Mauer's Impact Updated

by Milt on Tilt on Sep 4, 2009 12:21 PM EDT

Because I love Joe Mauer. And I love to see the tangible difference he has had on this club in the 2009 season.

W% w/Joe: .519 (54-50)
Without: .448 (13-16)

R/G w/Joe: 5.07
R/G w/o: 4.76

RA/G w/Joe as C: 4.57
RA/G w/o as C: 5.36

Expected W%:

w/Joe @ C: .551

w/ Joe @DH: .472

w/o Joe: .441

With a reasonable breakdown of 140 games at catcher, 18 at DH, and 4 games of rest a team would be expected to win 87-88 games with Joe Mauer over the course of a full season. Without Joe Mauer, the team would be expected to win about 71 games.

Of course this is overstated since the biggest difference in RA/G with and without Joe has been the terrible start of Scott Baker. So unless you buy that Joe Mauer fixed Scott you can't buy into these numbers as is.

Personally, I was hoping for a more profound difference in R/G, but it's not insignificant.

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Comments

This is pretty interesting.

Another (obvious) reason to keep him. :)

by fischean on Sep 5, 2009 11:45 AM EDT reply actions

Another 0-4 night for Laverne Morneau

by montanatwinsfan on Sep 6, 2009 12:24 AM EDT reply actions

Just in case that above picture doesn't make sense to you,

Laverne is holding the bat in this one.

by montanatwinsfan on Sep 6, 2009 12:30 AM EDT up reply actions

Boooo!

Post wasn’t even about Morneau! Cheap shot at the M&M boys! Shame!

montanatwinsfan is wearing the hat in this one.

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any one of us." -Kirby Puckett
"No, you don't understand It’s a metaphor for A SERIES SWEEP!!!!!!!" -natethejinx

by less cowbell, more 'neau on Sep 7, 2009 8:22 AM EDT up reply actions

WRONG!

The sheep in that picture is way better looking than any of my girlfriends.

by montanatwinsfan on Sep 7, 2009 9:34 AM EDT up reply actions

“girlfriends”

my floor is looking pretty dirty... BETTER GET OUT THE BROOM!!!

by natetheskate on Sep 12, 2009 10:09 PM EDT up reply actions

*

girlfriends

by montanatwinsfan on Sep 13, 2009 9:48 AM EDT up reply actions

Are you sure that is not Gardy and Punto?

by dakotajim on Sep 9, 2009 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions

0.3 r/g is about right

that ends up being about 50 runs over a full season. With that and added defense, that’s about what you can expect from mauer. That translates to about 6-8 wins, depending on how much credit you give him for defense. That’s the difference between a playoff contender and an average team, or, in our case, the difference between an average team and a bottom of the barrel team.

by lookatthosetwins on Sep 14, 2009 5:48 PM EDT reply actions