Twins 9, Indians 3: Two Out Not Too Late For Twins
Clutchiness?
Let's imagine for a moment that there is a way to perfectly measure clutch hitting. Let's also give this imaginary statistic a name. We'll call it Clutchiness, which to be consistent with traditional statistics will fall on a continuum between 0 and 1 and be measured to the third decimal place. Monday night at Target Field, the Twins posted an (estimated) .845 Clutchiness, scoring all nine of their runs with two-out hits and beating the Indians 9-3 at Target Field.
Minnesota was 9-17 and walked four times with two outs. Danny Valencia blasted a solo home run into the second deck in left field, with two outs. Michael Cuddyer golfed a low fastball over the fence in left to drive in a pair - with two outs. Delmon Young doubled in a run, Denard Span tripled in a run, and this all happened with two outs, raising that Clutchiness right up into the stratosphere.
It's certainly not as if the Indians had no chances in this one, though. With Young's double having given the Twins a 1-0 lead in the second, Cleveland's Andy Marte had his own two-out success, whacking a Brian Duensing pitch off of the 411 sign in center field for an RBI triple to tie the game. In the third, Shelley Duncan nearly matched Marte; with two runners on (and yes, two out), Duncan hit a towering drive to left center that died in Span's glove a foot in front of the bullpen fence. It was very nearly 4-1 early for the Indians.
After the Twins had built their own 4-1 lead, Cleveland put together three singles, a double, and a walk in the sixth to close the gap to 4-3. However, Duensing struck out Lou Merson and got Michael Brantley to line out to third base to end the threat. The Twins lefty allowed three runs and six hits, but hurt himself by walking four. (Walks will haunt, Mr. Duensing!)
After the Twins extinguished the rally, though, they came back with four runs of their own in the bottom of the inning, which included Span's triple and Cuddyer's homer. After that, the game was never in doubt again.
Studs: Valencia and Cuddyer for going deep, of course. J.J. Hardy had three singles, and was the only Twin to collect three hits. Span and Young drove in two apiece.
Duds: I wouldn't really call him a dud, but Duensing probably won't be happy with himself after walking four. And I guess Jose Morales struck out twice, but we're probably grasping at straws.
Notes
Michael Brantley was 0-5 for Cleveland, ending his hitting streak at 19 games... The win dropped Minnesota's magic number to 3. Chicago, in Oakland and playing a late game, was tied 0-0 with the Athletics at the time of this story.
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I'm super-excited for my Jimmers shirt.
I’m just wondering when they start shipping! Hopefully soon!
I showed my mom the Thome shirt and she thought it was hilarious
and just had to get one for herself as well
Cuddy had a full day
2 hits, 3 runs, 2 RBI, a HR, a BB, a K, and a(n) SB
by Alexi Casilla All-Star on Sep 20, 2010 11:14 PM EDT reply actions
I had been wanting him to produce more as of late
Well, I’m satisfied. Great day.
by MarshalltheIrish on Sep 20, 2010 11:44 PM EDT up reply actions
Hey! Chris Carter finally got a hit for the A's!
Congrats to him. I was starting to feel sorry for that guy.
And Gavin Floyd left the game with a shoulder injury before even recording an out.
Yeah, Chris Carter!
We were giving him Nelson-ish “ha, ha”s at the game on Saturday, but I’m glad that he got a hit now that he’s not playing against the Twins.
Denard Span shows us the new magic number (thanks, A's!)!!!

"To tell the truth, I'm not excited to go to Cleveland, but we have to. If I ever saw myself saying I'm excited going to Cleveland, I'd punch myself in the face, because I'm lying." -Ichiro
Rounding....
If they go 12-0 and we go 0-12 then we are eliminated. But evidently, they don’t carry enough significant digits to capture that remote possibility.
Might be simulations
Yahoo runs odds from AccuScore every week, and they had the Twins at 100% this week, after all their 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the season ended with the Twins winning the division.
"There are only two things that are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former." - Albert Einstein
If you believe the BP data,
in 1,000,000 simulations, they’d win 3 times. (And no, I do not consider this a jinx.)
Magic Number Question
I understand how it works, etc…but looking at the standings I am just wondering…
let’s say (obviously hypothetical) we win tomorrow and then lose EVERY GAME the rest of the season, meanwhile the Sox go on a ridiculous streak and win every single game the rest of the way. We would end 91-71, as would the Sox. We then would get the tiebreaker due to head to head record (correct me if I am wrong).
So why is our magic number 2 instead of 1? If we win tomorrow night we technically cannot lose the division right? What am I missing?
in that situation we would play a game 163
for the tiebreaker
by gardy's dog house on Sep 21, 2010 1:32 AM EDT up reply actions
The magic number signifies the clinching
not the tying.
"...and we'll see ya tomorrow night!" - Jack Buck, Game 6, 1991 World Series
by WindyCityTwinsFan on Sep 21, 2010 3:29 PM EDT up reply actions
YES! THANK YOU A's!
And oddly, the Yankees win is good as it enabled us to pass Tampa for now record-wise. Great day.
Please let us clinch tomorrow. I’m heading out for the day to job-hunt downtown and will grab the new Thome SI issue as a reward…would love to come home and see our boys seal the deal.
by MarshalltheIrish on Sep 21, 2010 1:45 AM EDT reply actions
Actually would have been better
to see Garza and TB win, gain on the spankees, then yankees win tmro, TB the next yankees the next; 14 innings every game. wear down the dam yankees for the red sox. etc etc.
by BigSkyViking on Sep 21, 2010 1:49 AM EDT up reply actions
I thought that too
Came close to ending my post with “Why, Red Sox?” Granted they’re still behind Tampa by the same number of games in the WC standings, but the Yanks are the one they have the realistic shot of overtaking and they’re letting it slip with each loss. The Orioles? Really? (And I don’t care if they’ve been much better under Showalter…it’s in Fenway for god’s sake.)
by MarshalltheIrish on Sep 21, 2010 1:52 AM EDT up reply actions
Hopefully Yankees at least 3-1 v. Rays
For Twins best chance to get best record in AL.
After the Yankees, the Rays schedule Seatle 3, Baltimore 3 and @KC 3…not many losses there. The Yankees after the Rays Boston 3, @ Toronto 3 and @ Boston 3.
We’ll see how it turns out.
Regards,
I don't suffer from insanity...I relish every moment of it!
postseason rotation
A fact on duensing at the twins website on espn:
“Duensing Unbeatable In Minnesota
From Elias: Brian Duensing made his 10th career start at home for the Twins and got a win to improve to 7-0 in those games, although his ERA went up to 1.03 from 0.70. Nevertheless, the only other pitcher to go undefeated with at least seven wins and an ERA as low as Duensing’s in his first 10 home starts for a team is the New York Giants’ Ferdie Schupp, who was 8-0 with a 0.73 ERA in his first 10 home starts for the McGraw-men from 1913 to 1917.”
After seeing that, I want duensing starting game 2 after Liriano. Have the veteran Pavano start the first road game of the series.
I like Pavano on the road, too
Honestly, both pitchers have been good for us and both will do fine, but I’d like to see B-Duens get the home start.
The Twins' AAA lineup:
It was fun to see the AAA lineup the Twins put on the field for the 9th:
P: Perkins (AAA) C: Morales (AAA) 1B: Cuddyer (ML)
2B: Casilla (AAA) SS: Tolbert (AAA) 3B: Valencia (AAA)
LF: Young (ML) CF: Span (ML) RF: Repko (AAA)
We could do a lot worse. I know it was just one inning, but it was fun to see Gardy put the kids out there. But it also demonstrates that we are hurting at a couple of positions (1B, OF) and I hope that it doesn’t end up being an issue later. (knock on wood)
Another mark in favor for Gardenhire
All the AAA guys are performing better at the MLB level. That’s almost unheard of.

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