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Around SBN: The Amateur Mathematics Of Linsanity

Twins 6, Mets 0: Pavano Shuts Out Mets

Dear New York:  You have been Pavstache'd.

On an afternoon where the big story of this game was the Minnesota Twins facing off against their former ace Johan Santana, it was Carl Pavano that stole the show.  The Minnesota offense made Santana work right out of the gate, working a 41-pitch inning off the southpaw that led to a four-run frame.  A Joe Mauer single and doubles by Orlando Hudson, Jason Kubel and Delmon Young highlighted Santana's early struggles.

Johan is definitely not the same pitcher he was when he won Cy Young awards with the Twins.  If you watched the game you saw the fastball topping out at 90 and the changeup sitting in the low 80s, and if Mets fans are concerned about the after-effects of the off-season surgery to remove bone chips then I don't blame them.  His mechanics are a little backwards as far as where his elbow sits mid-delivery, and that's just as much mental as anything else.

Pavano faced more than the minimum just twice in the entire game.  He ran into trouble (it's all relative, today this constituted "trouble") in the fifth, as the Mets had two base runners in the same inning and even managed to get one into scoring position.  Then, in the eighth, Pavano was forced to endure pitching to four batters in one inning.

Three hitters over the minimum in the game, Pavstache's four strikeouts paired with nary a walk (and one beaning of Rod Barajas), and right now we're seeing the man pitch like his warehouse full of Lucky Strikes depends on a great game.  He's 4-0 in his last four starts, coming off back-to-back complete games, and saying that he's been the pitcher the Twins needed him to be is an understatement.

Let's run a few numbers on Pavano's great afternoon:

Game
Innings:  9
Pitches:  110
First-pitch strikes:  19/30
Pitch Selection
Fastball/Sinker %:  63
Off-Speed %:  25%
Breaking %:  5%
Splitter %:  7%
Results
Strike %:  68
Swinging Strike %:  6%
Peak Velocity:  93 mph
Low Velocity:  78 mph

Game MVP:  Pavstache
MVP in a losing effort:  Jeff Franceour had two of the hits off Pavano
Best Pitching Performance:  Pavstache
Best Hitting Performance:
  Jason Kubel (HR, 2B, 2 RBI)
Welcome Back:  Joe Mauer
I Didn't Know You Still Had A Career:  Elmer Dessens
Spawn of Notorious Twins Closer:  Ike Davis

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Great game

Pavano was outstanding again. Twins will hold the lead tonight.

Chipper just hit a 3-run bomb for the Braves off Zumaya to take a 3-1 lead over the Tigers. Good times.

by Alexi Casilla All-Star on Jun 26, 2010 6:43 PM EDT reply actions  

A solid victory

In fact, we beat the crap out of those guys. Time to celebrate with some Big Chief and a ride on the Tilt-N-Hurl.

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on Jun 26, 2010 7:22 PM EDT reply actions  

haha classic.

I'm still a Minnesotan at heart...

by urluckyday on Jun 26, 2010 9:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

PAVSTACHE/Ike Davis

Not a bad use of $7 million./If we really need to get Ike Davis out, we need to find Jamie Quirk’s kid to pitch to him.

by RandBall's Stu on Jun 26, 2010 8:01 PM EDT reply actions  

C'mon Cubs...do something right for a change.

beat those sox

I'm still a Minnesotan at heart...

by urluckyday on Jun 26, 2010 9:44 PM EDT reply actions  

Wow, I did not know that Ike Davis was RD's son until now

also, really really nice stretch of games by Pavs

it fights, but tolbert the true rubbish, is the son--japanese proverb
Chase Utley is a Nick Punto-type player, but with power--Bert Blyleven

by ajmargarine on Jun 26, 2010 10:04 PM EDT reply actions  

yeah thank goodness for Pavano and Liriano this year.

My life's goal: to force fischean itno using her moderator powers

by montanatwinsfan on Jun 26, 2010 10:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well done Twins!

Fear the Pavstache!

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any one of us." -Kirby Puckett
"Now I am become Mod, the destroyer of bad words." -fischean

by less cowbell, more 'neau on Jun 27, 2010 12:20 AM EDT reply actions  

As much as I'd like Cliff Lee

There’s no denying that the Twins have a legit 1, 2, and 3 starter in the rotation. Liriano’s a dominant ace, Pavano is worthy of the second spot in a playoff rotation, and Baker is a solid #3.

by kcoryell on Jun 27, 2010 5:01 AM EDT reply actions  

And yet

none of them are as good as Cliff Lee.

by Jesse on Jun 27, 2010 5:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

True.

Liriano’s close though. I’m not saying Lee wouldn’t help, or isn’t a great pitcher in his own right, I’m just saying that the 1-3 in the rotation are pretty solid. 4-5 not so much….

by kcoryell on Jun 27, 2010 6:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think you hit the nail on the head.

The best part about acquiring a pitcher like Cliff Lee is how much better it makes the back end of our rotation.

by Jesse on Jun 27, 2010 9:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

Baker has been up and down too much for my liking

But maybe he’ll get it turned around in the 2nd half. The Twins have had a different pitcher step up every month to be a stopper. In April, it was Liriano. In May, it was Blackburn (hard to believe, isn’t it?) and in June it has been Pavano. I’ll go on record as saying it will be Baker in July.

by Sheldon on Jun 27, 2010 8:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

Liriano has been good.

But he is an an ace by default. Right now, I’d have Pav pitch in a big game before Liriano.

by Joshua P on Jun 27, 2010 10:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

Victory!

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any one of us." -Kirby Puckett
"Now I am become Mod, the destroyer of bad words." -fischean

by less cowbell, more 'neau on Jun 27, 2010 10:44 AM EDT reply actions   2 recs

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