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Taking a Chance On Low Buys is a Smart Move

The last time we saw Joel Zumaya was actually at Target Field. Like this.

There were a number of teams who went to watch Joel Zumaya throw back in December, and even as late as yesterday morning we knew there were a number of clubs interested in the former Tigers' flame throwing strikeout machine. What made the difference for Zumaya though, was that the Twins offered him a Major League contract.

As far as Zumaya is concerned, that's kind of a no-brainer, isn't it? As long as he's healthy, he'll go north with the Twins. Ultimately the most important thing to a Major League Baseball player's career is to play in Major League Baseball. Minnesota gave him that opportunity.

With every other interested club seemingly offering him the same thing (minor league contract, invite to spring training), and with the Minnesota bullpen still shaping up to be a massive liability, Terry Ryan and his front office made a move that could bolster the back end of the relief corps with relatively little risk.

  1. The Twins are financially on the hook for a minimum of $800,000 for one year. As far as MLB payrolls are concerned, that's nothing.
  2. If Zumaya doesn't throw a pitch with the Twins, they're simply back to where they were on Saturday night: Glen Perkins, Matt Capps, and a bunch of question marks.
  3. If Zumaya does work out, $1.7 million (maximum) for what a pitcher like him can provide is more than acceptable.

We'll flash some more justified optimism after the jump.

Star-divide

I'd like to pretend Terry Ryan was reading when I said this a couple weeks ago:

Zumaya will be 27 in '11 ... Feeling lucky? Hell, it's not much money and there isn't much to lose. Maybe you offer him a Major League deal because nobody else is, and guarantee him $1 million for his trouble.

Of course that wasn't the case, but the front office made a smart decision to buy low and to offer the guy something that no other team would...without hurting themselves. It's a good start in making a late move to re-work the bullpen.

Phil Mackey points out that there was some interest in Dan Wheeler and Todd Coffey prior to signing Zumaya, also adding "Doubt they'd close the door entirely on those guys but space now limited". This was the case before Minnesota added Zumaya, so this is likely doubly true at this point, but still: if Wheeler is available for $800,000 or $1 million, his contributions to the 'pen as a middle reliever would be worth more than the money he'd make.

With the exclusion of the Josh Willingham signing, the Twins have lacked big news this winter...unless that news involved them losing Joe Nathan and Michael Cuddyer. I'm fine with that.

Yet Minnesota has managed to make a number of smaller, well-designed moves. Capps at his price isn't terrible, and will be a bargain if he pitches closer to how he did in 2010 than 2011. Jamey Carroll and Ryan Doumit were both good moves. Choosing not to out-bid teams for Nathan, Cuddyer and Jason Kubel was the right thing to do. Now, adding Zumaya.

Nobody will confuse the Twins with division contenders out of the gate. But if these decisions and additions work out, and if guys can stay healthy...you never know. That's one of the many things that's beautiful about baseball. Somebody and something will always surprise you.

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One clarification

According to Gleeman, the Twins have an out clause for at least some of the $800,000 if he doesn’t make the team out of spring training.

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on Jan 16, 2012 10:49 AM EST reply actions  

Even better.

So there is, literally, zero risk for the Twins here.

by Jesse on Jan 16, 2012 10:50 AM EST up reply actions  

Zero risk?

There is a HUGE risk. The risk is if he cant pitch or stay healthy the Twins bullpen will be worse than last year.

by clutterheart on Jan 16, 2012 5:15 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Look I like this move too

But fans should not see this as a solution to bullpen woes. They still need to get another arm.

by clutterheart on Jan 16, 2012 5:19 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I wouldn't draw that conclusion

Zumaya is neither the savior nor the goat. He’s an intriguing, low-risk, high-reward signing. If he doesn’t make the team out of spring training, the bullpen can still be better than it was last year. It is hard to imagine it being worse.

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on Jan 16, 2012 5:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Evolution of Twins marketing

From “get to know ’em” to “Thome the Lumberjack” to “it can’t get worse”

by clutterheart on Jan 16, 2012 5:59 PM EST via mobile up reply actions   2 recs

The only way this could be worse

Is if he get’s two of our players hit by pitches, I mean even Mijares couldn’t do that and he tried.

JIM JAMS BUSINESS IS MASHING TATERS, AND BUSINESS IS GOOD!!!

by MashinTaters on Jan 16, 2012 11:47 PM EST up reply actions  

I think he means

if they do this INSTEAD of signing a healthy player, when he gets hurt they’ll be a man short. As you say, this shouldn’t keep them from signing that other guy. But it might.

by by jiminy on Jan 17, 2012 11:03 AM EST up reply actions  

Oswalt

I’m really curious if there’s any truth to the Roy Oswalt rumors. He’s a little more scary but I wonder if the Twins will do the same thing as they did with Zumaya. Offer him 2 years when other teams are only willing to offer him 1. Say the Twins sign him to the same deal as they did with Pavano last year. I think that would be a worthwhile risk and it sounds as though that’s what he’s looking for at this point.

Does Lindsey Guentzel(spelling?) really have the kind of connections for this to be a realistic rumor?

Peyton's good but have you ever heard of Jeff George?

by halfchest on Jan 16, 2012 11:12 AM EST reply actions  

If I'm Oswalt

I’m taking the two year deal if the Twins offer that.

I'm a proud fan of the Minnesota Twins and Dallas Cowboys!
"Life is precious and time is a key element. Let’s make every moment count and help those who have a greater need than our own." – Harmon Killebrew
I would like to see Dallas vs the Giants on Thanksgiving, Make it happen NFL!

Check out my eBay items.

by Jessy S on Jan 16, 2012 2:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Jon Paul Morosi reported yesterday that the Red Sox were talking to Oswalt, and Guentzel had said the Sox were interested in him hours before Morosi reported it, so it looks like she’s had at least one small bit (relative to all the info she tweeted) correct thus far. We just have to wait for all of this to play out. According to her, Oswalt will make a decision at the end of the week.

MLBTR will still credit Heyman or some other big national writer for getting the news “first” though.

"Life moves pretty fast. If you don't stop and look around once in a while, you could miss it." - Ferris Bueller.

by Andrew Bryz-Gornia on Jan 16, 2012 11:23 AM EST reply actions  

Oops.

Meant for this to be a reply to halfchest above.

"Life moves pretty fast. If you don't stop and look around once in a while, you could miss it." - Ferris Bueller.

by Andrew Bryz-Gornia on Jan 16, 2012 11:24 AM EST up reply actions  

She has been in on the other stuff as well

Cuddy/Willingham. She may have been in on 1-2 other things, but I can’t remember for sure.

Baseball reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.-Terence Mann/James Earl Jones in FoD

by Twins33 on Jan 16, 2012 1:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Jesse I think you underestimate yourself

I have long suspected that Terry Ryan and Bill Smith read Twinkie Town…. :)

Remember, remember the seventh of November.

by Go Twins! on Jan 16, 2012 1:04 PM EST reply actions  

Then why isn't Manny Ramirez playing SS for the Twins?

"Don't take life for granted, because tomorrow isn't promised to any one of us." -Kirby Puckett
"Tell Gardy there's nobody around to protect him now." Ozzie Guillen

by less cowbell, more 'neau on Jan 16, 2012 2:07 PM EST up reply actions  

He retired.

I'm a proud fan of the Minnesota Twins and Dallas Cowboys!
"Life is precious and time is a key element. Let’s make every moment count and help those who have a greater need than our own." – Harmon Killebrew
I would like to see Dallas vs the Giants on Thanksgiving, Make it happen NFL!

Check out my eBay items.

by Jessy S on Jan 16, 2012 2:15 PM EST up reply actions  

I think he could be convinced to come out of retirement

The real issue is likely that he found out about the Twins’ terrible parking lot arrangement with the Timberwolves and didn’t want any part of that sinking fiscal ship

Do you want to know the terrifying truth, or do you want to see me sock a few dingers?

by natetheskate on Jan 16, 2012 3:26 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

This signing could potentially show its real value towards the end of July

If he comes back to his old form and the rest of 2012 Twins don’t there just might be a team or two willing to pay a quality prospect to bolster their bullpen come the trade deadline.

by #Displacedtwinsfan on Jan 17, 2012 5:42 PM EST reply actions  

The Twins Low buys.

I don’t have the whole picture on players and injuries etc etc, but being a Twins fan I still think the Twins should get Pat Neshek back. He is off injury / surgery and has had time to re-coop. His funky side arm delivery was awesome and his price tag is still within the Twins budget right now. He is a right hand thrower that is good for the bull pen.

by engelun on Jan 22, 2012 1:36 PM EST reply actions  

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