The Strange Case of Dr. Baker and Mr. Scott

Dr. Baker the hurler was a man of youthful countenance, of calm, detached features; of rational, considered actions; embarassed in speaking, humble in manner, yet somehow lovable, even though he appeared to be an eleven-year-old bootblack. Batters quailed before his tosses, often twisting mightily but seldom able to produced the wanted effect. Parades of doomed pilgrims would proceed to the dish, and back again without success. Dr. Baker would dispatch all comers.
No doubt this was desirable for Baker; for he was richly rewarded for his feats, and widely hailed as the best there was to offer, a paragon, an example of his kind to be admired.
And yet, I have heard tales of his friendship with another, a Mr. Scott, a strange fellow that few would want to do with, a damnable man who sneers at the very principles Dr. Baker would uphold. The very look of him goes against the watcher's inclination. His public appearances are greeted with cowering and cries for sanctuary from the assemblage, and with baseballs disappearing into the lower reaches of the atmosphere. Look for yourself and see the horror of his being, the evil written on his face:

For some time now, rumors have persisted regarding this strange and horrible friendship of Dr. Baker and Mr. Scott. Two separate and trusted figures, a Mr. Anderson and a Mr. Gardenhire, have sworn that an even tighter relationship exists between the two figures. The two swear that these men, one upright, one bowed; one excellent, one inferior; are so closely bonded as to be of one, inseperable persona. The one is never seen in appearance with the other; those who search for Dr. Baker after coming across Mr. Scott are invariably unable to locate him, and the return of Baker is likewise coincident with the disappearance of Scott (and of the baseball.)
Indeed, one often substitutes for the other, and yet they cannot possibly be cut from the same bolt of cloth. On occasions Dr. Baker strolls to the embankment, his foes always leave his presence disappointed; yet when Mr. Scott is the one to summit the hill, the opposition seizes upon this as an opportunity, and regularly smashes the pill out of the sight of even the healthiest observers.
Take the latest incident involving the accursed pair. Six times, Dr. Baker appeared into the arena, and six times, the adversary quietly failed to dent his record. But for the seventh, it was Mr. Scott that emerged, and in quick succession the contest was out of hand.
The same had happened at the duo's last display; Dr. Baker's successful trials in the second through fourth innings were negated by Mr. Scott's thrashings and snarlings in the first and fifth frames. Like a fire devouring a forest, or young Prince Fielder devouring an eighteen-pound ham, in both instances the work of Dr. Baker was completely undone by the man Scott.
It is certain that I am no fit examiner of these coincidences, but any one who has seen them cannot deny both the shock and the truth of what I submit to you. It would be that Dr. Baker and Mr. Scott, for their plainly obvious differences, are less a twosome than they are the faces of a coin, struck as part of of the same piece of silver.
Dr. Baker is the side that would be presented; he is the obvious choice to be used as often as possible, especially considering the rate at which he is remunerated for these actions. Yet Mr. Scott is closer to his true nature. The latter is a more accurate - and more horrifying - representation of the lethal character of the man. Though Dr. Baker will succeed in pushing Mr. Scott to the rear for large stretches of time, it is Scott that lurks always not quite off-stage, just visible in the wings and ready to emerge without fair warning.
As interested parties, we must fear this transformation. Dr. Baker is likely to mutate into Mr. Scott at any time; his true self lurks below the surface, waiting to lose the horsehide at the worst possible time. This man is not truly one, but truly two. As incongrous as these denizens might be, we are forced to live with both.
How I wish it were not so.
(With thanks and apologies to Robert Louis Stevenson, who certainly never imagined that his work would be pillaged in order to make fun of a pitcher who cannot keep the ball in the ballpark.)
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18 comments
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Comments
Love the mustache
I’m actually pretty encouraged by Baker’s last couple starts. I think he just needs to build his arm strength back up a bit and he’ll be back to being Scott Baker.
stop by Waving the Wheat (http://wavingthewheat.wordpress.com/) and The College Hockey Blog (http://thecollegehockeyblog.wordpress.com/)
by fetch9 on May 4, 2009 12:29 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Twins starters' ERA and FIP so far
In case anyone was curious.
Name ERA FIP
Perkins 3.34 2.91
Blackburn 4.02 3.49
Slowey 5.17 3.97
Liriano 6.04 4.51
Baker 9.15 7.38
I find it encouraging that all 5 starters seem to be pitching better than the results suggest. Baker has been pitching badly, but not a run per inning badly. Perkins and Blackburn have both managed to pitch well by keeping the ball in the ballpark, but look for their numbers to go up as they start giving up more homeruns. I’m actually encouraged with how things have gone, because I assume Baker Liriano and Slowey will figure it out, and the two I was worried about have pitched will thus far. I think these numbers will look a lot different a month from now.
by lookatthosetwins on May 4, 2009 1:09 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
At what point do we abandon them?
When does “Oh he can mature!” becomes “He’s just not good enough, give ’em the axe!”
Historically I have had a problem with management over when this (no surprise, I have hated the management since winter 2004) applies.
by MNPundit on May 4, 2009 1:54 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Abandon who?
stop by Waving the Wheat (http://wavingthewheat.wordpress.com/) and The College Hockey Blog (http://thecollegehockeyblog.wordpress.com/)
by fetch9 on May 4, 2009 1:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That Time
I would say that time generally comes BEFORE a 4-year, 15 million dollar contract is handed out.
Calm down people, it’s not even a month hence in the season!
"You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the damn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all."
~ Earl Weaver
"In God we trust. All others must provide evidence."
~ Billy Beane
by AdamOnFirst on May 4, 2009 2:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wasn't aware of that.
I haven’t paid much attention to the Twins outside of actual game performance the last 2 years.
And yeah, it’s early. The question is, how much time does it take before we can creditably say “it’s not unlucky he just sucks more often than he is good” and try to find away to cut bait on him. If I move to fast on this, then I do but mangment always moves too slow (Rick Reed, Joe Mays).
by MNPundit on May 5, 2009 1:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Apparently...
…when they take a baseball bat to their manager’s office door.
by dwintheiser on May 4, 2009 2:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Baker's been remarkably
unlucky in terms of the % of his flyballs that become homers. This is a pretty steady league-wide figure for everyone—Baker’s is absurdly high. It will come down. With a 16:5 K to BB ratio in 20.2 innings, I’m not too worried.
Note: Blackburn and Perkins have abnormally low figures in this category—they will both start giving up more homers.
by Eric in Madison on May 4, 2009 4:11 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Exactly
That’s why I like xFIP better than FIP, because it normalizes the HR/FB rate. I’m not sure where to find that stat though. The good news is that Perkins is pitching well enough right now that he’d be fine even with an average HR/FB rate. Blackburn is going to need to find a way to strike people out though. 3.45 k/9 is in Livan territory.
by lookatthosetwins on May 4, 2009 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Found it
on the hardball times
Name ERA FIP xFIP
Perkins 3.34 2.91 5.00
Blackburn 4.02 3.49 5.44
Slowey 5.17 3.97 4.86
Liriano 6.04 4.51 5.38
Baker 9.15 7.38 5.35
by lookatthosetwins on May 4, 2009 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Judging from that
Looks like all 5 have been similarly mediocre. Looks like they’re all going to need to improve or we’ll be in trouble.
by lookatthosetwins on May 4, 2009 4:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, maybe
it seemed pretty clear last year that most of these guys over performed. One thing to remember though, when looking that those numbers, is that scoring is way up this year league wide. The league ERA is 4.80, so those numbers aren’t as bad as they look.
by Eric in Madison on May 4, 2009 4:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Plus we have to factor in our defense
On days that Gomez is in there, we are close to the best. That will always help pitchers overperform.
by lookatthosetwins on May 4, 2009 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Very very very good point
Very good point, those FIP’s assume a league average D, ie, a truer measure of performance across the league (though I still have trouble with it not including GB/FB rates, so I’d expect Blackburn to beat his consistently because of that) but we have a good D, and very good D some nights, so we’ll see better ERA’s than predicted over time.
"You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the damn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all."
~ Earl Weaver
"In God we trust. All others must provide evidence."
~ Billy Beane
by AdamOnFirst on May 4, 2009 4:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, this totally depends on how much Gomez plays
with this flyball staff. With Gomez and Span, it’s an excellent outfield defensively; with Span in center and Cuddyer and Young, there’s a real lack of range.
by Eric in Madison on May 4, 2009 5:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
True
True, scoring was actually quite a bit DOWN last year league wide, so a rebound means everyone’s numbers get worse.
REally though, our young pitching staff must be dependable as we’d hoped if we’re going to be better than a mediocre team. It’s been rough so far, but I’d expect bouncebacks from at least a couple of these guys. I have a good bit of faith in Baker’s track record and Slowey’s talent. It’s still an early season, two or three great starts in a row and the ERA is down in solid territory again.
The bullpen, however, we should have known about and won’t get too much better.
"You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the damn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all."
~ Earl Weaver
"In God we trust. All others must provide evidence."
~ Billy Beane
by AdamOnFirst on May 4, 2009 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
xFIP
I like it more than FIP, but I like both more than ERA. I’m currently (time permitting) working on a similar metric that differentiates between “lazy” short fly balls (really popups, since they’re virtually always caught) and the real deeper fly balls that could be homeruns. Unfortunately, my FIP calculations are caught up in my overall defensive metrics, on which I’m slowly making progress…
by Adam Peterson on May 5, 2009 3:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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