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Showdown In Dome Town: Twins Playing Host to Tigers





Games back:  4.0

For weeks we've been back and forth on this.  Every time the Twins hit a streak of luck and run off a couple of wins they manage to take a step back.  And yet every time they're pushed to the brink, to the point where it seems they can do no right and nothing more than a whisper would push them into the abyss of elimination, they find a way to scratch and fight back above .500.

In most divisions that wouldn't be good enough.  But in the AL Central it's a reality, and it's making for another heartburn-happy September.

Thanks to Zack Greinke and the Kansas City Royals, the Tigers will be prowling through Minneapolis this weekend with a four-game lead over our Minnesota Twins.  Forget records, this is all about the gap to first place.  We all understand what's at stake here.

Injury Report

Twins:
Both Justin Morneau and Joe Crede are out for the season, leaving the middle of the order down 40% on their power hitters.  Michael Cuddyer is filling in at first base, giving Ron Gardenhire the chance to play Carlos Gomez and Delmon Young everyday.  Brian Buscher and Brendan Harris will be picking up more of the time at third.

Tigers:
Dontrelle Willis has been out for some time, but both Nate Robertson and Jarrod Washburn are fighting injuries and won't pitch this series.  Detroit has no scheduled starter for Sunday's contest.

Probable Pitchers

Friday, September 18:  Rick Porcello vs Brian Duensing
Saturday, September 19:  Justin Verlander vs Carl Pavano
Sunday, September 20:  TBA vs Scott Baker

Opposition Focus

Rick Porcello:  For a kid who won't be able to legally drink until two days after Christmas, Porcello doesn't seem to be too worked up over the pressure he's been facing with his team down the stretch.  His fastball has good sink and it's been his best pitch, while his breaking ball(s) and off-speed pitch haven't been quite as effective.  Porcello will beat you by inducing contact, and because his ground ball rates are so good (54.8%) you'll need to string together two or three hits on most occasions before you score a run.  If he does let one get up, however, they're a little more likely to get a little boost.  If the Twins are getting a lot of line drives or are hitting some hard flies on Friday night, it should be a sign that they're seeing him pretty well.  Hopefully that would turn into runs.  If Porcello gets into a groove, however, those innings could start flying by with nothing more to show than a string of 6-3 put outs.

Justin Verlander:  Verlander is good.  I'd probably vote for Zack Greinke for the Cy Young, but Verlander isn't too far off.  Over 12.1 innings in two starts versus the Twins this year he's allowed seven runs over 12.1 innings, giving up 12 hits, five hits and striking out 19.  Yes, 19.

Magglio Ordonez:  He's really bounced back, and all that's missing from his game is power.  Sort of like Bobby Abreu.  Only with less power.  He's back to hitting third for the Tigers, hitting .347/.418/.493 since the All-Star break.

Brandon Inge:  Still looks like the biggest jerk to ever jerk a jerk.  Doing a great Joe Crede impression this year.  If Joe Crede were healthy.

Adam Everett:  Anybody wish we'd given him another shot?  He's hitting a paltry .244/.296/.335, but that's not much worse than some of our other infielders.  His UZR/150 is only 4.2, but that's better than any of the five guys the Twins have tried at the spot this year.  For reference, Orlando Cabrera's UZR/150 with the Twins is -17.9.  He's also still making plenty of plays outside of his zone (36 and counting), although not as frequently as he once was.

Miguel Cabrera:  Also awesome.  The man is only 26 and has amassed 438 205 home runs.  In the history of the Minnesota Twins, only Harmon Killebrew [edit:  and Kent Hrbek and Bob Allison and Tony Oliva and Kirby Pucket end edit] and has ever hit more home runs than a 26-year old.  Incredible.  And let's not even pretend he's a one-dimensional offensive force.

Fernando Rodney:  Tigers fans, this is a closer.  Rodney isn't a bad pitcher, but after dealing with Todd Jones for so long it has to be like watching the second coming of...wait...oh my god, really?  Todd Jones is Detroit's career save leader?  I feel so dirty.

You want meaningful autumn baseball?  This might be as close as we get.  Get out and support the Twins this weekend if you can, and if not, then we'll see you here.

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Miguel Cabrera

Has 204 career home runs. To get 438 he would have to hit over 62 home runs in every season he has played. He has 438 career walks though.

But anyway, go Twins, I’ll be at two of the games this weekend!

by twinsfan5 on Sep 17, 2009 7:06 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

funny

I went straight to his stats page because I thought 438 home runs at age 26? WTF!? He is absolutely destined to smash the all time record how could we not have heard about this before – Jesse must be kidding. 438 BBs.

by montanatwinsfan on Sep 17, 2009 7:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

Yah, I did the same thing. I was a bit shocked and knew that had to be wrong.

Peyton's good but have you ever heard of Jeff George?

by halfchest on Sep 17, 2009 8:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hahahaha....woops.

Thought that was a lot…

by Jesse on Sep 18, 2009 3:07 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Point still holds

205 HR in 6.5 seasons is good. Really good. That’s more than 30 per year. And if you pull out his first year and a half, his OBP is around .400.

by snolls on Sep 18, 2009 10:42 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

plus

plus, he’s at that part of his career where his power should increase. You know, the part where you are supposed to peak, between 26-30.

by snolls on Sep 18, 2009 10:43 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

and now for something completely different...

I think we can take 2 of 3 here at home this weekend, and that would be great … if this were July.

With four games to make up and only 16 games left we dont really stand any significant hope unless we sweep them. Seriously, after this series we have ten games in a row on the road. We suck on the road (31-40) and we will be playing 3 games in Cellular against a team that has a lot of desire to beat us, three against the Royals, who have played us hard all season, and just took 3 of 4 from the Tigers, and four games in Detroit. Brutal.

If the Twins can pull off a playoff win through those odds, that will be some feat indeed.

by montanatwinsfan on Sep 17, 2009 7:50 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

The good news is...

The Tigers have lost 7 of their last 10 while the Twins have won 6 of their last 10. Plus we have the Dome-field advantage this series.

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any one of us." -Kirby Puckett
"Over? Did you say 'over'? Nothing is over until we decide it is!" -John "Bluto" Blutarsky

by less cowbell, more 'neau on Sep 17, 2009 8:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, if there was ever a time for some Dome Magic

this weekend would be it. And if it could carry into our next series with Detroit, that would be very helpful.

Regardless of the records, Detroit is not that great of a team, the Twins should be able to take 2 of 3, at least. I look forward to a very exciting end of the season.

by fischean on Sep 17, 2009 10:24 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

+1

Even at 4 games behind, I love having a close playoff race at the end of the season. It makes the games so much more exciting

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Sep 17, 2009 10:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

OT: Mariners 4, White Sox 3 in 14 innings

Nice to gain a half game on both Detroit and Chicago today.

Even more OT: Alex Rios has a .401 OPS with the White Sox. That has to sting…

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Sep 17, 2009 10:45 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

very, very nice

almost feel a little bad for my Sox fan friend…almost.

by fischean on Sep 18, 2009 1:19 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not OT (either)

From BYB Nate Robertson is the TBA pitcher for the Tiggers Sunday.
He’s back from a groin injury. A g-g-g-g-roin in-jur-y.

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any one of us." -Kirby Puckett
"Over? Did you say 'over'? Nothing is over until we decide it is!" -John "Bluto" Blutarsky

by less cowbell, more 'neau on Sep 18, 2009 12:08 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'll be at the Dome tomorrow night

my floor is looking pretty dirty... BETTER GET OUT THE BROOM!!!

by natetheskate on Sep 18, 2009 1:10 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

shh

www.twinkietalk.com
www.olympicsportsblog.wordpress.com

by fetch9 on Sep 18, 2009 1:24 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Spam

This guy went from site to site on SB Nation posting these. Nothing to do with us.

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any one of us." -Kirby Puckett
"Over? Did you say 'over'? Nothing is over until we decide it is!" -John "Bluto" Blutarsky

by less cowbell, more 'neau on Sep 18, 2009 12:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Trolling

According to his profile, he joined a dozen SBNation blogs yesterday and posted nothing but those pictures.

I wouldn’t mind if the pictures were funny, but they both appear to have been assembled by a not-particularly-bright 8-year-old, so my vote is that you ban him.

"There are only two things that are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former." - Albert Einstein

by BeefMaster on Sep 18, 2009 9:33 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know

I always like making fun of Boston. Their fans are most times jerks, they make a huge deal of selling out a little league park, and they still have the nerve to act as if they are the good guys against the Yankees…

but yes it has nothing to do with our epic weekend showdown

by caluofmn on Sep 18, 2009 10:42 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Must be a Yankee fan

Damn Yankees!

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on Sep 18, 2009 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

hey, they had that one good song….

by fischean on Sep 18, 2009 12:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

flagged as spam

I hate the Bosox as much as the next guy, but this was just dumb.

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any one of us." -Kirby Puckett
"Over? Did you say 'over'? Nothing is over until we decide it is!" -John "Bluto" Blutarsky

by less cowbell, more 'neau on Sep 18, 2009 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't care

That the division sucks
If Punto bats DH
That we would play they Yanks in the 1st round
If Gardy starts Tolbert over Span
If Smith resigns Everyday Eddie
That we have been a bad team
If Delmon has 4 1st pitch ground outs

I just want to sweep Det and go to the playoffs!

by clutterheart on Sep 18, 2009 8:55 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

If

This will be exciting if the Twins find a way to win at least five of seven from the Tigers in their head-to-head games.

The Tigers are an okay team, but not to be feared. If the Twins pitch well, they could win two or three or sweep.

Last night’s loss may be the end of the White Sox. They are now 6.5 back and trailing two teams with 15 games to play. I actually hope they have some resiliancy, because they play the Tigers six of the final ten games.

by Alexi Casilla All-Star on Sep 18, 2009 9:04 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

this weekend

I don’t see any reason why the Twins can’t take at least 2 of 3 if not the sweep.
I like the pitching match up, especially for Sunday with Baker matching up with Robertson.

Let’s face it the Twins and Tigers are both flawed teams, the Twins just have to continue to apply the pressure and I think Detroit will fold. Of course all this is on the Twins continuing to play well. At this point the Twins just have collect their W’s and I think they have a shot, and who would have thought during those awful days in July and Aug.

by caluofmn on Sep 18, 2009 11:02 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

beating a dead horse, but...

The Twins don’t have to apply pressure to Detroit in order to win. The Twins just need to… wait for it…
.
.
.
.

Hit five consecutive home runs!

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Sep 18, 2009 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

that's it?

and I thought it was going to be hard for the Twins to pull this off!

by caluofmn on Sep 18, 2009 6:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fernando Rodney IS the second coming of Todd Jones

Ernie Harwell used to call Jones the Roller Coaster Man back in the day, for his penchant for white knuckle, give up a hit or two, walk a guy, winning run at the plate-style saves. We used a priceless roller coaster pic over at BYB for Tood Jones appearances….and let’s just say, we didn’t retire it when Rodney took over the job, it’s been more of the same. That said, he’s officially only blown one save this year (fingers, toes and eyes crossed that that stats holds true).

Official BYB Juju Consultant...now accepting rally creature applications!

by ahtrap on Sep 18, 2009 4:24 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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