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I like more bullpen help. I have to believe Ramos is worth more than this.

over 1 year ago The_jet_tiny cmathewson 191 comments 0 recs  | 

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Overpay! I hate it!

by jimmylegz on Jul 29, 2010 10:43 PM EDT reply actions  

No. You overvalue Ramos.

by d_fens on Jul 30, 2010 12:53 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

See what I did there with that definitive statement? I must be right.

In all seriousness; people are overvaluing a reliever once again because he’s an experienced closer. He’s a solid pitcher for sure, but I don’t think he’s as valuable as Ramos.

And his contract situation is scary. His salary is going to jump up substantially as he racks up saves.

by PurplePeopleEaters on Jul 30, 2010 2:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

You know....

….Ramos was worth little to us with Mauer and everyone knew it.

by MNPundit on Jul 30, 2010 3:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

Little to us

but a whole lot to another team. Ramos was a top 5 catching talent in the AL.

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any of us." - Kirby Puckett

by BCTwins on Jul 30, 2010 11:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

No problem with this trade

To quote the Brooklyn Dodgers…

“This IS next year”

The beard abides.

by Jason Kubel's Beard on Jul 29, 2010 10:44 PM EDT reply actions  

yeah

I see both sides… Did we overpay? No doubt, but we have a tough one two punch on the back end.

by the_truth92 on Jul 29, 2010 10:48 PM EDT reply actions  

Seems like a bit of an overpay but he's a nice fit for the Twins

I had to defend him before but he’s better than any guy in our bullpen if you look at peripherals. Even last year seems like a bit unlucky. His LD percentage went down 5% but his BABIP was up 100 points from .272 to .370.

His other numbers all seemed pretty in line with career norms as they have this year. Still this seems like quite the haul for a guy that got non-tendered last winter. At least we now have a young guy with closer capabilities to help out next year as well if/when Nathan doesn’t come back full strength.

Peyton's good but have you ever heard of Jeff George?

by halfchest on Jul 29, 2010 10:49 PM EDT reply actions  

Capps = Non-tendered by the freaking Pirates last year

5.80 ERA in 54.1 innings. Brilliant job buying high. I guess we can call this deadline closed now that we lost our best trade piece.

by Drat on Jul 29, 2010 10:49 PM EDT reply actions  

We could still trade with Houston

they’re one of the few teams that don’t want catching prospects

Let's go my team!

by Armaskarhu on Jul 29, 2010 11:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lolz can you believe what we got for rule 5 draft Santana lolz mets soooooo overpaid.

by d_fens on Jul 30, 2010 12:55 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I'm ok with it.

Capps is a 26 yo with lots of major league experience and 3 of the last 4 seasons he has had an ERA+ of over 140.

by twinspab on Jul 29, 2010 10:50 PM EDT reply actions  

Please explain the "more" in the "could have gotten more" scenario

Exactly what “more” was out there for us to get???

The beard abides.

by Jason Kubel's Beard on Jul 29, 2010 10:50 PM EDT reply actions  

Obviously no one knows what offers were out there,

but a top 100 prospect should bring more than a decent setup man with 1 year of team control remaining and a not-particularly cheap salary.

by Luke in MN on Jul 29, 2010 10:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

Strasburg

duh :P

"Baseball is the only major sport that appears backward in a mirror" ~George Carlin

by thewild_viking_twins on Jul 29, 2010 10:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Collin Balester

SP/RP, friend of Anthony Slama, great mustache.

Short article here

by benhertz on Jul 30, 2010 2:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

That is sweet

I saw a video of Rollie Fingers recently and he still has that stache.

Baseball reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.-Terence Mann/James Earl Jones in FoD

by Twins33 on Jul 30, 2010 9:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

yea

what else was there to get?

by the_truth92 on Jul 29, 2010 10:52 PM EDT reply actions  

I think he's more than a "decent setup man"

He’s been really good this year. Look at the improved GB%, plus the elite command, also pretty good K rate.

To me, they must REALLY be concerned about Rauch for the rest of the year, and Capps will be back as the presumptive closer next year, you can never assume that Nathan will be ready at full strength (if he’s back, great, but that will sort itself out).

by matswilander on Jul 29, 2010 10:55 PM EDT reply actions  

"they must REALLY be concerned about Rauch for the rest of the year"

+500

Image if we play the Yankees 1st round….do you trust Rauch to hold a 1 run lead?

The beard abides.

by Jason Kubel's Beard on Jul 29, 2010 11:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

...You trust Capps will do it?

"All I want to do is beat the hair mannequin [Anthony LaPanta] this year"-Souhan

by fischean on Jul 29, 2010 11:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

I trust them both.

No joke. They may make it interesting…but I’d trust ’em.

Btw…the Yankees aren’t all-powerful…

I'm still a Minnesotan at heart...

by urluckyday on Jul 29, 2010 11:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Eh.

We’ll see how it turns out. Not thrilled about the deal, but maybe it will end up being alright.

"All I want to do is beat the hair mannequin [Anthony LaPanta] this year"-Souhan

by fischean on Jul 29, 2010 11:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

+1

Capps is barely better than Rauch. Ugh.

Souhan in Chinese! : "一會兒,德爾蒙楊想與他無關的隊友。不想讓他們打他。難道不希望他們偷了他的頭盔。不希望他們成為他的Facebook的朋友。"

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Jul 29, 2010 11:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Worse K/9, slightly better BB/9.

Other than that…eh.

"All I want to do is beat the hair mannequin [Anthony LaPanta] this year"-Souhan

by fischean on Jul 29, 2010 11:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Capps gives up more home runs too though

Souhan in Chinese! : "一會兒,德爾蒙楊想與他無關的隊友。不想讓他們打他。難道不希望他們偷了他的頭盔。不希望他們成為他的Facebook的朋友。"

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Jul 29, 2010 11:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

And that's in the NL.

"All I want to do is beat the hair mannequin [Anthony LaPanta] this year"-Souhan

by fischean on Jul 29, 2010 11:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Capps is clearly better:

On the year:

Rauch: 6.3 k/9
Capps: 7.4 k/9

Last month:

Rauch: 0.8 Cmd
Capps: 3.5 Cmd

by matswilander on Jul 29, 2010 11:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

He's clearly better than Anthony Slama

That’s the most important thing. Slama has shown an ability to fool minor league hitters. Capps has shown an ability to get major league hitters out.

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on Jul 29, 2010 11:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

But also

Rauch: 5.2% HR/FB
Capps: 10.0% HR/FB

Rauch: 3.43 FIP
Capps: 3.51 FIP

Rauch: 4.47 xFIP
Capps: 3.58 xFIP

Rauch: 0.6 WAR
Capps: 0.6 WAR

Capps is still better than Rauch, but not by much. Better question is what cmath asked: how much better is Capps than Slama?

Souhan in Chinese! : "一會兒,德爾蒙楊想與他無關的隊友。不想讓他們打他。難道不希望他們偷了他的頭盔。不希望他們成為他的Facebook的朋友。"

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Jul 29, 2010 11:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

better, but not by much?

That looks like “a lot better” to me. A full run difference in xFIP?

by matswilander on Jul 29, 2010 11:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

much much better xFIP, I'll give you that

None of our relievers seem to have good xFIPs this year, but they seem to have better FIPs. Maybe Target Field will lower Capps’ HR rate, that would definitely be nice.

Souhan in Chinese! : "一會兒,德爾蒙楊想與他無關的隊友。不想讓他們打他。難道不希望他們偷了他的頭盔。不希望他們成為他的Facebook的朋友。"

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Jul 29, 2010 11:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

We didn't get rid of Rauch completely, did we?

This is an addition, not a replacement. At least, not until next season.

by JonathanR on Jul 29, 2010 11:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

Exactly. Why are we comparing the two?

Not that I like the deal long-term. No doubt it helps right now.

by PurplePeopleEaters on Jul 29, 2010 11:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

just a comparison for what we're getting

Would we have traded Ramos for Jon Rauch? No. Then we should hesitate about trading Ramos for Capps.

But again, cmath has the better question – how much of an improvement is Capps over our worst reliever?

Souhan in Chinese! : "一會兒,德爾蒙楊想與他無關的隊友。不想讓他們打他。難道不希望他們偷了他的頭盔。不希望他們成為他的Facebook的朋友。"

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Jul 29, 2010 11:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

if they demote Blackburn

then I’d say the improvement is pretty huge.

Obviously it’s not about replacing Rauch, but Capps is much better than anyone in our bullpen. Right now.

by matswilander on Jul 29, 2010 11:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

hopefully they will demote Blackburn now

Souhan in Chinese! : "一會兒,德爾蒙楊想與他無關的隊友。不想讓他們打他。難道不希望他們偷了他的頭盔。不希望他們成為他的Facebook的朋友。"

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Jul 29, 2010 11:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

No, I would not have made the deal. I do think Capps is better than our worst reliever by a long shot.

by PurplePeopleEaters on Jul 29, 2010 11:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

that I can agree with

Maybe I should have said that in the beginning instead of jumping into the whole “Capps vs. Rauch” fight.

Souhan in Chinese! : "一會兒,德爾蒙楊想與他無關的隊友。不想讓他們打他。難道不希望他們偷了他的頭盔。不希望他們成為他的Facebook的朋友。"

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Jul 29, 2010 11:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

FIP vs. xFIP

HR/FB is generally regarded as a luck stat, not a skill stat, for a pitcher, which is why Rauch’s FIP is so much better than his xFIP (xFIP uses fly ball rate instead of HR rate, under the assumption that an exceptional home run rate is likely be due to park effects and/or luck). xFIP expects Rauch to give up more homers going forward, based on how many fly balls he allows, while FIP just assumes that he will keep giving them up at a low rate. Capps is already seeing his flies go over the wall at about a league average pace.

"There are only two things that are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former." - Albert Einstein

by BeefMaster on Jul 30, 2010 9:21 AM EDT up reply actions  

Nathan is/was great, but even he couldn't do it. Not sure who could for us in the playoffs.

Nathan > Capps.

Baseball reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.-Terence Mann/James Earl Jones in FoD

by Twins33 on Jul 29, 2010 11:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not a bad move.

It would have been nice to maybe coax another player out of a Ramos deal, like Luke in MN says, but he was going to be traded eventually, and I think by being in contention, it was going to happen this year. This wasn’t an unreasonable move; Capps has been more than decent this year. Note that if he continues to perform at this level, he could himself become a useful trade piece after this season, if Nathan returns at 100%. Or Rauch could be, for that matter.

Now, Rauch gets to return to a role he’s much better suited to, and we have something more like a proven closer. It makes sense. Nobody will invoke this in the “best trades ever” discussions ten years from now, but they won’t invoke it the “worst trades ever” discussions either.

by Cooperstown Needs Bert on Jul 29, 2010 10:58 PM EDT reply actions  

Doubtful Nathan is 100% next year

"Baseball is the only major sport that appears backward in a mirror" ~George Carlin

by thewild_viking_twins on Jul 29, 2010 11:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Unless Ramos has just totally shattered the hopes people had for him with this bad AAA season,

this could be the worst trade of the year. I mean, if Wilson Ramos turns out to be even an average MLB catcher, this trade is just wildly bad.

by Luke in MN on Jul 29, 2010 11:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm sure we're over-valuing Ramos

But even if we are I still don’t like this trade.

Souhan in Chinese! : "一會兒,德爾蒙楊想與他無關的隊友。不想讓他們打他。難道不希望他們偷了他的頭盔。不希望他們成為他的Facebook的朋友。"

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Jul 29, 2010 11:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ramos did not help us with the terrible year he had.

But I agree, bad trade.

We’ll see how it works out in the short-term though.

by PurplePeopleEaters on Jul 29, 2010 11:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree completely, Luke.

With pretty much everything you’ve written in this thread.

This seems pretty frickin’ crazy.

Go Twins!

by Patrick42 on Jul 30, 2010 12:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

Too bad

Too bad the Nats didn’t include Guzman in the deal.

It’s also too bad Houston has Jason Castro, or else we could have gotten Oswalt with Ramos.

by AM. on Jul 29, 2010 11:02 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Hmmm

I guess Toronto didn’t want a catcher? You would think Ramos could have pried one of their BP arms.

by dctwin on Jul 29, 2010 11:03 PM EDT reply actions  

Toronto....

has a stud catching prospect in their own right, almost ready.

by DJSkillz on Jul 30, 2010 12:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

Batting practice arms?!

Ugh!
Oh wait, BULLPEN arms.
Right.

by z-squad on Jul 30, 2010 12:49 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I don't hate it, but I'm not crazy about it

but that’s what I said about Pavano last year

so maybe it will work out!

by Hjorvarthr on Jul 29, 2010 11:05 PM EDT reply actions  

Maybe Capps will grow a mustache

Cappstache….I like the sound of that

"Baseball is the only major sport that appears backward in a mirror" ~George Carlin

by thewild_viking_twins on Jul 29, 2010 11:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Fangraphs article up already

Damn they’re quick LINK

Basically says he’s a good reliever but not great. Probably better than any of the Twins guys and should be our closer now.

Peyton's good but have you ever heard of Jeff George?

by halfchest on Jul 29, 2010 11:05 PM EDT reply actions  

Pirates fans say he stunk something fierce last year

but he’s been a stud All-Star this year

"Baseball is the only major sport that appears backward in a mirror" ~George Carlin

by thewild_viking_twins on Jul 29, 2010 11:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

he is, Gardy already called Rauch

Baseball reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.-Terence Mann/James Earl Jones in FoD

by Twins33 on Jul 29, 2010 11:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

FWIW

The nationals fans are quite pleased with their haul. Whatever. If we do well in the playoffs, this will look really smart. If not….gulp….

by dctwin on Jul 29, 2010 11:08 PM EDT reply actions  

Oh dear lord

Why would they give up our best trade chip for a reliever?!

The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. America has rolled by like an army of steamrollers. It has been erased like a blackboard, rebuilt and erased again. But baseball has marked the time. ~ Terence Mann

On, Wisconsin!

by John Veldhuis on Jul 29, 2010 11:09 PM EDT reply actions  

then you hold onto him instead of selling low

Don’t sell low and buy high, that’s the worst way to trade.

Souhan in Chinese! : "一會兒,德爾蒙楊想與他無關的隊友。不想讓他們打他。難道不希望他們偷了他的頭盔。不希望他們成為他的Facebook的朋友。"

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Jul 29, 2010 11:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

+100

We might have been able to get a good infield prospect out of him. No need for a 3rd baseman as of now.

The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. America has rolled by like an army of steamrollers. It has been erased like a blackboard, rebuilt and erased again. But baseball has marked the time. ~ Terence Mann

On, Wisconsin!

by John Veldhuis on Jul 29, 2010 11:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

We trade a minor league catcher, at a position of strength in the organisation...

..for a reliever who misses bats more than any of our relievers and will likely be our closer. Maybe this will blow up in our face, but I doubt it. We traded from a position of strength and got a position of need, a reliever who can get a K. Seems like a good trade. We gave up somebody who was not likely going to play for us and has really hurt his value this year for a good reliever. Gotta give to get…

Run baby run!

by darren004 on Jul 29, 2010 11:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

Strength?

I wouldn’t say Catcher is a position of strength. We have Joe, of course, but at 27 is already having a hard time playing through the regular grind of catching.

by Drat on Jul 29, 2010 11:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

So don't play Drew

Trade Morales for Capps – that seems fairer

by DJL44 on Jul 30, 2010 11:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm sure they offered, and were turned down

This close to the trade deadline, Washington was in the drivers’ seat. Just like Oakland last year with Cabrera. Ladendorf was a top 10 Twins prospect like Ramos. Except, the Twins system is thin on middle infielders. And we stills sent him to the A’s for a two-month rental. That worked out pretty well for the us, and Oakland.

 In this case, it’s not a two-month rental. It’s that plus insurance on Nathan’s elbow next year.

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on Jul 31, 2010 12:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

Capps upgrades our bullpen, and he should be our closer, I agree

But Ramos and Testa? There’s barely any relievers that I would trade for Ramos alone. Relievers are much too volatile – look at Capps’ last season. 5.80 ERA. Negative WAR. Nontendered. He’s been much better this season, but we have no guarantee that he’ll continue to be as valuable to us as he was to the Nats. This season or next season.

Ramos was our most valuable trade chip. Even if catcher is our position of strength, Ramos still had a lot of value to other teams. We should have held on to him for a greater return than a reliever. If there was nothing better out there for Ramos, we should have waited and traded him later.

Basically I feel like we gave up one of our best prospects and one of our most valuable trade pieces for a marginal upgrade in the bullpen. Capps definitely makes the team better, but not by nearly enough to be worth Ramos.

Souhan in Chinese! : "一會兒,德爾蒙楊想與他無關的隊友。不想讓他們打他。難道不希望他們偷了他的頭盔。不希望他們成為他的Facebook的朋友。"

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Jul 29, 2010 11:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

You could be right...

But I do not think that most teams see Ramos as a stud prospect right now. Maybe at the beginning of the year, we might have got more for him. But I think that time has passed. Maybe it is selling low, but I do not think MLB teams value him as high as we thought.

Run baby run!

by darren004 on Jul 29, 2010 11:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm sure we like him a lot more than other teams do

And you’re probably right that we couldn’t do much better this season. But I still think we could have had more for him next season.

Souhan in Chinese! : "一會兒,德爾蒙楊想與他無關的隊友。不想讓他們打他。難道不希望他們偷了他的頭盔。不希望他們成為他的Facebook的朋友。"

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Jul 29, 2010 11:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Exactly

Save him and try to get a starter during the offseason or next year. Don’t forget we are losing Pavano after this year.

by Drat on Jul 29, 2010 11:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

I wish we could ship David Kahn to someone

Preferably inter-division. Taking out the competition from within.

The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. America has rolled by like an army of steamrollers. It has been erased like a blackboard, rebuilt and erased again. But baseball has marked the time. ~ Terence Mann

On, Wisconsin!

by John Veldhuis on Jul 29, 2010 11:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Joe Mauer will catch until he dies

They don’t think Nathan will be ready.

They think they will resign only 1 or 2 of guerrier, crain and rauch.

This makes the bullpen deeper – no more ron mahay hopefully. Why not make the move. Ramos was definitely getting traded.

By the way, The pirates are idiots. They make the royals and orioles look like geniuses. They dumpr capps and sign dotel. I can see not wanting an expensive closer on a crappy team but they could have had ramos for crying out loud.

by ginsamax on Jul 29, 2010 11:20 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

And get used to Butera being the back-up

Plus if I remember correctly Nathan gave up a mammoth shot to Steroid Boy in the playoffs…before he was hurt.

by rancher33 on Jul 29, 2010 11:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well...

The Pirates tried to shop Capps around before the non-tender deadline last December 12, but no one wanted him, unsuprisingly.

Yes, they could have tendered him a contract and kept him, but as they’re trying to rebuild the franchise from the ground up these last few years, GM Neal Huntington and company figured a non-tender of Capps—coupled with bringing in someone cheaper via free agency like Dotel—would be a better move than spending more on tendering Capps and having him possibly be ineffective.

Hindsight’s 20/20, as they say.

by jimolson3 on Jul 30, 2010 2:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

People are overreacting

My initial reaction was that it was too much to give up. But thinking about it more deeply, I guess I would just say that if there’s a clear need (I think there was), and a willing trade partner, you pull the trigger. It takes two to tango, as they say. Not saying you go around overpaying for no reason, but this strikes me as the right situation to do it. Ramos could be a fine player but I doubt this trade comes back to haunt the Twins. And maybe they could have got more for him in a separate trade, but when, and with whom? Obviously they were dangling him in the Lee/Oswalt sweepstakes, but that didn’t work out. I don’t fault the Twins for making a move with him when it improves the team this year and next.

by matswilander on Jul 29, 2010 11:23 PM EDT reply actions  

Coming around to it...

At first I was a bit upset. But I think like most I overvalue Ramos. Rauch and Guerrier have been shaky the last few weeks. Crain has been amazing but who knows how long that lasts. This could be a huge shot in the arm for the bullpen down the stretch.

by .mnqwerd on Jul 29, 2010 11:35 PM EDT reply actions  

+100

Absolutely. Getting a reliever for a viable prospect, regardless of his recent history, is just bad.

by Brooklynegg on Jul 29, 2010 11:47 PM EDT reply actions  

I would, though you were asking that person

Soria is more on the elite side and has a better track record. If you’re getting a top reliever who is legitimately a top reliever, it’s much more worth it. Capps is an upgrade hopefully, he’s just not Ramos-worthy, in my opinion.

Baseball reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.-Terence Mann/James Earl Jones in FoD

by Twins33 on Jul 29, 2010 11:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

+1

Trading your best catching prospect since Joe Mauer for a volatile reliever who was DFA’d last year is STUPID!!!!

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any of us." - Kirby Puckett

by BCTwins on Jul 30, 2010 1:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

Just like David Ortiz

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on Jul 30, 2010 12:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm happy with it.

Ramos was nowhere near ready to actually contribute, Morales has a better bat right now, and Capps improves our bullpen this season.

On a side note, I really hope we keep Slamma up and pitching, even with this move.

I always loved that one.

by FoulJack on Jul 29, 2010 11:48 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Next question - do you think we'll make any more moves?

Before the deadline? Or maybe waiver trades later?

Souhan in Chinese! : "一會兒,德爾蒙楊想與他無關的隊友。不想讓他們打他。難道不希望他們偷了他的頭盔。不希望他們成為他的Facebook的朋友。"

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Jul 30, 2010 12:03 AM EDT reply actions  

Thought we would need to get a backup OF as well...

…but Repko has sort of filled that position. If he keeps up at around the same pace, that may not be needed. Duensing for Blackburn was what was needed in the rotation. Not sure how may other holes that need to be filled. No starters left who would be an upgrade to what we have think…

Run baby run!

by darren004 on Jul 30, 2010 12:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

I haven't read the rest of the comments and discussion

But I can’t believe that THIS IS THE GUY that we give up Ramos for.
I am too angry to even think about it right now.

by Disorderly Conduct on Jul 30, 2010 12:10 AM EDT reply actions  

Just think the myth of Ramos as an elite prospect is bigger than the reality.

Think of it this way, Washington wanted more chipped in in addition to Ramos to get Capps. Maybe we will regret this, but I really don’t think so.

Run baby run!

by darren004 on Jul 30, 2010 12:20 AM EDT up reply actions  

I am not disagreeing with that

I know that we(I) are overvaluing him, he his “only” the 4th best minor league catching prospect who is obviously blocked and has been massively struggling this season probably in no small part to the constant trade rumors all year… but still Matt Capps?? In the end, it will probably not be viewed that bad but I am not a huge Capps fan going into this.
Whatever I am rambling… This better help them get to the W.S.!

by Disorderly Conduct on Jul 30, 2010 12:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

Underwhelming trade, but I suppose it's not too bad.

Like how the Fangraphs article closes out, I just wonder if we could have maybe gotten more.

by funnytrain on Jul 30, 2010 12:19 AM EDT reply actions  

C-A-P-S caps caps caps

It might have been an over pay but my Minnesota friends welcome our new guy. Capps is ligit. Finally a k pitcher in the pen. C-a-p-s caps caps caps.

by d_fens on Jul 30, 2010 12:22 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Eh

There’s a lot of benefit to doing things. Keeps your current players from complaining, not re-signing and getting traded later for pennies on the dollar, for one thing.

by JonathanR on Jul 30, 2010 12:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

If you have to do something

How about signing Delmon and Liriano to backloaded extensions, rather than even further overloading 2011 salaries? Smith is continuing to dig a sizable hole here, and unless he’s got secret info that Bill Pohlad’s movies are going to start grossing $100M again I don’t see it working out. Everybody go see The Tree of Life like six times, OK?

by timprov on Jul 30, 2010 2:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

I have a serious feeling that there's a non-zero chance that Delmon is traded

this offseason. I don’t think we’re going to give him the long term deal that he will command when that time comes and he’s about the only guy we can sell high on and get huge value in return this offseason.

it fights, but tolbert the true rubbish, is the son--japanese proverb
Chase Utley is a Nick Punto-type player, but with power--Bert Blyleven

by ajmargarine on Jul 30, 2010 2:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

There's one thing I think Smith is taking into account here that people are forgetting...

-And that’s the real possibility that Nathan is done. It’s not fun to think about, but there is a significant chance that Nathan will never be the same or anywhere near what he was. He’s 36, and he just had TJ surgery. Even if he does rediscover his form, it’s likely not until 2012 at the earliest… when he’s 38.

If he is done, the Twins need more than Rausch as an option to replace him long term. Bill Smith has to take into consideration that potential worst-case scenario.

-Flip

by Flip27 on Jul 30, 2010 12:32 AM EDT reply actions  

then trade Ramos for Soria

not Ramos for somebody so crummy!

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any of us." - Kirby Puckett

by BCTwins on Jul 30, 2010 1:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

I like this a ton better,

than going for some reliever that is just average. If this is THE year, and yes, it very well could be, then let’s freakin go for it.
And I think, with the way the FO seems to value their prospects, if they could have gotten more for Ramos, you think they wouldn’t have?

Truth is that noone on here is running an MLB franchise so we dont know what was out there.

I like the addition. It makes us a better team. Simple as that.

by twinscrazy_german on Jul 30, 2010 12:38 AM EDT reply actions  

Well said

I have been trolling sites that are posting the story of the trade, and most Twins “fans” seem to be losing their shit over this trade. I just do not see this as a bad gamble. It is a gamble, but we normally have not made trades where we gave up a minor league prospect and it came back to bite us in a big way. I guess I do not view this as us giving up Carlos Santana like the Dodgers did. Could be wrong, but it seems most internet Twins fans seem to think waaaaaay more highly of Ramos that other MLB organizations. Ramos has STUNK this year.

Run baby run!

by darren004 on Jul 30, 2010 12:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

Ramos has stunk at the beginning of the year

look at the past few weeks and look at his previous minor league track record. That is not the stats of some no-name catcher, but of an elite catcher. He was the best catching prospect the Twins have had since Joe Mauer.

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any of us." - Kirby Puckett

by BCTwins on Jul 30, 2010 1:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

I believe Ramos is the top rated defensive catcher in baseball (could be wrong, but I think he is).

Plus, he has a bat. So he’s bad this year, though I think he’s improved in the last few weeks (also could be wrong about that, guessing on that one). It’s selling low. There are catching prospects rated higher than Ramos, but a lot of the guys ahead of him don’t have his defensive skills. Jesus Montero is rated higher, right? Most people think he will not stick at catcher, so he’s a bat with no position. To me, that would make Ramos > Montero. Being great at catcher and having a bat is very good (Mauer-though Ramos isn’t on his level). If you move Mauer to another position, he’s just not as valuable. Ramos will stick at catcher, while other “better” catching prospects will not.

We got a good reliever, a likely upgrade to our bullpen, but Ramos is worth more than a “good reliever.” It’s not just Twins fans who are going “OH MY GOD!” Other teams fans are also saying the Twins got ripped a new one.

Baseball reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.-Terence Mann/James Earl Jones in FoD

by Twins33 on Jul 30, 2010 10:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

I would like to say

that Ramos has a better XBH bat than Mauer – Mauer’s lack of HRs this year is surprising, while Ramos has shown in the past that HRs come like lollipops.

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any of us." - Kirby Puckett

by BCTwins on Jul 30, 2010 11:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

i never said he was?

he is however, the best (proven) one we will have for this season

by twinscrazy_german on Jul 30, 2010 1:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

You said "I like this a ton better than going for some reliever that is just average".

I assumed this was rhetorically implying Capps is a LOT better than merely a slight degree above “just average” — if you were speaking literally, fine, my comment was misdirected and I’m happy you’re glad the Twins got somebody who this season has indeed been pretty decent. Got him for one of their top 5 prospects who will have to do nothing more than hit .240/.300/.400 as an MLB catcher during his years of team control to amass more WAR than Matt Capps will ever meet.

And I watched him “prove” he was a closer all season long last year. Imagine Jesse Crain in April/May, only ALL. SEASON. LONG.

by tobynotjason on Jul 30, 2010 1:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

Capps

Does Capps make The Twins better? First thought is maybe. But if I think of a comparable to him I think Rauch. Ok so adding another solid average bullpen guy helps, but for Wilson Ramos, no way! I’m shocked they gave up Ramos for a average right hand reliver with a year plus of control.
Let’s hope he works out!

by Twins win on Jul 30, 2010 12:42 AM EDT reply actions  

This is an atrocity of a trade. A war crime. I DEMAND BILL SMITH'S HEAD AT THE UPCOMING HAGUE TRIBUNAL!

I posted something th’other day about being a Bucco fan too and having seen all I ever needed to see of Matt Capps in 2009, but also how looking at his peripherals this year I had to concede he wouldn’t be a terrible bullpen pickup, so long as the price was reasonable.

Washington, remember, has their closer of the future in Drew Storen, and they’re chock full o’ 6 years of control of him. They’re out of contention. They ought not have been able to convince anyone with electrical activity in their brain that they actually need Capps. In any case, Capps’ strikeout rate is merely average for a reliever, to say nothing of ace-closer stuff (18% range). So they ought not have been able to convince anyone with electrical activity in their brain that Capps is actually a top-tier relief pitcher. I think I typed something about knowing the Twins organization and its beknighted traditional mindset overvalues closers, but hoping that wouldn’t result in anything ridiculous.

NEVER in my wildest fucking dreams did I imagine the Twins might even CONSIDER flushing Ramos down the toilet for a year and a half of a merely half-decent relief pitcher. I mean JESUS CHRIST wait until the off-season and get something truly tasty. This is just insane. All Ramos has to do is be a marginally decent MLB catcher for the years of team control for Washington and this is so wildly unbalanced it’s just sad.

I cannot express the level of my disbelief. I CAN express that I absolutely HATE the Twins F.O right now. I’ll do it like this: I absolutely HATE the Twins F.O. Also: Puke. Puke. Puke.

I am just not able to wrap my head around the fact that I’m gonna have to watch Matt Capps pitch again. AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAGGGGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHH.

by tobynotjason on Jul 30, 2010 12:43 AM EDT reply actions   1 recs

hahaha I was waiting for your response to this

It did not disappoint

Souhan in Chinese! : "一會兒,德爾蒙楊想與他無關的隊友。不想讓他們打他。難道不希望他們偷了他的頭盔。不希望他們成為他的Facebook的朋友。"

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Jul 30, 2010 12:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

Well. Good. I guess.

I am so pissed off I can barely type. Just: GAH! GGGGAAAAHHHHH!!!

by tobynotjason on Jul 30, 2010 12:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

The deal

I really don’t have a problem with this deal it was obvious the goal was to move ramos this year he had 0 future with the twins and while he is highly touted by some he has also had a semi injury plagued poor season at AAA. They definatly sold low on him but its obvious other teams must not have been that interested if he didnt go for a starter. Our bullpen needed a shake up and shank has been a drama queen on the mound for a couple months now.

by holymackerel on Jul 30, 2010 12:43 AM EDT reply actions   1 recs

My first reaction is that the trade is neither a disaster nor a steal...

and a lot of people seem to confuse Wilson Ramos with Johnny Bench. Capps is a good pitcher and will help, and I hope Ramos develops into a major league player – he seems like a good kid.

All things considered. I would rather they traded for a starter.

"'Over'? Did you say 'over'? Nothing is over until we decide it is! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell, no!"

by rubberbiscuit on Jul 30, 2010 1:04 AM EDT reply actions   1 recs

Not exceptionally excited about this one

But I still like it. Rauch has given it his all as closer and I’m happy he’ll be able to shift back to the setup role. Best of all (in my view), we didn’t have to surrender too much to get Capps. As was well established during the Cliff Lee bonanza (who we should have gone for…no, stop, let it go….), Ramos is completely expendable now and for a long time not only because of Baby J’s extension, but because we have Morales and Butera active anyway. It’s nice to have an All-Star at closer…hopefully we’re still looking for more before Saturday, especially a starter.

And we gots $500,000 in moneys. Whoo!!!!

by MarshalltheIrish on Jul 30, 2010 1:04 AM EDT reply actions  

ROFL. Rec'd.

Seriously, now the Yanks and BoSox have to live in fear of us taking their stars. There’s a new bully on the block!

by MarshalltheIrish on Jul 30, 2010 1:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

Rec'd

However, mo money mo problems.

The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. America has rolled by like an army of steamrollers. It has been erased like a blackboard, rebuilt and erased again. But baseball has marked the time. ~ Terence Mann

On, Wisconsin!

by John Veldhuis on Jul 30, 2010 1:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

I just got done vomiting all over

Beadlemaniacs - Award winning* college basketball blog (new and improved!)
College Hockey!

by fetch9 on Jul 30, 2010 1:11 AM EDT reply actions  

So if a Rauch strikeout is a shank...

Is a Capps strikeout popping a Capps in their ass?

Souhan in Chinese! : "一會兒,德爾蒙楊想與他無關的隊友。不想讓他們打他。難道不希望他們偷了他的頭盔。不希望他們成為他的Facebook的朋友。"

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Jul 30, 2010 1:11 AM EDT reply actions  

depends

is he a 7 foot tall tattooed man with akwardly alien like features?

by holymackerel on Jul 30, 2010 1:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

and on that note

can we call Van Mil up for shits and giggles that guy is hilarious to watch pitch.

by holymackerel on Jul 30, 2010 1:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

Arbitration?

What is Capps likely to receive in Arbitration this winter?

by .mnqwerd on Jul 30, 2010 1:18 AM EDT reply actions  

I think he is arbitration eligible this winter...

What kind of raise would he be looking at? Any Ideas?

by .mnqwerd on Jul 30, 2010 1:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

We'll have to wait and see, but..

…based on his excellent season, he’ll probably get a minimum of $6 million, maybe more.

—If the Twins decide to go in a different direction, they can trade him in December or early January and he and his agent can sit down with his new team and negotiate his deal.

—If they hold onto him through the offseason, he and his agent and the Twins would negotiate the deal(and go to arbitration if necessary).

-If they decide to deal him later(say, around spring training) then they(the Twins) can still get something back-hopefully something good to replace Ramos/Testa—and he won’t be a payroll obligation for them in 2011 at all.

by jimolson3 on Jul 30, 2010 2:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

To put things in perspective

I recall being equally lukewarm about the Rauch deal and look where we are now. But don’t get me wrong, I really don’t like Capps and have seen him pitch in person enough to have some sort of quantifiable justification for this dislike. A blocked position player gets traded for an above-average closer; we could have done worse. Overrated (my opinion) or not, he went to the All-Star game and is probably going to be more reliable than the Shank. And honestly, the way people have been clamoring for the FO to do something, I feel the fans would have gone ballistic if we did nothing (I will always remember that Torii Hunter interview where he basically flipped out about never signing new talent).

by bl4ckduck on Jul 30, 2010 1:18 AM EDT reply actions  

Well said

It’s good to see the front office starting to get into the habit of it now.

by MarshalltheIrish on Jul 30, 2010 1:22 AM EDT up reply actions  

Shank blew 4 closes

this guy blew 8.

Delmon Young is my new Bicycle.

by Zack Carlson on Jul 30, 2010 3:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

Incorrect

Capps has 4 Blown Saves this year, 5 each of the last two years.

by gbg on Jul 30, 2010 7:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

It's hard to be mad about the Rauch deal because the Twins only gave up Mulvey.

Who the heck was high on Mulvey? I liked him better than Humber, a lot better, but Mulvey was no one.

Ramos >>>>>> Mulvey.

Baseball reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.-Terence Mann/James Earl Jones in FoD

by Twins33 on Jul 30, 2010 10:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

Hate this trade

I don’t think we had to do it and we gave up too much.

Yuck.

by rencito on Jul 30, 2010 1:29 AM EDT reply actions  

Terrible

It doesn’t make any sense to trade Ramos when his value is at a low point. Would the Nationals really have held onto Capps if the Twins had offered a prospect or two with a bit less upside? I have a hard time believing that. Most teams wouldn’t even want Capps, and he’s of little value to the Nats at this point since they aren’t contending.

This trade is a failure even if Ramos becomes just a good backup. It has epic fail potential though since Ramos could turn out to be quite a bit more than that.

by drivlikejehu on Jul 30, 2010 1:30 AM EDT reply actions  

Agreed

Capps is not somebody who you can match up against Mariano Rivera with. Ramos wasn’t hitting all too well to start the year, but this month, he has started hitting much better.

Trading Ramos for Capps is the stupidest trade Bill Smith has ever done! Capps is a reliever and frankly the only reliever I would even consider trading Ramos for, is Joakim Soria. I do not think Capps will in any way help the Twins beat the Yankees. Capps is the type of reliever the Yanks feast upon!

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any of us." - Kirby Puckett

by BCTwins on Jul 30, 2010 1:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

If I were the Royals, I wouldn't make that trade...

"'Over'? Did you say 'over'? Nothing is over until we decide it is! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell, no!"

by rubberbiscuit on Jul 30, 2010 1:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

I agree on the Ramos for Soria

it fights, but tolbert the true rubbish, is the son--japanese proverb
Chase Utley is a Nick Punto-type player, but with power--Bert Blyleven

by ajmargarine on Jul 30, 2010 1:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

That KC would never make that trade?

Soria is incredible, Ramos was good, but not amazing

Delmon Young is my new Bicycle.

by Zack Carlson on Jul 30, 2010 3:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

Your in dreamland

If you think that the Royals would trade us Soria and crazy if you think they’d do it for Ramos. Wil Myers is a better C prospect than Ramos without question

"We're gonna do this f*ucking thing over again cuz I just f*cked it up.....oh, we're live, I didn't know that" Bert Blyleven

by smoooooth on Jul 30, 2010 8:05 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Question...

Can we let this trade play out a bit before we say how this is the worst trade ever, bill smih sucks, etc? Smith was pretty much 3 for 3 last year at the deadline so he must know what he’s doing a little bit. Capps is something we don’t have in our pen, except for maybe Crain, and that’s a good power arm that misses bats and gets k’s.

by 7Twins7 on Jul 30, 2010 1:56 AM EDT reply actions  

Although i do agree trading Ramos while his value was low was not a good thing to do…

by 7Twins7 on Jul 30, 2010 1:57 AM EDT reply actions  

What does this do to Jesse Crain is the question...

1. I like getting Capps. Gardy lost confidence in Rauch and Gardy must have a closer for the 9th inning only or else his brain will explode. This way he doesn’t have to think about the 9th. So that’s good for us if Capps is OK, which I think he will be.
2. I think the league overvalued Ramos, not us. Every trade discussed had Ramos as the centerpiece. I don’t like us trading him for a reliever, or trading him at all for that matter. Because that means that

3. Joe Mauer is stuck at Catcher for the foreseeable future. Because for him to be a $23M player for us for the next 8! years, he needs to be healthy, in the lineup every day, and hitting alot closer to last year than the way he is hitting this year. And he’s not gonna do that playing the next 8 years at Catcher. He’d be a $23M hometown hero who could play 160 games a season for 8 years at 3B, solving our perpetual problems there, if we’d have the sense to insist he switch. And he’s a good enough athlete to do it.

He’s a decent catcher, but he’s not awesome. Butera’s probaby a better C than he is. And Ramos was supposedly OK behind the plate. And having Ramos was our best chance to move Mauer and now that’s gone. I’m not gonna argue about it, I kjnow the arguments about him being most valuable at catcher, etc. You guys just remember the next time we put the C squad on the field, it’s because Mauer is a catcher by trade. And the next few times he goes on the DL, it’ll likely be because he’s a catcher by trade.

Anyway, i’m not gonna argue about Mauer moving away from catching. I know many disagree. You’re all just wrong. :)

4. Blackburn should definitely go down. He needs to pitch every 5 days and hopefully learn how to be an effective starter because he’s signed thru 2013! We should keep Mahay, he’s actually been OK. Keep Slama too and let him long relieve.

5. But the big thing now is what does Gardy do with Jesse Crain? Jesse’s been our best reliever for two months. It’ll be nice that maybe he can still be effective in lower leverage spots (6th-7th innings), but he’s been so good (and Rauch and Matty have been meh) that you don’t want to waste him in the Low Lev spots…..

it fights, but tolbert the true rubbish, is the son--japanese proverb
Chase Utley is a Nick Punto-type player, but with power--Bert Blyleven

by ajmargarine on Jul 30, 2010 2:08 AM EDT reply actions  

Agree...

Though Blackburn does not need to go to the minors to learn how to be an effective starter. He needs to go to the minors to regain his confidence and his sinker. This is a pretty deep bullpen now with a few choices if certain individuals struggle for a period of time. Should be an interesting last few months.
*Capps (Hopefully he responds well to a pennant race.)
*Guerrier (Was great in April, good in May and June, struggled in July. Maybe he’s going through the dead arm players often talk about. With a deeper bullpen he won’t have to pitch as much and I fully expect him to pitch well down the stretch.)
*Rauch (Has been scary lately. Still has not cost us many games this year and somehow is more often than not effective. If he responds well to be demoted he should still be valuable.)
*Crain (Don’t expect him to keep up what he has done the last month or two but maybe he has finally figured something out. If he continues to pitch like he has our bullpen could be the deepest in the league.)
*Mijares (Eats lefties.)
*Slama (Not sure what we have in him.)
*Perkins (This is where Duensing fit well. But I really like him in the rotation right now. This could be Perkins chance to redeem himself. He has been an effective major league pitcher in the past. And sooner or later the Twins need to give him a chance or get rid of him.)

by .mnqwerd on Jul 30, 2010 2:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

If Crain can trust and locate his curveball

And at least be decent with his fastball, I think he will be at least as effective has he had ever been. He’s streaky, which is nasty for a team that’ll need every single win and every single out to handle the race we’re in.

Truthfully Blackburn and Slowey will be the knuckle draggers, our bullpen has been great this year.

Delmon Young is my new Bicycle.

by Zack Carlson on Jul 30, 2010 3:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

Whether or not I agree with moving Mauer from catcher,

I definitely agree that Ramos was worth more to the Twins as Mauer insurance than he is in his newest incarnation as Matt Freakking Capps.

by Luke in MN on Jul 30, 2010 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

Joe Testa?

Someone want to tell me about this guy? What did we lose by throwing him in the deal?

by J. Ryan on Jul 30, 2010 2:12 AM EDT reply actions  

That was last year

Testa has found his level of incompetence, and it is in high A ball.

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on Jul 31, 2010 12:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

Nothing

Joe Testa is the kind of guy you throw in to get a deal done.

by DJL44 on Jul 30, 2010 11:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ramos value

I think Ramos is way over valued by our fan base. Here is what the opposing gm looking to get Ramos has to go on 1. 100% blocked by Mauer and not a backup meaning everyone knows this is the trade chip they will use this in front of all others such as hicks or gibson because really we lose nothing in losing a severely blocked prospect 2. Ramos is having very sub par year at AAA with low outputs in everything expected from him and hes had a few injuries. So they trade him now at what could be a lower value but just as much could be a higher value for a proven good maybe good + closer with 1.5 years of control for a cheap price not such a bad deal. In fact you see how little is trade value is to other teams due to the fact that we had to throw in another bag of balls prospect to get it done and the fact that we couldnt even come close to striking a deal for an ace with him as the centerpiece.

by holymackerel on Jul 30, 2010 2:18 AM EDT reply actions  

I would really like to think Blackburn

but I think it will be Slama. Maybe im just being negative but I think they have the irrational thought in their heads that Blackburn can fix himself in a long relief role. If they really want him back in the rotation send him to AAA to start and try to attempt to dislodge his head from his ass. Hopefully they will overlook Slamas rough start and keep him but I really dont know if they have the balls to do that. Then again it will leave us without a blowout game innings eater which could be bad maybe that is saved by Mayhays replacement with Perkins or Manship, I never thought I would say it but I want Perkins back in the mlb hes pitched good of late and could be a boost.

by holymackerel on Jul 30, 2010 2:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Slama has a case of the "holy shit I'm actually in the MLB" jitters

Gardy will probably let him ice his nuts in AAA and he’ll get a call up in sept..

Delmon Young is my new Bicycle.

by Zack Carlson on Jul 30, 2010 3:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think rauch did so poorly as a closer

ok 2-3 outings was rough, but the 2-3 outings were non save situations..

I think this was because Rauch asked not to be the closer.

Delmon Young is my new Bicycle.

by Zack Carlson on Jul 30, 2010 3:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

Stop Hating on Capps

This is why you haters need to see the facts. I’m going to disprove every reason you guys have said bad about Capps.

1. The Pirates didn’t want him!

The Pirates are stupid and thats why they always lose. They didn’t look deeper than his ERA. In his 5.8 ERA season his BABIP was .378. That’s over 70 points higher than his career average.

2. He just OK.

If you say he’s just OK then your saying the Twins BP is bad. He Ks more people than anyone on the Twins. He has a 2.8 ERA even though his BABIP this season is .338. He only walks 1.8 per 9 innings. He is shightly better than average in HR/FB % and GB%. Also he has about a 34% flyball % so he is tailored to the Twin’s strengths. He was deservingly an All-Star.

3. Ramos and Joe Testa were too much to give up

Ramos was the teams most expendable prospect because of Mauer. Mauer will catch forever. Ramos was never goign to be a Carlos Santana type player. He hasn’t shown himself to special defensively or offensively. Do you really think his value was going to go up? He was a top 75 prospect but that was before his horrible season so far. Ramos is great but it’s pretty obvious tht he wasn’t going to fetch a big fish after the Twins couldn’t get Lee Haren, or Oswalt. Also with everyone screaming win now, what was the problem with this trade?

All in all Capps is a great closer. If we resign Crain or Rauch and Nathan comes back healthy we could have the best 7-8-9 inning guys in baseball next year.

by Coolio12 on Jul 30, 2010 2:44 AM EDT reply actions   1 recs

+1

maybe not the best but defiantly solid

by holymackerel on Jul 30, 2010 3:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

Counterpoint

1. I don’t care that the Pirates didn’t want him. And I don’t think it’s likely that his BABIP will go nearly as high as .378.

To me, the importance of showing his last season isn’t to say “Capps sucks!!!!” It’s to show how volatile relievers can be. They have ups and downs. They can be amazing for periods of time, then unexpectedly fall apart. It’s why you shouldn’t sign relievers to big deals, and why you shouldn’t trade your most valuable prospects for relievers, in my opinion. The only exceptions are elite relievers (ex: Nathan, or Soria) – if you can depend on a guy to keep to an elite level, then he’s worth an elite price. But Matt Capps, as good as he’s done this year, is no Nathan or Soria. There’s still a good possibility that Capps will regress and become a worse pitcher than he is now, even though it’s very unlikely he’ll fall to 2009 levels.

2. Capps is an upgrade for the Twins, true. And he does K more batters than anyone on the Twins (except for Jesse Crain). His BABIP will probably go down, and he has a good walk rate.

But I don’t think the fly ball % is a good number to cite. 34% is by far a career low for Capps. His career FB% is 42.4, and his career GB% is 37.8. Maybe Target Field will be a good fit for Capps, if it lowers his HR/FB%.

Most of his stats are not all that different from Rauch. He has a lower FB% and higher GB% than Rauch, but (perhaps due to luck) less of Rauch’s fly balls become home runs. Similar FIP, but Capps has a much better xFIP (again possibly due to Target Field, or Rauch is very lucky). The point is, even though Capps is an improvement (a lot better than “just ok”), he’s not much better than Rauch. We wouldn’t have made this trade for Rauch; we shouldn’t have made it for Capps.

3. “Most expendable” does not equal “low trade value.” Just because Ramos was not going to become a Twin long-term doesn’t mean he wasn’t valuable to other teams. I do think Ramos’ value was going to go up. He just hit AAA – he’s still learning there. He’ll improve and learn to hit AAA pitching better than he is now. I still think this trade is a good example of buying high on Capps and selling low on Ramos, and that’s why I dislike the trade.

Also with everyone screaming win now, what was the problem with this trade?

Matt Capps will not be the trade that brings us over the top, either to win the division or to make it in the postseason. He’s an improvement, but not that big of an improvement.

Souhan in Chinese! : "一會兒,德爾蒙楊想與他無關的隊友。不想讓他們打他。難道不希望他們偷了他的頭盔。不希望他們成為他的Facebook的朋友。"

by what_would_gil_thorp_do on Jul 30, 2010 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Also

In two of his blown saves he allowed no earned runs. Also for no pressure situations, he has had saves vs. Atlanta, San Diego, Mets when they were hot, Colorado, and the Dodgers.

by Coolio12 on Jul 30, 2010 2:51 AM EDT reply actions  

8 blown saves is a lot

even if it is for a bad team.

Delmon Young is my new Bicycle.

by Zack Carlson on Jul 30, 2010 3:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yes it is

Fortunately, he only has four.

"There are only two things that are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former." - Albert Einstein

by BeefMaster on Jul 30, 2010 9:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

Stop dreaming...

The Kansas City Royals are not going to trade away their 26 y/o elite closer to a division opponent. Wilson Ramos couldn’t get the Twins Cliff Lee or Dan Haren so he isn’t going to get them Joakim Soria.

Now for Capps… Check out the stats for BB/9 among relievers over the last 3 seasons. There are only 3 guys under 2.00 and Matt Capps is one of them (as well as Mariano Rivera). Another good stat: xFIP. If Capps can maintain a xFIP of 3.50 he would be in the 25th-30th among relievers which is pretty darn good.

by NickL1538 on Jul 30, 2010 3:53 AM EDT reply actions  

pretty darn good

I think it’s to platoon Rauch and him if we have to

Also I think there is more to show a lack of confidence in rauch than him having a few bad outings in a row..

There has to be..

Delmon Young is my new Bicycle.

by Zack Carlson on Jul 30, 2010 3:55 AM EDT up reply actions  

Huh?

“Wilson Ramos couldn’t get the Twins Cliff Lee or Dan Haren so he isn’t going to get them Joakim Soria.”

Your argument is that because Ramos couldn’t net either of the two best SP’s on the trade block, he couldn’t serve as the centerpiece of a trade for a far less valuable commodity? This is some pretty backwards logic. I’m not saying that there’s any chance the Twins could’ve acquired Soria; the point is simply that the only justification for trading Ramos for a RP is if the return is truly elite, rather than “solid.”

Good hitting catchers are quite hard to come by, despite the recent wave of quality rookies we’ve seen this season. Ramos is no Posey or Santana, but guys like that are truly one in a million, and any catching prospect ranked within BA’s top 60 is worth far more than a reliever with a career 4.06 xFIP.

This trade is disgusting. Sooooo myopic, and clear evidence that the Twins FO needs to start listening to the statistical analyst that they allegedly hired this season.

 I fear a future in which Twins fans continue to applaud Bill Smith (my god, just read the comments after the Strib articles…), and we’re stuck with more of this crap for years to come.

It’s a bitter pill to swallow.

by jimmylegz on Jul 30, 2010 4:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

Come back to reality

The sky is not falling! I think we are pretty lucky as baseball fans to have an organization and front office such as the Twins. It could be so much worst. They have gotten a lot of things right in the last 10-15 years. Take the pill out of your mouth and breathe.

by .mnqwerd on Jul 30, 2010 4:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

Of course the sky is not falling. It’s not like I’m building a doomsday shelter in my backyard; I’m simply complaining about a foolish trade. As a fan, this is the kind of poor business that makes it hard for me to remain optimistic about the long-term competitiveness of my favorite team.

Remind me, how many championships have the Twins won in the last 10-15 yrs?

by jimmylegz on Jul 30, 2010 4:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

You win some you lose some...

Twins have won a good amount of games over the last decade. Don’t have the championship yet, but they have put themselves in a better position to make that happen than probably 25+ other teams. Forgive me if your sky was not falling, you were starting to sound rather doomish.

by .mnqwerd on Jul 30, 2010 5:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

Statistical anyl

"We're gonna do this f*ucking thing over again cuz I just f*cked it up.....oh, we're live, I didn't know that" Bert Blyleven

by smoooooth on Jul 30, 2010 8:22 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Statistical analysts

Don’t like Wilson Ramos. No walk rate, no ISO, his performance is all on his ability as a contact hitter and therefore subject to wild BABIP fluctuations like he’s experiencing in AAA. Most stat people look at those as red flags that hinder performace at higher levels. I’m guessing that he would be lucky to be in BA’s top 100 after this year

"We're gonna do this f*ucking thing over again cuz I just f*cked it up.....oh, we're live, I didn't know that" Bert Blyleven

by smoooooth on Jul 30, 2010 8:31 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I tell you what

I’m glad to have another Quality Reliver in the pen.

I’m guessing Capps will get half duty as a closer if he blows a save.

Delmon Young is my new Bicycle.

by Zack Carlson on Jul 30, 2010 4:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Chain Link Effect

What is really strengthened by this move is the 6th and 7th Innings…

Without Capps:
9th: Rauch
8th: Guerrier
7th: Crain
6th: Slama/Blackburn/Mahay/Mijares

With Capps:
9th: Capps
8th: Guerrier/Rauch
7th: Rauch/Guerrier
6th: Crain

With 2 options for the 8th and a much improved 6th and 7th the BP as a whole is improved.

by NickL1538 on Jul 30, 2010 4:06 AM EDT reply actions  

You forget

Mijares is actually a decent LHP, 8th inning..

Crain still is a 7th inning guy depending, because he throws hard enough.

This does add a ton of depth to an already very good bullpen.

Delmon Young is my new Bicycle.

by Zack Carlson on Jul 30, 2010 4:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

I just sincerely hope Slowey / Baker show up for the next 3 starts

Baker can flash some brilliance, and slowey can defy statistics if he needs to

Delmon Young is my new Bicycle.

by Zack Carlson on Jul 30, 2010 4:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

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