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Twins Weekend Notes: Rich Harden, Brad Penny, September Callups

Another weekend come and gone, and another series victory for the Twins.  Let's hit some weekend highlights.

See you tomorrow!

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Reusse

The guys strikes me as someone who really doesn’t know that much about the business side of baseball. We have no one of value to trade, at least no one we’d consider trading.

I gotta say so far the Twins have done a very good job trading and even if we gave up one better prospect for Harden, that too would be worth it. We would likely gain 2 draft picks for him or better yet, we’d resign him while not losing our own 1st rounder.

Peyton's good but have you ever heard of Jeff George?

by halfchest on Aug 30, 2009 9:39 PM EDT reply actions  

Hopefully this guy from the Chicago Tribune is right about Harden

Count Phil Rogers of the Chicago Tribune among those who believe a trade will get done by Monday’s deadline: “The guess here,” Rogers writes, “is that Twins GM Bill Smith is going to wake up on Monday, consider how catchable the Detroit Tigers remain, and pay the price.” The Twinkies currently stand 65-65 — 4.5 games back of Detroit in the AL Central.

by TonyO on Aug 30, 2009 10:01 PM EDT reply actions  

Reusse,

Like a lot of journalists, is basically pissed that he does not have a baseball team whose level of success is on par with his understanding of his own self-importance.

Or, in other words: “I deserve better than this team, especially at my age, and given that I was covering high school sports—HIGH SCHOOL—the two times the Twins won it all.”

I pity him.

by Old Twins Cap on Aug 30, 2009 10:29 PM EDT reply actions  

Rogers also says that it will take Delaney and Slama to get Harden he thinks

I’d do it…but what’s a fair contract extension? 3 years, 30 mill?

by TonyO on Aug 30, 2009 10:52 PM EDT reply actions  

yes

I would do it.
If we could get Harden to an extension I would consider Revere too

by clutterheart on Aug 30, 2009 11:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

Harden would be the ace I've been asking for since late July

I have been pleasantly surprised so far on how active the Twins have been in the trade market this summer, but we haven’t really had any dramatic changes. Rauch, Mahay, Pavano, and Cabrera are all decent additions, but getting a guy like Harden would be huge for this team. If Bill Smith actually finds a way to get Harden, I will give him a lot of praise instead of my normal criticism.

by Sheldon on Aug 30, 2009 11:32 PM EDT reply actions  

Two top prospects

Depending on the level. And you never know what you will egt with a draft.

I would like to see the Twins dangle, say, Waldrop and Benson/Parmelee.

Maybe McCardell or BVromberg as the pitcher if they can sign Harden.

I would keep Revere and I would keep Hermsen.

I want to know the otehr three Cleveland got to look at before they grabbed Pino.

And who goes to Arizona.

The Twins will be able to add 6-8 guys to their 40-man with their roster clearing at season’s end. So, who leaves from the minor league system in the Rule 5 and minor league end of that draft?

Gone as free agents: Crede, Redmond, Cabrera, Pavano, Mahay. Dickey, Henn already walking. Keppel, naw, not a keeper. Some of us think Morillo should stay.

Visit www.TwinsCards.com and check out "rosters" to see my collection!

by rosterman on Aug 31, 2009 12:19 AM EDT reply actions  

Untouchables

Wilson Ramos
Ben Revere
Aaron Hicks
Danny Valencia
Anthony Swarzak
Anthony Slama

I would not trade any of those players unless it was a one on one for Harden. Maybe I could part with Swarzak, although his potential is so huge…

If we could get Harden for three middle – top tier prospects such as: Fox, Benson/Parmelee, Waldrop, Mulvey, Humber, Perkins, Plouffe, Martin, Pridie, Hunt…

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any of us." - Kirby Puckett

by BCTwins on Aug 31, 2009 1:01 AM EDT reply actions  

Humber, Perkins, and Pridie are not prospects.

And what in the world makes you think Swarzak has any potential higher than a #4 starter?

by DK on Aug 31, 2009 1:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

Wilson Ramos

Why is he untouchable when we already have Joe Mauer playing C for us for the next 10-12 years?

Favorite Comedians: Mike Birbiglia, Doug Benson, Daniel Tosh, Delmon Young in Left Field.

by y2jayjk on Aug 31, 2009 2:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think Ramos would be untouchable

but there is a strong possibility that the Twins could get much greater value for him in the future than they could get now. From what I’ve read and seen from him he has huge potential. If the Twins think he will be that good it would be a mistake to trade him before he proves it.

by ckb on Aug 31, 2009 3:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

I am going to have to disagree with you here

There is really no such thing as an untouchable prospect if you’re getting a big-time player(s) in return. We have not even seen anyone on your list play except Swarzak, and he was less than impressive. So often we hear guys get hyped up and they turn out to be duds. Guys like Mauer, Morneau, Kubel, and Baker are the exceptions, not necessarily the norm.

When we talk about untradeables, we should limit the discussion to major league players in my opinion. That’s not to say prospects are unimportant. Clearly they are. And there is always a couple players that you would rather not give up. You can do one of two things if a team is demanding one of your better prospects. Be stubborn and hope they will settle for a lesser prospect or turn the tables on the other team by asking for another one of their players besides the main guy in the deal (in this case Harden). In other words, if you are going to give up a really solid prospect, you better get more in return than you originally thought you would. Pretty soon you either have the makings of a blockbuster deal or the deal fizzles out.

by Sheldon on Aug 31, 2009 9:22 AM EDT up reply actions  

It's never that awesome

To have The Best Farm System.

I’d prefer to have The Best Team in Baseball = World Series Champs.

Favorite Comedians: Mike Birbiglia, Doug Benson, Daniel Tosh, Delmon Young in Left Field.

by y2jayjk on Aug 31, 2009 2:20 AM EDT reply actions  

Well...

The only reason that the Twins are even within sniffing distance of being World Series Champs is because a few years ago they had The Best Farm System. If the farm system gets gutted, a team like the Twins will have a hell of a time even sniffing the postseason.

"There are only two things that are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former." - Albert Einstein

by BeefMaster on Aug 31, 2009 10:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

We don't have the yanquis or Bosox payroll

The best farm system is what got us 2 WS wins

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any one of us." -Kirby Puckett

by less cowbell, more 'neau on Aug 31, 2009 10:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

I for one am sick...

…of what Bill Smith gave up for Pavano. Cleveland was dumping salary, yet we gave up someone whom the Twins believe will be a number 4 or 5 starter. Personally, I believe he will be more like a #3/#4 starter and a very good one…just doesn’t throw hard. For what, 7-8 starts by Carl Pavano in a season that probability says we have a long shot of winning a very bad division.

Why am I sick? Partially because I believe that Bill Smith gave up more than he had to for Pavano. But what I am really sick about is that I expect he did the same for Rauch (a trade that does make sence), give up to much. And to now have Smith negotiating from a position of weakness for Harden…I for one hope that we don’t get it done because if we do I can’t imagine what the Cubs will talk him out of.

by roger13 on Aug 31, 2009 7:37 AM EDT reply actions  

I'm not as concerned about losing Pino

I view Pino as part of a group of pitching prospects who all have similar #4-5 upsides. Between Mulvey, Duensing, Manship, Perkins, Swarzak (highest upside of the group, IMO), I’m ok with turning one into an established starter. I don’t think it’s a coincidence that the rotation has been more consistent since we brought Pavano on board. Removing Liriano and Swarzak probably made as much difference though.

I totally get your point, however. It appears that we may have overpaid to get Pavano.

by Adam Peterson on Aug 31, 2009 7:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think Pino was too much as well,

but I’m not distraught over it. For years we’ve been asking this franchise to deal from a position of strength, and Smith did it without giving up something better. I liked Pino, but if the Twins manage to make the playoffs is it worth it? For a guy with Pino’s ceiling, I think it is.

I’m also willing to reserve judgment on Smith for what he gives up for Harden, if a deal gets doe at all. Time will tell.

I’m just glad that the front office realized that in spite of the team’s record, they have an opportunity to win the division. They’ve taken measured risks with everyone of these pick ups so far, and as long as we’re not trading a Ben Revere or Angel Morales for a Pavano or Rauch, I think I’ll manage. I want this team to win, without giving up on their future, and cosidering their pitching depth in the minor leagues I think Smith has done very well.

by Jesse on Aug 31, 2009 7:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

Jesse...

…My problem is not so much giving up Pino (who I believe will be better than most think), it is the total approach that appears to be panic in response to some comments by a few stars at the trading deadline.

Pino for 6-7 starts by Pavano, is overpaying in my opinion. Now Pino for Rauch who should solve a problem for the next year +, that I could have accepted. Part of my problem is the unknown. Maybe Smith will surprise us and we will think that he gave up very little in the Rauch deal. I am worried however, that if he gave up Pino for Pavano…what did he give up for Rauch? Is it Perkins? Bonser? Duensing? It remains to be seen and the Pino deal causes me to be concerned that he is giving up the ship in an attempt to overtake Detroit who is 4.5 games ahead with one month to go.

That is also why I am overly concerned with Harben…because he appears to be overpaying and just may do so again. At least with Harben, we would have a chance at keeping a very good/albeit oft injured, pitcher for some time. Only time will tell, but I guess I am still smarting from the Garza/Barlett fiasco that would have made us winners last year and this year had he not made that deal.

by roger13 on Aug 31, 2009 9:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

Fair enough.

I think your hesitation is warranted considering how the Johan and Garza swaps went, but I think we just view the loss of Pino and the value of Pavano a bit differently.

In regards to Rauch and Harden, if it happens which it probably won’t, we’ll see. Hopefully it’s nothing too painful.

by Jesse on Aug 31, 2009 9:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

Thoughts

Good notes, here are a few of my thoughts this Monday morning…

- I’d be willing to give up Slama and Delaney to get Rich Harden. They’re really good relief prospects, but we’re talking about a dominant ace (when healthy).

- The value of a Harden trade lies more in 2010 and beyond than on 2009. He could have value in around 5 remaining starts this year, but it would be limited.

- Signing Harden to an extension is more problematic. Would committing 3 years / $30M make it more or less difficult to accomplish our #1 offseason priority, signing Mauer to an extension? $10M less a year to pay Mauer, but the gesture could make him more willing to sign…

- Should anyone commit that kind of money to Rich Harden, given his past injury issues?

by Adam Peterson on Aug 31, 2009 7:38 AM EDT reply actions  

Those are all questions I've asked myself, too.

Personally I’d like to think Harden would be willing to sign an incentive-laden contract, based mostly on something achieveable like innings pitched to make it realistic. But he’s so talented, and a lot of teams might not ask for an incentive-laden deal, so I don’t know. It depends on how much he’d want to play for the Twins I suppose. Maybe a guaranteed number like $6 million per season, with $2 million in incentives for 100 innings, 125, 150, 175 and 200? He’s only topped 150 once in seven seasons.

With his injury history, I think the Twins could take a somewhat hard line on what they give up. They’d have to offer something for the draft picks the Cubs would lose, and considering the love of our own top prospects I think it’d be hard for Smith to come up with any package that would please knowledgeable fans, but knowing how good Harden is when he’s healthy there’s definitely a win-win scenario for both teams if they’d play their cards right.

by Jesse on Aug 31, 2009 8:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

Incentives - I would go with number of starts

rather than innings pitched for Harden. If we got Harden, I’d be careful with him, take him out after 5 innings if we’re up by a bunch. I don’t want the innings to become an issue, especially if it makes him more of an injury risk.

by Adam Peterson on Aug 31, 2009 8:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

Me too
I’d be willing to give up Slama and Delaney to get Rich Harden. They’re really good relief prospects, but we’re talking about a dominant ace (when healthy).

Agreed. Also, it’s a matter of the value of relief pitching – the Twins have a boatload of middling starting pitching prospects, and seeing as how the best closer in the history of the team was once a middling starting pitching prospect, I would think that there’s a decent chance that one or two of the guys there aren’t room for could eventually be good in relief (and, on the flip side, there’s a decent chance that one or both of Slama and Delaney will fail at the major league level).

Basically, I don’t trust pitching prospects, and I think relief pitching prospects are overvalued. Go ahead and trade ’em.

"There are only two things that are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former." - Albert Einstein

by BeefMaster on Aug 31, 2009 10:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

Jon Rauch

Was one of the relievers I was hoping we’d get during the offseason. I’m glad we picked him up, especially since he’s locked up for next year. We need the bullpen depth. The question is…who did we give up for him?

by Adam Peterson on Aug 31, 2009 7:49 AM EDT reply actions  

No word yet,

but as long as it’s not a top-10 prospect I think we’ll be alright.

by Jesse on Aug 31, 2009 7:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

Rauch

I was at the game yesterday, near the Twins’ bullpen, and holy cow is Rauch tall. He warmed up next to Mijares at one point, and it looked like a dad coaching his kid’s little league team.

"There are only two things that are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former." - Albert Einstein

by BeefMaster on Aug 31, 2009 10:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Off season

I’d rather see the Twins make a run at Bedard and Sheets this off season, I think they’re not as highly regarded and they’re both type B pitchers. If the Twins could get Harden at a decent price (what that is, I’m not entirely sure) and sign him to an extension then go for it but I guess as far as our farm system and future, I’d rather see the Twins get one of Bedard/Sheets, then also get a guy like Pavano to come back. That would be a nice way to anchor our rotation and then have Baker, Slowey, and whoever wins of Blackburn, Swarzak, Perkins, Mulvey, Liriano etc. This also bolsters our bullpen as some of the losers can go there and keep people like Henn, and Keppel from ever seeing Target Field.

It gives us great depth and gives us some legitimate pitching prospects to use in a deal for a MI.

Peyton's good but have you ever heard of Jeff George?

by halfchest on Aug 31, 2009 11:30 AM EDT reply actions  

Blackburn

Putting him in the same category as Swarzak, Perkins, Mulvey and even Liriano is pretty ridiculous. This is purely overreaction to a months worth of horrible starts. The man has a career ERA just over 4.00 after nearly two full seasons of ball…and that includes this horrendous streak. We should probably find a new first baseman too while we’re at it. He can’t drive a run in if his contract depended on it.

This is like the guys who demanded a trade of Cuddy a year ago. A month does not a career make. Not even an injury plagued season. Blackburn has a spot locked in this rotation in 2010. I’m pretty happy about that.

by PinkiePinkerton on Aug 31, 2009 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hey Now

I’m not over reacting to anything, Blackburn’s good but as much as he shouldn’t be lumped in with Perkins, Swarzak, etc. I don’t think he can be lumped in with Slowey and Baker either. I’m actually a fan of Blackburn and thought about putting him right behind Baker and Slowey but decided against it. He’s not great, he’s good but he’s not great. I think Swarzak will likely be a better pitcher eventually and there are a lot of guys like Manship, Mulvey, even Duensing who might be better than Blackburn. I think all of those guys should be considered in a trade for a Middle infielder which is why I lumped them together. Yes, to this point, Blackburn has been better and no I’m not over reacting to a few poor starts but pointing out that he’s not untouchable and I could have been more clear with that I guess. I’m generally not one to call for a players head based on a small sample, I’m not doing that with Blackburn either. I don’t believe I’ve ever called to trade Cuddy and haven’t even said much about a guy like Delmon. So anyhow if there is any over reaction going on it’s your reaction to my post not my mild oversight of lumping Blackburn in with lesser pitchers. It wasn’t even the point of the post by the way, it was on making a strong rotation for next year and how 1, and maybe even 2 veteran pitchers might be the right thing for this young team.

Peyton's good but have you ever heard of Jeff George?

by halfchest on Aug 31, 2009 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Reusse

After years of complaining that the Twins GM threw in the towel too early (ahem, 2007), he reverses position and complains about trying to win.

I was most disappointed with his evaluation of prospects. The Twins didn’t give up anybody that they’ll miss. Ladendorf was a second rounder who could be a starting third baseman at some point. But that point is a long ways away. His characterization of Pino as someone who “projects as a big league starter” is only nominally true. I could see Pino being a fifth starter for a couple of years and winning, maybe, 15 games in his whole major league career.

But where would this team be without Cabrera and Pavano? They wouldn’t be within reach at this point. And perhaps the team made the kind of impression on them that it made on Shannon Stewart. It’s tough to get guys to sign here. I know we tried with Cabrera last off season and only settled on Punto after O-Cab signed with the A’s. Maybe they want to sign reasonable deals to play with the Twins after playing with them for a couple of months. Even if all the deals do is help fix Casilla and Blackburn, it would be worth it.

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on Aug 31, 2009 2:34 PM EDT reply actions  

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