Twins Sign Mark Grudzielanek to Minor League Contract
I'm surprised. Are you surprised? We shouldn't be surprised, it's a quintessential Twins move.
The following occurred between 12:45 and 12:46 pm CDT today:
Jesse: Grudz?
Jesse: Really?
Seth: Ya...just had it confirmed, too.
Jesse: Why am I surprised?
I don't want to set anyone up with the wrong idea here, because there are merits to this signing and I'll get to them later, but honestly: why was I surprised? The Twins organization has done a fantastic job over the years of acquiring veterans in twilight in the hope that they can provide some kind of depth or leadership. I could also add production, but that hasn't always been the case.
These signings have all fallen under one of two categories. Either these veterans were A) washed up and we all knew it (James Baldwin, Jesse Orosco, Juan Castro, Bret Boone, Ruben Sierra, Tony Batista, Phil Nevin, Jeff Cirillo, Ramon Ortiz, Sidney Ponson, Craig Monroe, Livan Hernandez, the return of Eddie Guardado, Luis Ayala, Sean Henn) or B) all things considered weren't a bad gamble (Tom Prince, Rick Reed, Kenny Rogers, Henry Blanco, Jose Offerman, Terry Mulholland, Pat Borders, Mike Redmond, Rondell White, Jason Tyner, Mike Lamb, Adam Everett, R.A. Dickey). Of course, whether or not any of column B actually worked out is another matter altogether. But you're catching my drift, and I didn't even list all of Joe Mauer's third catchers.
Now we can officially add one Mark Grudzielanek to that list. I think the reason this signing surprised me is because Grudz was a free agent. It was almost too easy. Of course if the Twins were in contact with Grudz, you can bet they were probably in contact with Ray Durham, too. Let's get to the actual analysis of this deal.
Contract
Minnesota has offered Grudzielanek a minor league deal, and he'll report to a Gulf Coast League squad in Florida. He made $4.5 million with the Kansas City Royals in 2008, but suffice it to say he won't be making anywhere near that much this year. Financial terms haven't been disclosed, but I'd be surprised if it cracks the one million mark. It sounds like he did have offers in the off-season, being a Type B free agent, but he declined those offers.
Age
This is the bit that everyone is going to focus on: Grudz is 39. Most guys are out of the league by this time, whether that's by choice or not, but here's something to keep in mind: even at 38 he was a good player.
Offense
Patience & Discipline: Grudz hasn't really been a guy who walks a lot over the course of his career, but he makes up for that by being a great contact hitter. He makes contact on over 90% of his swings, and goes outside of the zone at right around the league average rate. Again, the walk rates (5% of plate appearances) are low, but Alexi Casilla (6%) and Brendan Harris (7%) aren't walk machines, either. He sees roughly 3.5 pitches per plate appearance.
Power: He's a career .395 slugger, .106 isolated power. As a full-time player he's always been good for plenty of doubles, but as far as the long-ball goes he's a middle infielder. This is a secondary concern for anyone playing second base.
Batted Ball: Grudz is a line-drive hitter. A lot of analysts will say that hitting line drives isn't a repeatable skill, and that might be accurate, but when you're hitting them at a rate that's better than league average year after year after year, something is going well.
Defense
Arm: This has never been a problem. He spent a lot of time at shortstop for the Expos earlier in his career, but for a guy who would be playing exclusively at second base, the arm is fine.
Range: Oddly enough, for a guy who was 38 last season his range didn't fall off too much. The problem is that he is a bit older, and having lost that first step does mean something. That's reflected in defensive metrics like UZR/150, which came in at 5.3 in 2008. Still above average, which is very much in line with Grudzielanek's history, it's just not what it was.
Conclusions
There are a lot of positives here; just not as many as we'd hoped as fans rooting for someone like Freddy Sanchez. This is a move that has zero risk for the Twins, who are still counting on Casilla to get the job done. If Casilla faulters again, it's not as though Minnesota would be wasting a roster spot by calling on Grudzielanek. The biggest focus as far as positives go though, and it's a big one, is this: it's not going to take much to improve on what the Twins have been given from second base this season. If Grudz is ready by the middle of August, comes up and hits .280/.330/.380, that's an improvement. As far as his defense goes, there would have to be something desperately wrong for him to have suddenly turned into a negative player in the field. For a guy like this, his offensive skills may disappear, but the glove will linger on.
What does leave me slightly disappointed is the fact that this is such a by-the-numbers move for the Twins. There's no risk here, but sometimes that's exactly what a team needs for a boost: a risk. A sign that, yes, dammit, this organization believes in you so much that we went out and put our own asses on the line. Sometimes I get the sense that the front office forgets that everything about baseball is a two-way street, it's all a relationship, from the fans to the players to the front office.
Baseball is a business. By that definition, picking up a guy like Grudzielanek is a good move simply because getting a guy to play league average anything at second base constitutes an upgrade. But I just had my sights on something a bit more substantial.
There's still time.
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Comments
But THERE IS A RISK
Sorry for the caps, but I’ve concluded that this idea that it’s no risk is just wrong. The risk is, they waste time seeing if Grudzelanek can play, missing out on opportunities to, you know, get better.
Being better than Tolbert isn’t something to recommend someone. I don’t want to paint with too broad a brush, but could we as Twins fans please start to expect a little more? Believe me, I get it. I get the “small market” ethos. I get that the Twins are the little team that could.
But, enough. Solve your problems, Bill Smith.
by Eric in Madison on Jul 19, 2009 5:26 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
He'll start in the GCL.
Work his way up from there. We won’t see him in a Twins uni for at least three or four weeks at the earliest.
by Jesse on Jul 19, 2009 5:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think that's a waste,
because while they’re waiting for Grudz to beat up on kids in the GCL the Twins won’t just kick back. They’ll still be trying to make the team better. If he does play well and can eventually help, then it’s not a waste. If he can’t hit kids in the minor leagues and gets released, there’s no loss there either. They’ll all still get their time.
I think the assumption that the Twins are now done worrying about second base is where the shock comes in, but I have to believe that as professionals, the front office is still looking. I don’t think even the Pirates would be capable of that.
by Jesse on Jul 19, 2009 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I hope you're right, Jesse
I’d bet a dollar that they do nothing else about the middle infield (in terms of bringing in someone from outside the organization) this season.
I hope I’m wrong.
by Eric in Madison on Jul 19, 2009 5:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Do I love it?
No. But, nothing is guaranteed here so if he goes to AAA for his tuneup and is brutal, he might never see the Twins uniform. If he can come up, hit anywhere near the .300 mark that he’s sported for the past 7 seasons, then he could be some help to a two-spot that has been very bad.
by Twins Territory on Jul 19, 2009 5:27 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
We’ll see.. If he can play like he did last year, that’s not too bad.
It’s *sights, btw. :)
by PurplePeopleEaters on Jul 19, 2009 5:34 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I've been convinced: the Twins could have done worse.
If nothing else, it’s for free, and I mean that in terms of giving up prospects/players. Freddy Sanchez, while the team’s target, doesn’t come for free.
by Jon Marthaler on Jul 19, 2009 6:39 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Worth mentioning again
.395 .459 .523
That’s his 2008 platoon split v. LHP.
by DJL44 on Jul 19, 2009 6:48 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
3 year splits
.321 .372 .444 v. LHP
I wouldn’t expect much better than that, but that’s pretty good against lefties. Some Twin 3 year 2006-2008 splits v LHP:
Mauer .329 .393 .432
Morneau .276 .318 .475
Kubel .236 .324 .365
Cuddyer .294 .379 .472
Young .306 .341 .449
and the guys he’ll actually replace:
Casilla .266 .300 .327
Punto .269 .322 .339
Harris .304 .370 .443
Crede .224 .299 .375
So yeah, he pounds the snot out of lefties and can play an average 2B/3B, filling in at SS in an emergency. I think the Twins could use that in a bench player.
by DJL44 on Jul 20, 2009 2:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Whoa!
Okay that actually made me get excited!
I’m over it now — but still! That’s nice to see for a lefty heavy team.
I doubt the Twins will get a really good 2B because they don’t like to give up young players, for valid reasons, and they’re probably gun-shy after the Bartlett/Garza fiasco. But this alone wouldn’t stop them from trying. It’s just insurance and keeps them from bargaining from desperation. If they traded for a Sanchez they could keep Grudz in the minors as insurance and it would cost them nothing. I still have the sneaking suspicion this will impede them from taking a bigger leap — but it shouldn’t really have any affect.
by by jiminy on Jul 19, 2009 7:00 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
This won't
This won’t impede them from doing anything. Their own absurd caution will.
The one good thing about this signing is I buy the idea that there is a CHANCE Grudz can be an improvement for the team. For a lot fo the junk they drag up this time of the year, you can’t say that.
"You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the damn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all."
~ Earl Weaver
"In God we trust. All others must provide evidence."
~ Billy Beane
by AdamOnFirst on Jul 19, 2009 7:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree that a
‘risk’ can light a team up a bit. Young/Bartlett was a ballsy risk and we tend to bring that up daily here (when the pitchforks are out for B. Smith) So while I would love to see somthing bigger-I’m ok w/this.
Baseball is the soundtrack to my summer.
by FoulJack on Jul 19, 2009 10:40 PM EDT via mobile reply actions 0 recs
This move
is full of Twins-iness!
I don’t know if he will even make it to the Twins but the splits for last year was nice to see.
It’s another move by the Twins that only Twins fans will know about.
and the world keeps on spinning
by caluofmn on Jul 20, 2009 12:51 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Okay
The Twins are in a pennant race and need to field players who will HELP the team in 2009. Crede? Yes. Punto and Harris abd Casilla…well, there’s a couple of holes there. Delmon or Gomez…maybe Gomez is seeing the light. Although Delmon’s #‘s look okay, it’s when you analyze them that you see a major difference.
A plus would be if the Twins could make a move that would only not help them in ‘09, but also 2010. That’s why names like Sanchez look so bright.
Otherwise, the Twins will be looking at 2010 without a second baseman, no third baseman, and two guys at short who are under contract (or cheap) — Harris and Punto. They have a 3rd baseman prospect, Valencia…but he is a prospect. Can he hit major league pitching? Can the Twins afford to give him a 60-100 at bat tryout in 2009 and still remain competitive?
Is Plouffe ready to make the jump in 2010, or should be be the back-up after starting the season, again, at Rochester in 2010.
Is Casilla the second-coming of Luis Rivas? The Twins have names like Tolleson, Dinkelman, Singleton in the wings. But no lonegr Tolbert. And I;m sure that marci and Machado are long out-of-hte-picture.
Is Grudie the answer? Short-term, maybe. At what point do the Twins play for the pennant (but can they possibly compete in the playoffs) or go on a prospect look to see how they’re stand in 1020 and 2011.
Visit www.TwinsCards.com and check out "rosters" to see my collection!
by rosterman on Jul 20, 2009 5:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
my understanding
is that up until this point the Pirates were asking way too high a price for Sanchez
deep breath
maybe he is more reasonably priced now. If not, I can’t blame Smith for not taking a chance like he did on Delmon.
by montanatwinsfan on Jul 20, 2009 6:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sure they can!
At what point do the Twins play for the pennant (but can they possibly compete in the playoffs) or go on a prospect look to see how they’re stand in 1020 and 2011.
The ‘06 Cardinals and ’87 Twins would like to remind you that ANYONE can compete in the playoffs, as long as they make it there. Punting a position to look at prospects when you’re two games out of the division lead is not something I’d appreciate as a fan.
"There are only two things that are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former." - Albert Einstein
by BeefMaster on Jul 21, 2009 12:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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