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Baltimore 5, Minnesota 4: Twins Leave One on the Bases

In front of at least 36,698 empty seats, the Twins dropped their third road game in a row, 5-4 to the Baltimore Orioles. Minnesota falls to 13-16, and has managed only five runs in the three losses. This is the second time the Twins have been swept in a short 2-game series on the road to an AL East opponent.

Tonight was a night of missed opportunities, as the Twins outhit the Orioles 14 to 9. The Baltimore pitchers and fielders did a good job of limiting the damage, walking only 2 batters and stranding 9 base runners. Minnesota did a good job hitting Baltimore starter Brad Bergesen hard, but excellent outfield defense by the Orioles robbed Twins hitters of at least three hits. In particular, Justin Morneau was victimized by a diving Adam Jones catch in the third and a leaping Nick Markakis catch at the right centerfield wall in the fifth. If those two balls had dropped, the Twins would have scored at least three additional runs in the two innings.

The Orioles were more efficient, scoring three runs on a Melvin Mora solo homerun and an Aubrey Huff 2-run shot. Both homeruns were hit off Minnesota starter Glen Perkins, continuing the regression to his xFIP (5.00 entering tonight's game). Coming into the game, Perkins had given up 49 fly balls, but only one homerun, and his HR/FB rate was bound to regress at some point. 10 fly balls later, Perkins has now given up 3 homeruns on the season.

After the homeruns, Perkins settled down, giving up only a single (erased by a double play) and a walk over the next 11 batters, allowing the Twins to claw back from a 4-2 deficit with single runs in the 6th and 7th innings. Matt Guerrier pitched a scoreless seventh, extending his scoreless streak to 9 innings, but Baltimore got to Jose Mijares for 3 hits and his first run allowed this season in the bottom of the 8th to put Baltimore ahead for good.

Notes and stars of the game follow the jump.

 

Star-divide

Notes:

- Adam Jones has a very strong arm. In the third inning, Jones threw home to hold Span at third base. The Baltimore TV feed (to which I am limited living here in Maryland) actually registered the throw at 98 MPH on the radar gun after reaching the catcher.

- Matt Tolbert is a breath of fresh air in the #2 slot. He was on base twice and executed a perfect bunt in the 7th to advance Denard Span to third, allowing Joe Mauer to drive in the game tying fourth run.

- Justin Morneau hit the ball well, but he's pressing at the plate. The front shoulder is flying out against right and left handers, resulting in weak fly balls to left field.

- No Twins hitter is more in need of a day off than Nick Punto. After another 0-4 day, he's 0 for his last 16 at bats and now has a .190/.293/.496 line, even worse than his historically bad 2007 performance. 

- Joe Crede finally hit the ball well on a consistent basis tonight. He doubled to deep right center, lined out to left, and singled sharply to left in his first three at bats. As a low ball hitter, Bergesen's sinking fastball was right down Crede's alley.   

- The Minnesota run producers, Justin Morneau and Jason Kubel, left a total of 8 runners on base tonight. The Twins 1-3 hitters, Span, Tolbert and Mauer reached base a combined eight times, scoring only two runs (both by Span).

Stars of the game:

3 *** Joe Mauer. After going 0-7 with 3 strikeouts in Detroit, Joe Mauer got back in the groove by going 3-4 with a walk. All three hits were sharp ground balls and line drives right back up the middle.

2 ** Denard Span. 2-5, scoring two runs and made a couple very good catches in center field.

1 * Matt Guerrier. Pitched a scoreless seventh inning, allowing the Twins a chance to take the lead in the 8th.

0 recs  |  Comment 17 comments |

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Justin does that a lot. He can hit the next pitch 450 feet, too; seems like he’s getting fooled & out front of it.

Twins offense has been very anemic for three games in a row.

When I managed a Little League juniors team, I could almost always tell my pitchers “pitch to the 1-4 hitters, just throw it over the plate to the rest.”

Well, on the average night, we have 4 hitters who have to be ‘pitched to’ – Span, Mauer, Morneau & Kubel.

by BD57 on May 7, 2009 11:37 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yes

It seems like Justin has looked like this for a few games now. Just a mini-slump, he’ll get back to driving the ball again.

by Adam Peterson on May 8, 2009 9:29 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Justin goes through periods where he just can't take pitches

He literally swings at everything and gets himself out on pitcher’s pitches.

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on May 8, 2009 10:13 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Be nice if Cuddyer showed up...

…but he’s not that off his career is he? Also Crede.

Oh well.

by MNPundit on May 8, 2009 9:30 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cuddyer's numbers have declined sharply the past few years

Year ISO HR/FB wOBA
2006 .221 15.7% .370
2007 .157 9.9% .349
2008 .120 4.3% .311
2009 .150 7.7% .340

Career .172 11.6% .341

Assuming that the sharp dropoff in 2008 is largely due to injuries, while 2006 looks like an outlier, there’s been a pretty clear year by year decline as well.

What’s also disturbing is that Cuddyer is not hitting very many fly balls. His GB/FB is 1.73 so far this year, up sharply from his 1.33 career average. He’s not quite at Delmon Young territory (2.75 GB/FB!), but he’s not far from it.

by Adam Peterson on May 8, 2009 9:40 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cuddyer and Crede are both hitting over .800 (OPS) over tha last 10 days

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on May 8, 2009 10:14 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cuddyer's OPS recently

Last 7: 1.178
Last 14: 1.058
Last 28: .806

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on May 8, 2009 10:18 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Crede's OPS recently

Last 7: 790
Last 14: .856

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on May 8, 2009 10:19 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

SportsCenter kept relaying Justin getting robbed with the bases juices

Ug, struggling team right now. The pitching is generally poor and the offense has been a little better of late, but still not that great. Worrisome, the starters need to improve soon or it’s gonna be a tough year.

"You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the damn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all."
~ Earl Weaver
"In God we trust. All others must provide evidence."
~ Billy Beane

by AdamOnFirst on May 8, 2009 3:19 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Mediocre starting pitching

I agree, the starters need to improve soon. Hopefully the last two starts from our 1-2, Liriano and Baker are signs of things to come.

by Adam Peterson on May 8, 2009 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Punto...

Why does he play everyday, or even at all???? You guys are baseball experts. Please enlighten me.

Founding member of the Dick Jauron Fan Club.

by taskersd on May 8, 2009 9:01 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Punto is treated differently because of his defense

Gardy showed during Punto’s execrable 2007 season that he’ll play nearly every day even with far below replacement level hitting. However, we didn’t have the same depth in 2007. Tolbert and Harris are far better options IMO than what we had back then.

Hopefully this is just a slump. Given Punto’s defense, he has solid value as about a league average shortstop, but only if he’s hitting in the .320 / .725 wOBA/OPS range.

by Adam Peterson on May 8, 2009 9:45 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

maybe

Punto only likes even years

stop by Waving the Wheat (http://wavingthewheat.wordpress.com/) and The College Hockey Blog (http://thecollegehockeyblog.wordpress.com/)

by fetch9 on May 8, 2009 10:45 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

BS

Signed him as our starting shortstop…that’s why.

by guinness junky on May 8, 2009 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Do you think we can get Gardy to DH for Punto, and let Baker hit tonight? Can’t be much worse…

by MNSota is Dope on May 8, 2009 4:09 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

"Can't be much worse ...."

I believe that’s the English translation of some sort of Middle Eastern curse ……

Confuse-Us had a comment on it:

“He who say things can’t be much worse soon learn otherwise ….”

by BD57 on May 8, 2009 9:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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