Mauer's Impact

by Milt on Tilt on Jul 13, 2009 4:25 PM EDT Comment 11 comments

Wins and Losses are obviously what matter. Twins without Joe Mauer=1 win above .500. Twins with Joe Mauer=.500

But I just glanced at the numbers.

Twins Run Differentials:
Without Joe=-21
With Joe=+50

Runs/Runs Allowed per game
Without Joe=4.08/4.92
With Joe=5.16/4.38

Plus of course there has been three games that Joe hasn't started but appeared late as a pinch hitter. The Twins lost all three of those games. Joe was 2/3 with 3 RBI in those at-bats.

I just found this interesting since the run differentials obviously don't line up to the win/losses. I thought it would be closer.

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interesting

but predictable

by DaTwins on Jul 15, 2009 11:25 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Interesting and not predictable

suprising to compare the runs “for/against” differentials, see just how wildly different they are and yet see so little significance where it “counts”; in wins/losses!

by montanatwinsfan on Jul 15, 2009 3:03 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Blowouts...

I think we lost more blowouts in April and since then we’ve been winning more blowouts… 20-1 over CWS, 11-0 over SEA…

bb-ref has us 10-13 in 1-run games for the season and 12-11 in blowouts (5+ run diff). Fairly even for the year, but it would be interesting to see the April splits for those…

by DavidRF on Jul 15, 2009 3:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

ouch

I would’ve thought our 1-run record would be better given how much of a stud Nathan is.

formerly known in these parts as adamb

by ravenfly on Jul 15, 2009 5:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Those two things don't really go together automatically.

In any game the Twins are down by one run, Gardenhire won’t let Nathan get anywhere close to the mound.

by DK on Jul 16, 2009 3:34 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Splits....

Before May 1:
One-Run Games: 4-0
Blowouts (5+): 4-7

Since May 1:
One-Run Games: 6-13
Blowouts (5+): 8-4

by DavidRF on Jul 15, 2009 10:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

The run differential numbers are what count

Though some idiot is probably going to use the win % numbers to argue that Mauer isn’t the MVP.

by DJL44 on Jul 15, 2009 4:54 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

But Mauer is calling the pitches right?

Higher runs scored has to be on him partially doesn’t it—for picking crappy pitches? Or are the pitchers just that mediocre combined with meh-to-cool defence?

Dear Firpo, looks like my stock is fine.

by MNPundit on Jul 16, 2009 1:00 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Read the numbers again...

RA is actually down significantly since he rejoined the lineup. Main reason is probably Baker & Liriano both settling down after very rocky Aprils.

That said. “Calling a good game” does help a little bit I’m sure, a catcher can only do so much. Generally pitchers don’t get beat up for hitting the spot set them by the catcher’s call, they get beat up when they miss the spot. The catcher may call for the breaking ball, but I don’t think he’s responsible for when the pitcher hangs it.

by DavidRF on Jul 16, 2009 10:24 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Mauer's Impact on Defense

yeah, game calling is important. But I’m guessing an easily quantified benefit of having Mauer behind the plate is subduing the opponent’s running game. Maybe it was just me, but it seemed like everyone and their mother was running in April on Redmond/Morales.

And I screwed up on the RA numbers, I should have accounted for games he was at DH too. But its not really that important I guess. This afternoon when Im bored with doing actual work I think i’ll check these.

by Milt on Tilt on Jul 16, 2009 10:37 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs