible” … but the fact the Twins are at this point is amazing. No team in the history of ever in the AL has come back from three games down with four games left and won a division.

Very proud of the Twins right now! Can’t wait for Tuesday!

by Art Middleton on Oct 4, 2009 6:31 PM EDT reply actions  

Don't worry, you're not the only one.

And I don’t think it really makes you or anyone else less of a fan. I had a lot of friends saying the exact same thing, and I know they were just doing it to soften the blow of the weekend…that “inevitable” blow that would never come.

I’m proud of this team, too. It’s an amazing feat, no matter how you look at it…and honestly the way this club has finished now three of the last four years, you couldn’t ask for much more excitement. This time it’d be good to see it all the way to the World Series!

by Jesse on Oct 4, 2009 6:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

Playoff Odds at BP were 3% after the loss on Wednesday night

With those odds, a $2 bet pays $67. Those were long odds.

by DavidRF on Oct 4, 2009 6:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

Math sucks!

GO TWINS!!!!

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any one of us." -Kirby Puckett
"Over? Did you say 'over'? Nothing is over until we decide it is!" -John "Bluto" Blutarsky

by less cowbell, more 'neau on Oct 4, 2009 9:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Odds were never zero... that's the key point there.

Someone hear said that no one had ever come back from 3 down with 4 to go… who was that? It certainly is one of the great final weekend pennant race comebacks in history. We have to win Tuesday or no one will remember.

by DavidRF on Oct 4, 2009 10:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Never say never

Been saying it all year…knew they could and thought they would. Wish I had made a few of those $2 wagers. Anyone know how many tiebreakers has there been and has a team ever played in back to back #163’s?

by BigSkyViking on Oct 4, 2009 7:34 PM EDT reply actions  

No team has ever played

one game playoffs two years in a row

by ckb on Oct 4, 2009 8:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

figured

but just guessing…Gardenhire for MOY?

by BigSkyViking on Oct 4, 2009 8:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nah

I’d go for either Wakamatsu or Scioscia before Gardy.

by JTW on Oct 4, 2009 8:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'd go for Eric Wedge before Gardy

Q: Wait, didn’t he get fired?
A: Yes, I know.

by ajmargarine on Oct 4, 2009 10:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

hell. no.

Most overrated manager maybe.

http://twinkietalk.com
http://thecollegehockeyblog.com

by fetch9 on Oct 4, 2009 8:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

After that 7.5 GB comeback?

Hellz yeah!

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any one of us." -Kirby Puckett
"Over? Did you say 'over'? Nothing is over until we decide it is!" -John "Bluto" Blutarsky

by less cowbell, more 'neau on Oct 4, 2009 9:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

And as I always do....

…I worry. The Twins scored a ton of runs today. I always feel like then they are out of runs for the rest of the week or so. Irrational especially this year but meh.

by MNPundit on Oct 4, 2009 7:38 PM EDT reply actions  

its gonna be

a fun two nights at the dome, Favre vs the Packers then the Twins go for the division title. lets hope Big Spot Scott can step up. After all this I don’t want to the last game in the dome to feature the Tigers celebrating.

JT

by STLVikesFAN on Oct 4, 2009 7:50 PM EDT reply actions  

I'm so excited!

Even if the Twins don’t win on Tuesday, they’ve made it further than most people expected them to. They’ve provided some of the most intense, fun fall baseball in a long time. Plus, even if it ends up being just one more game, baseball for Twins fans isn’t over and that’s always a good thing.

With all of that said, Baker really really really really needs to step up on Tuesday. The dome will be packed, and the dome will be loud. Big pressure game, but the noise will be support, that’s gotta mean something.

Did anyone else watch the “Farewell to the Metrodome” thing after the game? I ended up crying, especially when they showed the #1 Metrodome Memory and the interview with Kirby during the “All-Metrodome Team”. :’(

And I’m pretty sure Joe’s gonna stay here. He’s so Minnesota.

"Baseball doesn't owe me a thing. I owe my whole life to baseball." -Kirby Puckett

by fischean on Oct 4, 2009 8:42 PM EDT reply actions  

+1

More baseball is always good.

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Oct 4, 2009 9:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Actually I should revise that statement

More baseball is good, except when it keeps me from writing giant papers that are due the Monday after an epic weekends series…

tonight will be so much fun, and not a late night at all

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Oct 4, 2009 11:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

ahh...that does suck.

I also put off homework this weekend for the Twins. The things we sacrifice for this team…

"Baseball doesn't owe me a thing. I owe my whole life to baseball." -Kirby Puckett

by fischean on Oct 5, 2009 12:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

I'm going to hope that my result is better than his...

my assessment of his performance today: B/B+. :\

What I’d like on my paper: A+ :)

"Baseball doesn't owe me a thing. I owe my whole life to baseball." -Kirby Puckett

by fischean on Oct 5, 2009 12:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

I am too!

Even if I did doubt this team, I’m still a big fan and want to see them do well. I had chills running up and down my spine and tears in my eyes as I watched that video with the amazing Twins’ highlights over the years. And I wasn’t even alive during ’87 and only a year old in ’91.

I think your statement of the Twins making it further than most people expected them to is an interesting comment because at the beginning of the season I thought we were a playoff team for sure. As the season went along, I eventually came to the conclusion that as weak as our division was, we just weren’t a playoff team this year. This is one time where it definitely feels good to be wrong (although we still haven’t technically made the playoffs yet).

by Sheldon on Oct 5, 2009 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

do sports writers know what they write about?

I’m guessing not. this guy says:

Minnesota won 16 of its last 20 but dropped three of four a week ago to the Tigers.

As far as I recall, the series in Detroit was split. And I live in New England and never saw the games (stupid Yankees and Sox on every channel).

Go get’em, Twins!

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news;_ylt=Au9I0GnfZTyTvVillgHcWmkRvLYF?slug=dw-twins100409&prov=yhoo&type=lgns

by DZA on Oct 4, 2009 9:13 PM EDT reply actions  

Just amazing, this all is.

I said ‘they can’t do it’ mostly as a coping strategy, because I had gotten my hopes back up after game one of that double header. This is just such a fun ride. Whatever happens, I love it. I love MY TWINS!

I always loved that one.

by FoulJack on Oct 4, 2009 9:17 PM EDT reply actions  

hahaha

full of douche? So…different from his others how?

"Baseball doesn't owe me a thing. I owe my whole life to baseball." -Kirby Puckett

by fischean on Oct 4, 2009 11:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not to mention Aaron Gleeman

According to statistics, AG said the Twins had lost the division and that it was more proof how dumb Twins management has been since, if memory serves, he had a domain name.

Not sure there will be a mea culpa on that, there sure wasn’t for Denard Span after Mr. Gleeman, in his numerosity, left him off the Top 40 prospects for 2008. That’s 2008!

Anyway, nice to know that bloggers don’t run the world or even have predictive powers.

by Old Twins Cap on Oct 4, 2009 10:26 PM EDT reply actions  

Dewey Defeats Gleeman

I don’t think he was making a prediction. He just saw the long odds and gave up hope.

…And he was way too eager to post those pictures of sulking Twins on Thursday morning. He’s gotten too keyed on losing of late. Someone here called him Gloom-man which I think is apt.

by DavidRF on Oct 4, 2009 10:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, it's hard to be from a small market

team and have national pretensions. The Strib reporters fall victim to that: “My team has let my career down just when I was set to be on the national stage.”

Sports reporters and bloggers have to get over their own egos before they can see the truth for what it is: small market teams don’t often get very far. Embrace it.

by Old Twins Cap on Oct 4, 2009 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Glooman

That was me. It’ll be in my lead for the game thread preview I post tomorrow. Today’s column is curiously absent any acknowledgment that he jumped the gun. He’s always perfectly willing to point out when he’s right. But when he’s wrong? Rarely.

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on Oct 5, 2009 11:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

Well, then, read his Saturday one

First of all, he did acknowledge it, with a link in the opening sentence of today’s column. Second, this is from Saturday:

OK, so it’s not really “The End.” Sorry. In honor of me counting out the Twins too soon, let’s call this the “Aaron is an idiot weekend open chat.”

I know you’re not a fan of Gleeman, but at least be fair about it.

"There are only two things that are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former." - Albert Einstein

by BeefMaster on Oct 5, 2009 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I missed that

I scrolled down today after I posted the above and realized he had apologized, it just got lost below the fold of his optimistic post today. Sorry Aaron.

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on Oct 5, 2009 2:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Looks like he left a short "sorry" note yesterday

But your point still stands, Gleeman was all too eager to roll out the season postmortem post.

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Oct 4, 2009 10:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

I have to bow to you all because...

I was a naysayer before the Twins-Tigers. I thought that the Twins would split with the Tigers and I got that right, but I thought that meant the Twins were dead in the water because of that. I also thought it was possible for the Tigers to losetwo of three to the Sox; I got that part right too, but I never imagined the Twins would run the table after the second loss at Detroit. I got that seriously wrong! I thought for sure the Twins would lose to Greinke and consequently, end up at least one game back. SO, I’M SORRY and I gave you all a deep Japanese bow to show my contrition.

Now, let’s play this game against Detroit like there is NO TOMORROW (because there is still no tomorrow if we lose)!!!!!!!!!!!

"I don't think it's nice, you laughin'. See, my mule don't like people laughing. He gets the crazy idea you're laughing at him. Now if you apologize, like I know you're going to, I might convince him that you really didn't mean it . . ."

by Skippy tastes better than Jiff on Oct 4, 2009 11:36 PM EDT reply actions  

no worries

Like Jesse said, you weren’t the only one. I was not going to give up hope until it was over, but I still thought realistically our season was done after the Detroit series split. But all that matters is that we’re on board now, unlike Souhan and other media divas.

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Oct 4, 2009 11:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

I gave up on them after they blew the 10 run lead in Oakland.

So it could be worst.

"I couldn't do that. Could you do that? Why can they do it? Who are those guys?"

by maxisagod on Oct 5, 2009 12:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

Rick Porcello

"Baseball doesn't owe me a thing. I owe my whole life to baseball." -Kirby Puckett

by fischean on Oct 5, 2009 12:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks. Early Vegas line is

DET +154
MIN -162

That’s around a 61% chance of winning for the Twins. Will be interesting to see if my simulator is in agreement.
vr, Xei

by Xeifrank on Oct 5, 2009 12:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

I liked better when the odds were against us.

:)

"Baseball doesn't owe me a thing. I owe my whole life to baseball." -Kirby Puckett

by fischean on Oct 5, 2009 12:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

well, if you really want the odds against us

We could start Keppel instead of Baker. That would be a great game.

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Oct 5, 2009 12:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

haha, I guess I don't like the odds THAT much against us.

just a little bit, you know? Being behind 2 games with 3 to play…that kind of thing. :)

"Baseball doesn't owe me a thing. I owe my whole life to baseball." -Kirby Puckett

by fischean on Oct 5, 2009 12:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

except

as I’m sure you’re aware, Vegas doesn’t set their lines as a prediction. They do so to get equal betting on both sides.

http://twinkietalk.com
http://thecollegehockeyblog.com

by fetch9 on Oct 5, 2009 12:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

of course, but there are some big money bettors out there, so if they were to make a poor line they could easily get ripped. Their lines are pretty good, but it’s true the biggest inefficiencies you will find with their lines are their early lines. But they usually don’t allow large bets until the day of the game, when the lines are more efficient.
vr, Xei

by Xeifrank on Oct 5, 2009 12:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

My simulator appears to be in pretty good agreement with Vegas so far. It’s in the middle of a 50K game sim, with the Twins currently having a 60.27% chance of winning.
vr, Xei

by Xeifrank on Oct 5, 2009 12:55 AM EDT up reply actions  

for some reason

that just made me more nervous

http://twinkietalk.com
http://thecollegehockeyblog.com

by fetch9 on Oct 5, 2009 12:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

like I said

worked out better when the odds were against us. No mas, Xeifrank. :)

"Baseball doesn't owe me a thing. I owe my whole life to baseball." -Kirby Puckett

by fischean on Oct 5, 2009 1:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

haha, ok “no mas”. I will leave you on this one then. The Twins are heavy underdogs to win the World Series. There’s no way in hell the Twins can win the World Series. No way! Never! Nunca! :)

Good luck nonetheless.

vr, Xei

by Xeifrank on Oct 5, 2009 1:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

hahaha

thanks…“heavy underdogs” is really putting it mildly. :)

And really, good luck to the Tigers. No matter what team wins, I’d like to see them beat the Yankees.

"Baseball doesn't owe me a thing. I owe my whole life to baseball." -Kirby Puckett

by fischean on Oct 5, 2009 1:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think we can repost that thread

Now it would be appropriate to talk playoff roster makeup, not when they were 6 games under .500

by DJL44 on Oct 5, 2009 10:38 AM EDT reply actions  

Wow

Congratulations to the Twins. You made life for a Tigers Fan again very hard ;). Never give up. 3 games down with 4 to go. I could not believe it but the mentality this team has shown over the last weeks is fantastic. You can be very proud of this

So, now we have a decisive one game playoff in the "tigers friendly " confines of the Metrodome. The Twins are familiar with such games, the Tigers not.
May the best team win

Greetings from Germany. Dirk

by Germantiger on Oct 5, 2009 11:15 AM EDT reply actions  

Leyland has been a class act down this painful stretch.

Actually Gardy has too, but Gary has had a lot less heartache to deal with.

by montanatwinsfan on Oct 5, 2009 1:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

I for one

am sticking with pessimism. I have a deal going with the twins: I have promised to assume they will lose every important game and they have promised to win every important game. I don’t want to let up on my end of the deal, so I’m sure they’ll lose tomorrow afternoon. (OK, now it’s your turn twins…)

by dctwin on Oct 5, 2009 12:13 PM EDT reply actions  

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