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Potential Twins Draft Picks

We're less than one week from the MLB draft, in which the Twins will have the 30th overall selection. At a time in which focusing on the current on-field product leads to dents in your walls, bruised knuckles, and fistfuls of hair yanked from your scalp, perhaps this is a good time to take a look at some of the names that have been linked to the Twins thus far.

The draft is an impossible beast to predict; the intricacy that goes into each team's selection, the limitless numbers of contingency plans each team possesses, and the butterfly effects that trickle down from a single team drafting an unexpected player make it entertaining. Experts such as ESPN's Keith Law, Baseball America's Jim Callis, and many more have tried to nail down the early selections of each team, but with an especially deep draft in 2011, it's all but a guarantee that we'll see some surprises.

Still, it can't hurt to brush up on some names that the Twins have likely been studying as the draft approaches. Potential targets and a draft poll after the jump.

Star-divide

Kolten Wong, 2B, University of Hawaii

The Twins drafted Wong in the 16th round of the 2008 draft, but the left-handed hitting Hawaii native elected to play college ball for the University of Hawaii and has enjoyed tremendous success. He hit .341 as a freshman and .357 as a sophomore and has totaled a .378/.492/.560 line with seven homers and 11 doubles through 209 at-bats in 2011. His 23 stolen bases (in 30 attempts) are a career high.

Wong is undersized, standing at just 5'9" and 180 pounds, and doesn't profile to develop an abundance of power. This may have led to the discrepancy between rankings by outlets such as Baseball Prospectus and Baseball America (both Top 30) as opposed to Law's ranking as the 89th best prospect in the draft. BA projects 10-15 home run power in the Majors and calls him "fearless" on the basepaths with great baseball instincts. He's played center field and catcher as well throughout his college tenure. Wong's availability may depend on whether or not Utah first baseman C.J. Cron is selected prior to the Rockies' pick at #20 overall, as Law says Colorado is set on drafting one of the two.

Tyler Anderson, LHP, University of Oregon

Like Wong, Anderson was drafted by the Twins in 2008 (50th round) but didn't sign, instead going to Oregon. After a rough freshman season, Anderson has been dominant as a sophomore and junior, posting a combined 2.57 ERA through 210.1 innings while managing 219 strikeouts to just 68 walks.

The 6'4", 215 pound Anderson boasts five pitches (four-seam and two-seam fastball, slider, curve, change) and sits comfortably from 89-93mph with his heaters. BA praises his plus changeup, something the Twins are sure to have noticed. The Twins have nabbed college pitchers with their last two first rounders (Kyle Gibson in 2009 and Alex Wimmers in 2010) and have shown interest in Anderson in the past, so if he's available he's a definite possibility. Most outlets praise his polish and work ethic. He could climb the ranks of the Twins' minor league systems quickly.

Tyler Beede, RHP, Lawrence Academy (Massachusetts)

One of the top high school arms in the draft, Beede's commitment to Vanderbilt makes him a risky draft pick with plenty of upside. He sits comfortably in the low 90s (92-93mph) with his fastball but can touch 95, and Law suggests that his velocity will improve as he develops. He also features a curveball in the upper 70s, a change-up, and is working on a slider. BA praises the arm speed on his change, while citing his curve as merely average for the time being. As a high school pitcher, however, he'll have ample time to hone his secondary arsenal, which is already advanced for his age. His 6'4", 200 pound frame, plus command, and overall approach to pitching will likely lead someone to roll the dice on him with a late first round or supplemental round pick.

Brandon Nimmo, OF, East High School (Wyoming)

Nimmo is a toolsy high school outfielder, a type that's attracted the Twins with several of their early round picks (Aaron Hicks, Ben Revere, Joe Benson) in recent years. Nimmo is likely to go down as the highest high school pick ever from Wyoming, due to the fact that the state does not offer high school baseball. He tore his ACL playing football in 2009, but the 6'3" outfielder has shown no ill effects since, as evidenced by his flawless 35-for-35 on the basepaths with his 2010 Post 6 American Legion team. He lacks power at the moment, but scouts believe that as he fills out he'll add loft to his swing and develop the power to turn his doubles into home runs.

Nimmo has a commitment to the University of Arkansas, and has a reported price tag of as much as $2.5M. Both of these factors make him a risk if he's available in the late stages of the first round. Like Beede, though, that risk comes with high upside.

Sean Gilmartin, LHP, Florida State

On paper, the 6'2, 192 pound southpaw sounds like the epitome of a Twins pitcher. He's not overpowering, with his fastball sitting from 88-91mph, but his plus change-up and command help him set up and put away hitters by working the count into his favor. Gilmartin struck out 116 through 106.1 innings of work en route to a 1.52 ERA in 2011. He walked just 18 and held opponents to a .193 average. His third pitch is a slider, which scouts have described simply as "average," though that's not necessarily a bad thing. He'd have time to develop the pitch more fully as he climbed through the minors.

The Padres attempted to draft Gilmartin out of high school in the 31st round of the 2008 draft. He's drawn comparisons to Mike Minor, who the Braves took seventh overall in 2009. Like Wimmers in 2010, Gilmartin is thought of as a "safe" pick, but therefore comes with some limited upside.

---

These are just a few of the top names linked to the Twins in various mock drafts from some of the industry's top draft analysts. My personal preference would be to see the Twins draft a college bat (preferably an infielder, though there's admittedly not many highly regarded names on that front), something they haven't done with their first pick since they drafted Travis Lee in 1996 (Matthew LeCroy was selected out of Clemson in the 1997 supplemental round).

The Twins have struggled tremendously in recent years to develop infielders (Matt Moses, Trevor Plouffe, Alexi Casilla), and selecting someone such as Wong who's already at a more advanced level could be beneficial to a minor league system that's devoid of any depth to present solid alternatives to Plouffe and Casilla. I was surprised last year to see Zack Cox fall as far as he did in the draft, and had hoped the Twins would pass up Wimmers as a result.

That didn't happen (Cox is now hitting .333/.393/.428 thus far in 2011 and has reached Double-A for the Cardinals), but perhaps the exploitation of a lack of infield depth will lead the Twins to break from tradition. However, I don't know that it's realistic to expect an organization that's so obviously set in its ways in nearly every other aspect to buck the trend and take such a reactionary approach based on the first few months of play in 2011.

Steve Adams also writes for MLBTraderumors.com and contributes at 612Sports.net. You can follow him on Twitter: @Adams_Steve

Poll
What type of player would you prefer the Twins to draft with the #30 overall selection?
College pitcher
59 votes
College bat (infielder)
187 votes
College bat (outfielder)
8 votes
Polished high school pitcher
17 votes
Toolsy high school outfielder
7 votes

278 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 45 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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Wong!

Oh please let Wong fall to the Twins! I would love to see him progressing through the minor league system and finally come to the Twins! One thing not mentioned above is, how is he in the field? Is he an adequate fielding 2B?

If Wong goes before the Twins, then their best route would be to select Tyler Anderson (didn’t they also have a Tyler Anderson in 2002 or something?). The Twins have been great at selecting the college arms recently, so if available, I wouldn’t mind them biting on him.

...formerly known as 33MorneauMVP

by BCTwins on May 31, 2011 10:54 AM EDT reply actions  

Wong is right!

Sorry, couldn’t resist. But yes, I’d like to see Wong fall to the Twins as well.

by Jesse on May 31, 2011 10:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

Really?

i know nothing about these guys, but another undersized hitter? You really want them to go that route?

The Wolves are like the worst meal you've ever had--terrible while you're eating it and even worse later.

by Eric in Madison on May 31, 2011 11:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

For middle infield?

I don’t care about size. I want a good baseball player, and everything I’ve read about Wong says that’s exactly what he is. I don’t need power, just give me a guy who can play and not be terrible.

Low standards, yes, but for a 1st round college pick I expect he’ll show if he’d be able to top those standards in relatively short order.

by Jesse on May 31, 2011 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

Twins should have enough power anyway

Twins need people to get on base in order to be driven in by the big guys (Morneau, Mauer, Young (if he is still around), Valencia, etc). Right now, I am seeing a whole lot of big hits coming with nobody on base (or vice versa: a lot of guys on base with nobody getting the big hits).

Twins are in desperate need of a good 2B who can get on base and steal a couple of bags. Also 10-15 HR power is a decent amount – Mauer sized power.

...formerly known as 33MorneauMVP

by BCTwins on May 31, 2011 11:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

Oh yeah, definitely: 10-15 is absolutely enough HR for a 2B

That’s pretty high-end though, I’d think. As long as he can hit line drives and get on base, I’d be happy.

by Jesse on May 31, 2011 11:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yes

as Steve says below, he has good gap power which would be marvelous, especially at Target field with the gaps there. Could potentially be a very good 2Bs guy and also leg out a few 3Bs!

...formerly known as 33MorneauMVP

by BCTwins on May 31, 2011 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

Pedroia

You’re describing Dustin Pedroia.

by DJL44 on May 31, 2011 12:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

That's exactly what I thought.

Not a lot of chance that a guy will turn into Pedroia, but you sure as hell take it if that’s who he is.

by Jesse on May 31, 2011 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Exactly

And it’s good to keep in mind that we don’t have a Top 5 pick to deal with here. We’re not looking to get an Anthony Rendon-type bat that has potential to be one of the better hitters in the league. Netting a solid regular from the 30th overall selection would be a big win, even if he’s not an elite player.

If Wong puts up vintage Orlando Hudson-style numbers (.290/.365/.450) with competent glovework, that’d be a great pick.

Granted, this is assuming he falls to 30th, which is a big assumption. Sounds like the Rockies are really big on him as well.

by Steve Adams on May 31, 2011 11:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

Undersized, but...

Most scouts agree that he has a fantastic hit tool that should carry over to the Majors. He’s not a big power guy, but that’s not always necessary at second base. He hits the ball to all fields and has good gap power which would translate to lots of doubles at Target Field, with the occasional homer over the course of the season as well.

Undersized or not, he’s an advanced hitter who projects to be a competent defensive second baseman with good average and on-base skills. Given the Twins’ lack of middle infielders, Wong would be a nice addition.

by Steve Adams on May 31, 2011 11:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

Tyler Anderson sounds great

He’s lefthanded too. The Twins will prioritize him ahead of Wong.

by DJL44 on May 31, 2011 11:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

I can definitely see that being the case

Like I said, it’s difficult to picture the Twins breaking tradition here, and Anderson fits their mold very well. I’d be happy to see him selected as well; stocking your farm with advanced college pitchers is never a bad thing.

If the Twins go with a pitcher, Anderson’s definitely my hope.

by Steve Adams on May 31, 2011 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

I just hope they don't settle for Andrew Chafin or Sean Gilmartin in round #1

they’d have a shot at getting either one of those guys at #50

Glen Perkins is throwing 97 MPH in 2011 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell is he on?

Big fan of Juerys Familia and his repitoire

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jun 1, 2011 2:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

I wouldn't at all mind Anthoyn Meo RHP Coastal Carolina

Glen Perkins is throwing 97 MPH in 2011 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell is he on?

Big fan of Juerys Familia and his repitoire

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jun 1, 2011 2:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks for this Steve.

Good run down of who might be available. Should be another fun evening of covering the draft, looking forward to getting excited about something!

by Jesse on May 31, 2011 10:58 AM EDT reply actions  

Sickels

http://mobile.minorleagueball.com/

Is my authority on the Twins draft. He thinks Twins get 2 left handed college starters and 1 SS as he says Wong will be gone.

by clutterheart on May 31, 2011 11:33 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Interesting...

That Sickels consistently has Levi Michael lasting to #32 overall. Most other outlets have him going in the top half of the draft (I’ve seen lots of Mets connections at #13).

If Michael is still around, I’d love to see the Twins go that route, even over Wong or Anderson if all three were available. I think he’ll go higher, as the only polished college SS in the draft, even if he doesn’t have a sky-high ceiling. If he’s there though, he’d be a great grab for the Twins in the late first round.

by Steve Adams on May 31, 2011 11:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

I have Michael goind in the Supplemental round

in the Mid to Late 30’s

i’m not at all surprised he’s a sure bet to get to Majors (basically) But is cieling is something near Adam Everett IMO

Glen Perkins is throwing 97 MPH in 2011 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell is he on?

Big fan of Juerys Familia and his repitoire

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jun 1, 2011 2:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

*going

Levi Michael going in the sandwich round

Glen Perkins is throwing 97 MPH in 2011 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell is he on?

Big fan of Juerys Familia and his repitoire

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jun 1, 2011 2:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

Also,

in regards to whether the Twins could buck their own convention — I’d like to think they would, even though it’s just the first couple months of 2011. There’s nobody in the system at 2B or SS who profiles as anything more than a backup, and two years from now Wong would probably be ready about the same time that A) Nishioka’s contract is up, and B) that Sano might be ready to show what he can do.

The Twins know what they have (or don’t) for infield prospects in their farm. They’ll also know what’s coming up on the free agent market over the next couple of years, and they’ll know how likely they’d be to grab anyone that actually strikes them as an attractive target.

By the same token I might be happy seeing them just take the best player available, as well. Deep draft, lots of good choices.

by Jesse on May 31, 2011 11:34 AM EDT reply actions  

Polanco could be a starter

He’s also younger than anyone in the draft

by DJL44 on May 31, 2011 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Dozier needs to move up to AA

He’s doing well in A+ this year but he’s 24 and repeating it. Chris Cates should be released after the draft.

Beresford needs a breakout season one of these years. He seems to just hold his own at his level. That doesn’t impress much.

by DJL44 on May 31, 2011 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree he needs to move up, and he will.

Twins Minor League hitting leaders
Avg. 1. Solarte, .343 (He’s primarily played 2B. Not sure about his defense.)
         2. Dozier, .320

OBP. 1. Dozier, .424

SLG. 1. Solarte, .517
          5. Dozier, .457

Solarte will be 24 soon as well, Neither seem to be blue-chippers, but I’m trying to be hopeful.

by Han Joelo on May 31, 2011 5:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Solarte

Playing a lot of 2B and LF. Does he have the arm for 3B?

by DJL44 on May 31, 2011 5:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes

he could be a nice Super Utility this time next year for AAA/ or Twins…

he’ll never be an everyday starter (IMO) but solid little player

Glen Perkins is throwing 97 MPH in 2011 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell is he on?

Big fan of Juerys Familia and his repitoire

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jun 1, 2011 2:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

never an everyday starter

while hitting .343 and slugging at .517. Interesting.

...formerly known as 33MorneauMVP

by BCTwins on Jun 1, 2011 3:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

others

Steven Hirshfeld RHP – from AA to AAA
Cole DeVries RHP – from AA to AAA (think he just has been)
Dozier ( i agree with to AA)
Steven Singleton SS/2B – from AA to AAA

Glen Perkins is throwing 97 MPH in 2011 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell is he on?

Big fan of Juerys Familia and his repitoire

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jun 1, 2011 2:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

Joe Benson

AA to AAA. He’s spent a year at AA and hit 28 HR. Rochester would look pretty good with a Revere / Benson / Tosoni outfield.

by DJL44 on Jun 1, 2011 10:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

My ideal draft...

Wong in the first round (I love the Eckstein comparisons). He could be the starting 2B by 2013.
The supplemental round would be 2 high upside pitchers. Not the typical “Twins Pitcher,” but a few guys that have dominant stuff.
Unfortunately, both of these won’t happen and the Twins will probably pick another “Control Artist” or “Toolsy” HS player.

by NickL1538 on May 31, 2011 12:43 PM EDT reply actions  

Have you looked at the minor leagues?

College pitchers and toolsy HS outfielders are the players the Twins scouts do best at finding. If your scouts are good at finding HS outfielders and college pitchers that contribute at the major league level it is fine to keep drafting them. Better than going against their recommendations and having a completely busted draft. The draft is about getting the most talent for your picks. Nobody in baseball should draft based on need, always draft the best player available. Trades are what a team should use to re-arrange talent.

Drafting high risk pitchers killed the Royals organization for years.

by DJL44 on May 31, 2011 1:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

The 40-man roster reflects this, too.

College pitchers and prep position players.

by Jesse on May 31, 2011 4:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Shouldn't we be talking about the 2012 Draft?

Seriously, please tell me there is some sort of transcendent talent like Bryce Harper out there, to make this all seem somehow worthwhile.

by Han Joelo on May 31, 2011 5:09 PM EDT reply actions  

Wish I could help.

I’d like to talk about the 2012 draft, but I barely know anything about THIS draft. All I know is that the 2012 draft doesn’t appear to be as deep as this year’s.

by Jesse on May 31, 2011 6:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

No worries

They’ll be picking at the very top. Depth won’t matter

by DJL44 on May 31, 2011 11:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

I feel like there isn't anyone of that caliber in the 2012 draft

Strasburg and Harper were talked about several years before they were available to draft. I don’t follow it closely at all, but I’ve heard no talk about anyone like that. I don’t know for sure though…with all that being said.

Baseball reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.-Terence Mann/James Earl Jones in FoD

by Twins33 on May 31, 2011 8:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

could be a late bloomer as well

never know; however, I havent heard anything either.

...formerly known as 33MorneauMVP

by BCTwins on May 31, 2011 8:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

Matt Purke

Drafted 2009 by the Rangers, didn’t sign. Will be eligible in 2012.

by DJL44 on May 31, 2011 11:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nope, he's 2011 eligible

2010 draft
Karsten Whitson DNS #9 overall
Dylan Covey DNS (after finding out he is diabetic)

by DJL44 on May 31, 2011 11:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Purke I have going in the Supplemental Round too

I could see the Rays or Red Sox take him in Round 1 but that’d be about it

Glen Perkins is throwing 97 MPH in 2011 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell is he on?

Big fan of Juerys Familia and his repitoire

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jun 1, 2011 2:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

2012 draft
  1. overall pick could be Kevin Gausman a RHP flamethrower

Glen Perkins is throwing 97 MPH in 2011 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell is he on?

Big fan of Juerys Familia and his repitoire

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jun 1, 2011 2:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

other possiblities

LHP Andrew Chaffin
RHP Anthony Meo
SS/OF Tyler Greene
OF Brian Goodwin JR
OF/3B Travis Harrison
OF Jackie Bradley JR (college bat Though)

and with pick #50/55

LHP Grayson Garvin
LHP Sean Gilmartin
LHP Andrew Chaffin
RHP Jon Stilson (injury will have him drop AT LEAST this far)
SS John Story
SS Jake Haegar
a few others i’ll get to here in a minute….

Glen Perkins is throwing 97 MPH in 2011 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell is he on?

Big fan of Juerys Familia and his repitoire

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jun 1, 2011 2:19 AM EDT reply actions  

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