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Wednesday Roundup

It's been deathly quiet around the Twins rumor mill lately, huh?

Let's reflect, briefly, on where this team stands right now.  We're sitting at about $100 million in payroll, and are actively pursuing both Carl Pavano and Jim Thome.  We also appear to be kicking the tires on our old friend Brian Fuentes.  Signing both Pavano and Thome would put us around a $115 million payroll on opening day.  Adding Fuentes - or a similarly priced reliever - would put us in the $120 million range.

A few more Twins-related notes, after the jump:

Star-divide

  • Brandon Webb, who several Twinkie Towners suggested might be a good buy-low option for the Twins, signed a one-year deal with the Rangers. Seems like a pretty smart move for the Rangers: they'll only pay $3 million if Webb is a bust, and if he returns to form they'll only be on the hook for $8 to $10 million. Then again, this fascinating analysis suggests the Rangers may have just thrown $3 million down the drain.
  • Several teams - including the Orioles and Nationals - are in discussions with Derrek Lee. While many on the site had suggested Lee might be a good target for the Twins this off-season, I, personally, had written off the suggestion, believing Lee (even at 34) would find a team to give him a two or three-year deal. Now, however, it seems that most of the rumors are suggesting teams are trying to sign Lee for a one-year deal around $8 million.  Anyone want to argue that instead of offering Thome $5 or $6 million for next season, we should throw in a couple extra million to target Lee instead?  He's right-handed, more versatile, and hit very well in the second-half of last year (playing through a thumb injury that required surgery in November).   In fairness, Lee evidently would like to play for a west coast team, and very well may have zero interest in being a platoon/role player on the Twins.  But, c’mon, it’s a slow news week, we gotta have something to argue about.
  • Following Dan Szymborski from Baseball Think Factory on Twitter, it appears we should have 2011 ZIPS projections for the Twins very soon. Some nuggets he revealed on Twitter: Scott Baker is projected for a 4.02 ERA, ZIPS thinks Kyle Gibson would be as good as Nick Blackburn right now, and, what I found most intriguing, Nishioka is projected to hit 281/337/403, with 38 steals in his rookie year.
  • Last but not least, the Hall of Fame Ballot Gathering Machine (also via Baseball Think Factory) has tallied HOF voting for the 49 official ballots that have been publicly revealed. Of those 49 ballots, 79.6% have included Bert Blyleven. A player needs to be named on 75% of ballots to be inducted into the Hall of Fame. Last year, Bert was achingly close, getting named on 74.2% of the 539 ballots cast.

That's all I got for now.  Hope everyone has a happy new year.  Spring training is right around the corner.

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If Yoshi hits .281/.337/.403 with 38 steals...

I would be blown away. That would certain go a long way in clearing up the uncertainty in the middle infield. I doubt it will happen though. I prefer to temper expectations until he at least gets to spring training.

On another note; I hope the Twins will go and sign Duchscherer. He has been both an All Star reliever and starter since 2005 and has a career ERA of 3.13. He has had a lot of injuries recently but I think he is a decent gamble. If he can’t stay healthy in the rotation throw him into the pen. I haven’t seen any rumors on him yet so maybe there isn’t a lot of interest, hopefully that brings down the price. Considering he only made $1.75M last year, it wouldn’t have to come down far to be a small risk

by Drat on Dec 29, 2010 10:57 AM EST reply actions  

I think that's conservative, except for the steals

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on Dec 29, 2010 12:01 PM EST up reply actions  

The Derrek Lee signing sounds good. Maybe Philadelphia would consider taking Cuddyer if we sent 3-4 million along with him. We could use the 6-7 million to help get Lee. Philly is said to be looking for a RH bat/outfielder (even considered Manny Ramirez at 12 mil.) That way Derrick Lee could play 1st base the second half of the season times Justin needs a rest. Is anyone else extremely worried about Justin diving for a ground ball, sliding into a base and bumping his head or just getting hit in the helmet with a wild pitch. We could still try to sign Thome depending on what we do with Pavano.

by Iowatwinswin on Dec 29, 2010 11:11 AM EST reply actions  

Lee makes more sense than Thome.

As much as the Twins love the Jimmer, if they could get Lee for anywhere near the same price, he would be a better fit for the club.

by St Cloud Twinsfan on Dec 29, 2010 11:27 AM EST reply actions  

Unless Morneau isn't going to be able to cover 1st most of the time, I don't agree

Thome makes us better against RHP and Lee makes us better against LHP. There’s much more RHP in the league. Thome’s also been a much better hitter overall in his career and over the last three years. With Repko on the team, Cuddyer or Delmon make fine DH options against LHP.

I’d also be surprised if Lee was interested in being a platoon DH or even a non-platoon DH.

by Luke in MN on Dec 29, 2010 12:11 PM EST up reply actions  

I would prefer Lee for three reasons

1. He can play 1B, keeping me from frothing at the mouth every time I watch Cuddyer act like he’s trying to hit the throws from infielders, rather than catch them.
2. With Kubel entrenched at DH and incapable of hitting lefties, a right handed complement is needed. Thome is a little better against lefties, but not much, as we saw in the playoffs.
3. Lee will be playing for a contract. Thome will be playing for shits and giggles.

It won’t be a straight platoon. There will be times Morneau needs a day off. There will be times Cuddyer needs a day off. There will be times Kubel needs a day off against a right hander. He could get 400 PAs. But if he’s playing for a contract, he’ll want an everyday assignment. So It’s probably a moot point.

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on Dec 29, 2010 1:18 PM EST up reply actions  

I think Big Jim will sign for 2.5M

If thats the case it’s much lower then Lee’s 8M. Just my thoughts. I to would like a RH-DH.

by b1 on Dec 29, 2010 1:33 PM EST up reply actions  

I would agree as well

Derrek Lee would be a good addition at first. Besides, he will be 35 (Baseball Reference lists his September 6th, 1975 as his birthdate) in April and Jim Thome is 40. I rather spend $8 million on a younger player that can play the field rather than one that can only be a DH.

by Jessy S on Dec 29, 2010 5:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Ripcord, er Repko

Is not a legitimate ML hitter. He’s an out factory, a K machine, a cypher dressed in a uniform. Teams do not get to the playoffs with Ripcords getting major at bats.

Period.

by Old Twins Cap on Dec 29, 2010 12:29 PM EST reply actions  

I sympathize, but

Repko career versus LHP:
.229/.301/.380

Kubel career versus LHP:
.237/.315./.355

And as bad a hitter Repko is, that’s how bad at fielding Kubel, Cuddyer, and Delmon are. It may be unfortunate, but on this team as is, he has a useful role keeping Kubel out of the game against LHP.

by Luke in MN on Dec 29, 2010 1:05 PM EST up reply actions  

I guess if your point is that therefore we should get Lee so we don't have to play Repko,

I see your point. (although I’m afraid Cuddyer versus RHP is almost as much a problem as Kubel against LHP) Adding either Lee or Thome would definitely improve the team.

by Luke in MN on Dec 29, 2010 1:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Dotel signed a 1yr 3.5M

Thats why I was saying no to him. At that price I’d of stayed with Matt or Crainwreck. Anyone want to guess on Balfour?

by b1 on Dec 29, 2010 1:38 PM EST reply actions  

Guerrier and Crain signed for more than that

I do like Balfour, but I don’t know if the Twins would bring him back.

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on Dec 29, 2010 2:07 PM EST up reply actions  

Balfour is a type A

no way they even consider him.

by Stefa on Dec 29, 2010 2:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh, never mind then

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on Dec 29, 2010 2:46 PM EST up reply actions  

One more thing about the Hall

Jack Morris is listed on 57.1% of the ballots released.

by Jessy S on Dec 29, 2010 5:33 PM EST reply actions  

Justin Duchscherer

He underwent like his 3rd hip surgery last June and was said to need at least 6 months to recovery.

by Iowatwinswin on Dec 29, 2010 6:31 PM EST reply actions  

Hall of Fame Ballot Gathering Machine

They’ve updated the list, now counting 59 official ballots. Blyleven is down to 76.3%.

by East Coast Twin on Dec 30, 2010 10:15 AM EST reply actions  

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