So, who bats lead-off?
The whole four outfielders thing has been about the only show in town in Fort Myers this spring. (The Mauer thing and his underreported back problem has been more about "no show.") And, in theory, the competition has resolved itself with Cuddyer, Gomez and Young earning their respective spots, especially given Denard Span's struggles to not only hit for average, but also just to drive the ball and/or get on base via BB.
Yet, when asked, if you listen to Gardenhire, he says this: "Denard, we ended last year with him as our leadoff guy, and that's where we'd like to start again this year. That worked out well for us and we'd like to give that another shot." So, one would think that Span is going to start in the outfield and bat lead-off.
But then, who sits?
Cuddyer? Nope. Gardenhire pretty much as said that Michael has earned his way back into right field. The quotes are out there in the MSM.
Okay, then maybe Gomez will sit? Um, not so fast. Gardy likes the way Fleet plays defense, and he thinks the team is more aggressive, more spunky with Gomez in the lineup. Plus, let's face it, Gomez has looked good this spring, driving the ball, getting on base and even driving in runs. Plus defense, plus speed, plus pressure on the other team.
So, that leaves Delmon. But, DY has looked very impressive this spring, pulling the ball more, driving home-runs, making contact, getting hits. He is one guy in the middle of the lineup who can really hurt the other team and does not back down. Sure, he swings too much and plays LF like a sailor on shore leave, but his upside potential is huge. Are the Twins really going to sit him so Span can bat lead-off?
All of which brings me to the question of this post. At some point, Denard is going to have to sit, whether it's when he doesn't hit or get on base or when there is a tough lefty pitching. And, then, who bats lead-off? It's not like Gardy has been auditioning someone for this role during ST. Seemingly, they have set it up so that Span is their only patient, OBP, speedy lead-off hitter.
Yet, he will sit. And maybe even become the de facto fourth outfielder. Then what? Who is going to hit leadoff?
Sure, not a big deal in some ways, you only leadoff one inning a game. Yet, lineup construction is very important to overall run production, and besides, there is that "tone" thing, and we all remember what happened to Gomez last year as he didn't produce in that role.
So, I think the Twins have painted themselves into a bit of a corner on the four outfielders issue. Yes, it's a good problem to have. Yes, they will all play. But what they have not done is to really determine how to deal with leadoff on days when Span sits. Which, for all we know, could be, and likely should be, most of the time.
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Loved the reference...
…the the sailors!
I think we really are going to see a rotation this year. Span will play for Young in left a couple times a week, Gomez in center a couple times a week, and yes, in right for Cuddyer once a week or two. Span will be the lead off hitter those 4-5 games a week. Although I don’t have a clue what he will do when Span sits….which was the subject of your post. I guess we will see what the manager does about this over the next couple weeks. That is until one of the four gets injured and Span is playing every day.
Casilla or Gomez
I hope it is Casilla, but suspect it might be Gomez.
We all know that Gardy
likes to let guys get comfortable in their roles. Like how he hits Redmond third when he catches for Mauer. I honestly think he’ll hit Casilla second no matter what. Will he move Punto to leadoff? Will he go back to Gomez?
I’m betting on Gomez. Gardy likes that he is a “gamer”. As do I. Just hasn’t been a great leadoff guy. No one else really makes sense.
by Old Twins Cap on Apr 4, 2009 12:18 PM EDT up reply actions
Lineups
>>Yet, lineup construction is very important to overall run production
Asked “how important is batting order?” Bill James has responded, “There is no real evidence that it matters. What matters is having good hitters. Who hits second and who hits sixth. . .there is little evidence that it makes any difference.”
Bloggin' the bloggers since 1938.
This is why I think Span will play most days
Ultimately, the 2 guys it’s toughest to sit are Span (leadoff) and Gomez (without whom the outfield defense is pretty bad). I suspect Young is the most frequent odd man out early, but my guess is Gardenhire tries Casilla at leadoff when Span sits.
I have to agree with that
But I will say that it is just as likely that Gomez leads off when Span sits and Casilla stays at 2nd given Gardenhire’s belief in keeping the lineups as consistent as possible. Besides I think an argument could be made that Gomez was too raw last year to handle lead off duties and placed too much pressure on himself.
Maybe this year, given Span’s slump, Gardenhire will experiment with putting Gomez back in the leadoff slot and put Span 9th.
by montanatwinsfan on Apr 4, 2009 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions
Sounds right
I would guess that Span and Young will be the least frequently paired together. Remember, Cuddyer and Young can always be snuck into the lineup against the toughest of lefties as DH’s. Kubel is hitting very well, but I’d only expect him to get about 85% of full time playing.
"You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the damn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all."
~ Earl Weaver
"In God we trust. All others must provide evidence."
~ Billy Beane
yup
5 guys, four spots. At the end of the day, I think everyone takes a day off per week. I’m actually worried that Gardy will want to keep the same lineup all of the time, and someone (Young) will get screwed. Its a shame, because 1 day off per week each isn’t a lot, but will keep people fresh, and in rythem when they are needed fulltime due to injury.
Also, If the guy in Gardy’s doghouse (probably Young) doesn’t play, he doesn’t accrue any trade value. If all 5 players are playing 5 games per week, then you have a better chance at getting good offers when another team needs to fill a hole at midseason. If we decide that we really prefer one lineup that much more, then we have to consider trading from our strength.

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