Twins Drop Finale to Orioles
Twins 1, Orioles 5
Well, that didn't go as planned. It means the Twins couldn't take advantage of losses by both Chicago and Detroit, but the good news is that at least no ground was lost. The deficit remains four-and-a-half games.
Nick Blackburn wasn't horrible, coming within one out of tallying a quality start, but he was charged with four runs on the night. He threw strikes, but everything was hittable and the Orioles put the Twins in an early 2-0 hole with early by combining singles and a timely ground out.
Felix "Apple" Pie homered in the fourth, his fifth shot of the year, and the shot to center put Baltimore up 3-0. When Justin Morneau doubled in the bottom half of the inning, scoring Joe Mauer from first (he can really move when he wants to), it finally put the Twins on the board. But it was as close as they'd get.
Blackburn surrendered another run in the sixth, and while it was Jeff Manship's runner that scored in the eighth it was Matt Guerrier who walked him in. Which is just a little maddening.
The Twins faced a number of bases-loaded situations from the Orioles, so to be fair this game could have been much more out of hand than it turned out to be. A force out at the plate in the eighth kept Baltimore at five, but the defensive highlights on Wednesday belonged to Alexi Casilla.
With two out in the fourth and a runner on first, Casilla sprinted to his right on a bouncing grounder, dove for it and with a backhanded flip from his glove had just enough on the ball to get it to Orlando Cabrera, who covered second base for the out. The second time came after the force out at home in the eighth. Once again Casilla ranged to his right, had to dive for another fast grounder, but this time had just enough time to flip the ball to Cabrera at second without resorting to the glove-toss. Both of these plays showed Casilla at his best--a quick defender who can flash some range if he's attentive and positioned correctly, and he's athletic enough to make these kind of plays on a nightly basis.
On the other hand, Morneau couldn't handle a throw from Cabrera earlier in the game, leading to a pair of Baltimore runs. But we already know this wasn't a good game for most of the boys.
The Twins didn't win, and so couldn't extend their season-long five-game winning streak, but at least the damage was limited by losses from the Tigers and White Sox. Thursday is an off-day, and then the Rangers come to town Friday for a three-game weekend set. Chicago is in action against Boston however, so keep an eye on that game tonight. Head over to Over the Monster to support the Red Sox for a night.
Stars of the Game
#3: Alexi Casilla (0-for-3, two good defensive plays)
#2: Denard Span (1-for-3, BB, .027 WPA)
#1: Justin Morneau (1-for-4, 2B, RBI, .043 WPA)
Tears for You
#1: Nick Blackburn (5.2 IP, 9 H, 0 K, 2 BB, 4 R, -.135 WPA)
#2: Jeff Manship (1.2 IP, 1 H, 1 BB, 1 R, .015 WPA)
#3: Matt Guerrier (Walked in the run charged to Maship)
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Duds
It seems when we score only one run against the Orioles (worst ERA in the AL), a few of the duds should be on the offensive side. Some candidates: Kubel (0-4, SO, -.098 WPA), Cabrera (0-4, SO, -.091 WPA). Heck, Harris only came in for one at bat, but it was very high leverage, contributing -.061 due to a 2.69 pLI, popping out with one out, Cuddyer and Young on base.
pLI?
I assume the “LI” is “Leverage Index”, but what’s the “p” for (“play” is my guess)? Also, what kind of scale is that – does that mean that the play was 2.69 times more important than an average play?
"There are only two things that are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former." - Albert Einstein
pLI refers to per plate appearance
Each situation has an inherent leverage index based on the potential swing in win probability for the possible outcomes of the play. For a batter or a pitcher, pLI is the average LI over all plate appearances.
And yes, I believe 2.69 means the potential swing is 2.69 times greater than the average situation.
Tom Tango’s description of LI in all its forms can be found here
by Adam Peterson on Aug 27, 2009 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions
I agree
This loss is on the offense. Like you said, one run against the Orioles is pretty bad. While 4 runs scored against us isn’t great, it’s a low enough number that we should have been able to come back from that deficit, with just a little more help from the offense.
by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Aug 27, 2009 10:44 AM EDT up reply actions
I do agree, but you can't expect them to always be able to come back from a deficit
and it seems they’ve been expected to do that a lot this season.
True, however...
You should be able to expect them to score more than one run in a game.
"There are only two things that are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former." - Albert Einstein
true
I don’t mean to sound like I expect them to come back from a deficit. I just expect them to score more than 1 run. No matter how well the pitching does, they’ll almost never win on 1 run of support.
by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Aug 27, 2009 5:39 PM EDT up reply actions
No tears for the ump?
The home plate ump was awful. Inconsistent with strikes and a knee-jerk reaction with Cabrera.
Is it just me, or are the umps this year particularly terrible?
Also, it seems like there’s an inverse relationship between the quality of umpiring and the arrogance they display towards players and mangers.
"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot
the umps do seem bad this year in particular
Makes sense about the arrogance too. An arrogant ump won’t take any advice or believe that he’s wrong, so he’ll never improve. A less arrogant ump will accept criticism and make less mistakes in the future.
by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Aug 27, 2009 5:41 PM EDT up reply actions
I don't know about in general but the home plate ump last night is a bad one
He’s the same guy that ejected Mike Redmond for the first time in his career back in May I think. I was at that game and remember it well. He was a horrible ump that game too.
Most of my game recaps mention the home plate ump
They have had really inconsistent strike zones and have been almost belligerent when their judgment is questioned.
"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot
saw Cabrera
That (slamming the bat) is an ejection in Little League.
But …
Cabrera had turned away from the plate & there was no indication he was going to argue the call, just that he wasn’t at all happy with it. He didn’t swing the bat around or let it go (no injury threat).
Has anyone heard whether Cabrera said anything in the midst of slamming the bat?
IMO, unless Cabrera said something, that was quick trigger / short tempered umpire.
Brad Penny released
He’s gotta be better than Humber, go grab him.
+1
Who’s first in line, us or the White Sox?
"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot
White Sox
The Twins lead the season series 7-5. SO, if the season ended today, the Twins would be in second place. Ergo, the White Sox have to claim him.
"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot
I think we would have won had we
hit 5 consecutive home runs.
People ask me what I do in winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring. ~Rogers Hornsby
yeah don't leave for this
We weren’t trying to be mean. It was funny because of everyone adding onto the double post, not because of what you said.
by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Aug 28, 2009 12:00 AM EDT up reply actions
Never to be mean.
I just love driving a joke into the ground.
People ask me what I do in winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring. ~Rogers Hornsby

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