A Look at the top prospects in the A.L. Central
* note i will Star those who could see Major league time in 2012. Some possible impact guys for next year.
Grades that have been given are mainy John Sickles grades with a little bit of my own twist, I think guys that were hurt last year that were solid prospects before I bumped up a bit, also I tried to take his list(s) and form my own based on Baseball America and Baseball prospectus' ranks as well. I kept it to just 11 for each but teams like the Royals would have been easy to go to 20-25 deep.
Royals
1. Michael Montgomery*** -SP ; A-
2. Wil Myers - OF ; A-
3. Bubba Starling - OF ; A-
4. Cheslor Cuthbert -3B ; A- (sort of their version of Miguel Sano but already a level or two higher and may play SS)
5. Jacob Odorizzi*** -SP ; B+
6. John Lamb -SP ; B
7. Christian Colon -SS/2B ; B-
8. Kelvin Herrera*** - RP ; B-
9. Jason Adam - SP ; B-
10. Chris Dwyer*** - SP ; B-
11. Brett Eibner - OF ; C+
Twins
1. Miguel Sano - 3B ; A-/ B+ (Beloit in 2012)
2. Oswaldo Arcia - OF ; B+ (Ft. Myers)
3. Eddie Rosario - OF/2B ; B (Beloit)
4. Aaron Hicks - OF ; B (Ft. Myers / New Britian)
5. Joe Benson*** - OF ; B- (Rochester)
6. Liam Hendriks*** - SP ; B- (Rochester/ Minn)
7. Levi Michael - SS ; B- (Beloit?)
8. Kyle Gibson - SP ; B- (Re-habb)
9. Brian Dozier*** - SS/2B ; B- (Rochester)
10. Hudson Boyd - SP ; B- (Elizabethon w/ guys like Kepler, JD Williams and Summers)
11. Chris Parmelee*** - 1B ; B- (Rochester/ Minn)
(other prospects that could impact 2012 are Carlos Gutierrez, Dave Bromberg, Tyler Robertson, Lester Oliveros, Kyle Waldrop, Chris Herrmann and Bobby Lanigan, maybe longshots such as Tom Stuiffbergen and Alex Wimmers as well) I think Oswaldo Arcia is the real deal and could see AA New Britian before the year is out.
Tigers
1. Jacob Turner*** - SP ; A- (one of the top SP prospects in all of baseball to me, not an ace but very good)
2. Nick Castellanos - 3B ; B+
3. Casey Crosby*** - SP ; B
4. Drew Smyly - SP ; B
5. Andy Oliver*** - SP ; B
6. Tyler Collins - OF ; B-
7. James McCann - C ; C+
8. Brian Flynn - SP ; C+
9. Aaron Westlake - 1B ; C+
10. Jay Voss - SP ; C+
11. Daniel Fields - OF ; C+
Indians
1. Francisco Lindor - SS ; B+
2. Dillon Howard - SP ; B-
3. Tony Walters - SS ; B-
4. Jake Sisco - SP ; B-
5. Nick Hagadone*** - RP ; C+
6. Luigi Rodriguez - OF ; C+
7. Scott Barnes*** - SP ; C+
8. Rafael Rodriguez - SS ; C+
9. Felix Sterling - SP ; C+
10. LeVon Washington - OF ; C+
11. Cord Phelps*** - 2B ; C+
White Sox
1. Addison Reed*** - RP ; B+ (could be there closer by mid-season for a long time)
2. Nestor Molina - SP ; B/ B+
3. Trayce Thompson - OF ; B-
4. Tyler Saladino - 3B ; C+
5. Simon Castro*** - SP/RP ; C+ (acquired for Carlos Quentin along with LHP Pedro Hernandez)
6. Jacob Petricka - SP ; C+
7. Hector Santiago - SP ; C+
8. Dylan Axelrod*** - SP/RP ; C+
9. Kevan Smith - C ; C+
10. Erik Johnson - SP ; C+
11. Eduardo Escobar*** - SS ; C+/C
(also acquired SS- Osvaldo Martinez and P -Jhan Martinez from the Marlins for manager Ozzier Gullen)
I placed the teams in order of who i think has the greatest to weakest farm systems in the A.L. Central accounting for both top quality talent and all around depth throughout the minor leagues.
#1 is Kansas City for the 2nd straight year, they lost some key guys: Hosmer, Duffy and Moustakas are now Major Leaguers and they also graduated some relievers like Crow, Coleman and Collins but they still have the best minor leaguers in the conference or lg. and have tons of depth.... I think the only team that comes close to their surplus of depth is the Twins for prospects. I think if the Twins cannot be the biggest competition for the Tigers this upcoming season it could should be the Royals who i have pegged to surpass the Indians sooner than later. Their bullpen has a chance to be special and they're offense is coming along.
#2 is the Minnesota Twins while also weakening a bit from a season ago, they still rank high in general. However, they unlike the Royals, lost guys due to injuries or just poor performances which is never good. Even silly trades like Wilson Ramos and Billy Bullock (the trades were over a year ago) and acquiring guys like Jacobsen, Bargas, and now Turpen have yet to pan out. Gibson and Wimmers had forgettable years for different reasons, and Hicks continues to be an enigma while Arcia and Angel Morales faced injuries throughout the season. Disappointments for Carlos Gutierrez, Scott Diamond and Pat Dean on the mound. While Liam Hendriks, Chris Parmelee, Sano and Rosario flourished.
#3 is the Detroit Tigers
Already boasting the best Major League team, they are probably in the best all-around position in the Central yet again. Even losing DH Victor Martinez for most of if not all of the 2012 season they still should remain the biggest threat to win the pennant. While the majority of the M.L. team is in place and isn't getting any younger TOP prospect and SP Jacob Turner should help the Tigers out in the starting rotation for a good chunk of next year. Turner looks poised beyond his years (only 21 years of age) on the mound and could be the perfect compliment to Justin Verlander in the #2 spot in the rotation ahead of Scherzer, Fister, and Porcello; Which would undoubtedly form the Best rotation in the Central. They also have an interesting assortment of arms that could help out the bullpen or maybe even the rotation if someone goes to the DL.
#4 the Cleveland Indians
Graduating their top 2 guys and trading another set of 2 away from last year. Chisenhall and Kipnis should be the cornerstones of the infield at 3B, and 2B for years to come for the Tribe. What was suprising to me though, was to see them trade their top 2 pitching prospects last year at the deadline to acquire the Rockies Ubaldo Jiminez in Drew Pomeranz LHP and Alex White RHP. Pom has a chance to be a #2 starter for the Rockies and White a #3 o4 #4 both in the short-term and long-term. Jiminez while spetacular when on his game... was really worth those 2 guys? The Indians were the top dog for a while in the Central a year ago and were the main threat to the Tigers pretty much all year long, expect them to be competetive again but with the Carmona visa ID setback and a semi-punchless offense I predict them to finish 4th this coming season.
Well, the rebuilding has only begun for the South Siders... GM Kenny Williams has dealt OF Carlos Quentin to the Padres (Castro and Hernandez) and Closer Sergio Santos to the Blue Jays (Molina). Could Paul Konerko be next? or maybe one of the many Starting pitchers they have on the roster. LHP Mark Buerhle did follow Ozzie Guillen to the Miami Marlins so they do have 1 less Starter. Just like their farm system i predict them to be last in 2012.
While they have quite a bit of depth in the minors at OF and RP they lack any impact bats or Staring pitchers, other than the newly acquired Nestor Molina who is still years away.
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Seems Dozier could be the real deal
I’d like to see a follow up, one or two years out on these prospects lists. Seem many rated high end up as bench players and trade pawns.
yeah that is very encouraging
usually 1B , get shafted a bit in 1B rankings, because A) just about anybody can play there and B) you need A LOT of bat for the position to be thought of highly by prospect anyalists.
Seeing Parmelee rank 5th on Mayo’s list (ESPN ?)
is good because it likely means he just missed ESPN’s top 100 overall prospects
http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mlb-big-league-stew/photo-logan-morrison-bryan-petersen-share-tub-drink-043548597.html
by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jan 23, 2012 12:18 PM EST up reply actions
My bad, I see Jonathan Mayo is MLB.com (should have known, just simply forgot)
I think he is a good/ solid writer and probably gives solid insights into the prospect world (for free) better than anyone out there other than Sickles.
http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mlb-big-league-stew/photo-logan-morrison-bryan-petersen-share-tub-drink-043548597.html
by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jan 23, 2012 12:24 PM EST up reply actions
Either the blue links or you forgetting led to the twins prospects not getting bolded
Hendriks, Parmalee, Dozier, and Benson all could impact the majors this year for us.
first-worst-first?
ahhhrg let me fix that.... yeah it all auto bolded Blue links.... hold on
http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mlb-big-league-stew/photo-logan-morrison-bryan-petersen-share-tub-drink-043548597.html
by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jan 23, 2012 12:27 PM EST up reply actions
thanks for this mackererel, fixed
http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mlb-big-league-stew/photo-logan-morrison-bryan-petersen-share-tub-drink-043548597.html
by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jan 23, 2012 12:36 PM EST up reply actions
Next Year
With progression from Arcia Sano Rosario Boer Kepler Wimmers and a mending Gibson the Twins could have a top 10 minor league system. That group + the number two draft pick could spark one or even two B+ or A level prospects.
by clutterheart on Jan 24, 2012 10:53 AM EST via mobile reply actions
AL Central is very weak
in terms of minor league potential. The Royals of course being the exception. The Twins have an average farm system if you ask me. We have some guys with really high ceilings, but the AAA is still terrible. The only reason the Twins are #2 is because the Tigers, White Sox, and Indians (after Jimenez trade), all have god awful and I mean GOD AWFUL talent in their lower leagues.
White Sox are rebuilding but the cupboard is empty
They’re in trouble
The Twins are on the cusp of having a top 10 system
If you look at the top 10 list, it’s as good as we’ve had since Joe Mauer was a prospect, maybe better (certainly deeper). We’ve had three consecutive very good drafts and we’ve been one of the most active in international signings. Most of those prospects are at levels where prospect watchers don’t pay close attention. Soon they will.
Priror to 2008, we had a decade of below-average drafts. This has depleted the upper levels. Also, we used to rely almost exclusively on the international markets other teams ignored, like Australia. Now we have a strong international program and a much better drafting system. This bodes well for the long term.
"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot
I'd add Darnell,Morales,Tootle,Bashore and Goodrum
as guys that could jump up on the list quickly.
by b1 on Jan 25, 2012 8:10 AM EST up reply actions
Agree
And I have confidence in Johnson to have another strong draft. And I hope Ryan can be aggressive and sign guys in time so they can play some pro-ball in 2012
by clutterheart on Jan 25, 2012 6:29 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Signing deadline has moved up to July 13th
If they sign they’ll play in Betsy.
That deadline sucks for Iowa high school kids. It could be a choice of signing a big league contract or playing in the state tournament (ends July 28th) for them.
Interesting. I was not aware of this.
Overall, I think it’s a good thing.
For a large part of a month there was mostly posturing. Teams and agents typically waited until the last week to sign the higher picks. (sucks for IA)
I see players can only sign minor league contracts now…. good!
I also like the sloting for each draft spot. Twins are slotted for $6.2 million with the 2nd pick.
It's only 3 weeks after the College World Series
Doesn’t leave a lot of time for negotiations.
For all the changes to the draft....
http://www.mymlbdraft.com/changes-in-the-new-cba-affect-the-mlb-draft/
The extra lottery at the end of the first round for lower revenue teams and the lottery at the end of the 2nd round is wierd. Competative balance I suppose. Selig is a football fan after all. It suites baseball for all teams to be competative.

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