Plouffe was drafted 20th overall by the Twins in 2004, but has never made Baseball America's top 100. After the 2007 season, Plouffe was the #8 prospect on the Twins according to Kevin Goldstein, and he hasn't made Goldstein's list since.
Around 2008 or 2009, after OPSing around .700 for several years in the minors and not really impressing with his defense at shortstop, I recall Plouffe being on the receiving end of a nasty little jab in a Baseball Prospectus annual (that my wife has since made me throw away). Something about "Plouffe" being the sound a souffle makes when it collapses, and how that imagery is more or less an accurate assessment of Plouffe's prospect status.
Then in 2011, Plouffe tore up the International League over 220 plate appearances, hitting .313/.384/.635, which made him the best hitter in the league with at least that many chances. Up until then, he’d done enough to keep moving up levels, but his 2011 in Rochester was pretty much Plouffe’s first professional statistical achievement of any significance.
But it wasn’t translating the major leagues, and I’m not sure anyone exemplified the futility of the 2011 Twins season as much as Plouffe and his .238 batting average, .305 OBP, godawful defense, and -0.6 WAR. It continued in 2012. He hit .121/.275/.242 in March and April. .185/.254/.400 in May.
And now, suddenly, the souffle is reinflated. Plouffe is hitting a face-melting .396/.420/1.042 (that last number is his SLG, not his OPS) in June and might be on the verge of something...historic?
But all sorts of losers can luck into a great 2-week or month-long stretch, can’t they? This doesn’t really mean anything, does it? I wanted to find out.
It’s hard to look at 2-week stretches on stat cites, but looking at months is easy, so I put together some numbers for the best months over the last decade. I pulled numbers for 2 stats Plouffe appears poised to dominate this month: home runs and wRC+ (measuring overall offensive contribution—100 is average, 200 means you produce twice as many runs as an average hitter per plate appearance).
First of all, in June so far, nobody’s close to Plouffe in baseball. 9 homers in 12 games and a 291 wRC+. Joey Votto is also playing out of his mind, but with “only” a 251 wRC+ and 4 homers. Jose Bautista has a 224 wRC+ and 7 homers.
Now, it’s hardly a given that Plouffe will continue to maintain his lead on these two MVP types over the rest of the month, and almost nothing is more assured than the fact that Plouffe won’t hit as well in the second half of June as he has in the first. But if he can keep up best-in-baseball numbers until the end of June, are we to the point that we can, you know, get pretty excited about him?
Well here are the best hitters in baseball for each calendar month over the last decade.:
|
Year |
Month |
Player |
wRC+ |
|
2004 |
March/April |
326 |
|
|
2012 |
June (1-15) |
291 |
|
|
2002 |
August |
Barry Bonds |
285 |
|
2003 |
July |
Barry Bonds |
279 |
|
2005 |
July |
277 |
|
|
2004 |
August |
Barry Bonds |
277 |
|
2008 |
May |
269 |
|
|
2012 |
March/April |
264 |
|
|
2011 |
Sept./Oct. |
260 |
|
|
2011 |
March/April |
Jose Batista |
255 |
|
2004 |
July |
254 |
|
|
2010 |
June |
253 |
|
|
2011 |
June |
Matt Kemp |
249 |
|
2003 |
June |
Jason Giambi |
247 |
|
2006 |
March/April |
Jason Giambi |
246 |
|
2004 |
June |
246 |
|
|
2009 |
May |
240 |
|
|
2005 |
June |
239 |
|
|
2005 |
May |
239 |
|
|
2005 |
Sept./Oct. |
237 |
|
|
2007 |
Sept./Oct. |
234 |
|
|
2007 |
July |
234 |
|
|
2002 |
Sept./Oct. |
Barry Bonds |
234 |
|
2011 |
May |
233 |
|
|
2008 |
Sept./Oct. |
229 |
|
|
2007 |
March/April |
229 |
|
|
2008 |
June |
228 |
|
|
2008 |
July |
226 |
|
|
2007 |
June |
Alex Rodriguez |
226 |
|
2006 |
August |
226 |
|
|
2005 |
March/April |
226 |
|
|
2010 |
May |
225 |
|
|
2003 |
August |
Alex Rodriguez |
224 |
|
2011 |
July |
223 |
|
|
2010 |
August |
223 |
|
|
2010 |
July |
223 |
|
|
2004 |
Sept./Oct. |
Barry Bonds |
222 |
|
2004 |
May |
Lance Berkman |
222 |
|
2012 |
May |
221 |
|
|
2011 |
August |
Joey Votto |
221 |
|
2008 |
August |
221 |
|
|
2009 |
March/April |
220 |
|
|
2002 |
July |
David Ortiz |
220 |
|
2009 |
June |
Albert Pujols |
218 |
|
2003 |
March/April |
Jim Edmonds |
217 |
|
2009 |
Sept./Oct. |
216 |
|
|
2006 |
Sept./Oct. |
215 |
|
|
2010 |
March/April |
214 |
|
|
2006 |
July |
213 |
|
|
2006 |
June |
Joe Mauer |
207 |
|
2007 |
August |
205 |
|
|
2009 |
July |
204 |
|
|
2008 |
March/April |
Chase Utley |
204 |
|
2005 |
August |
Alex Rodriguez |
202 |
|
2009 |
August |
201 |
|
|
2006 |
May |
Matt Holliday |
199 |
|
2003 |
Sept./Oct. |
Barry Bonds |
197 |
|
2007 |
May |
Kevin Youkillis |
196 |
|
2010 |
Sept./Oct. |
187 |
|
|
2003 |
May |
184 |
The first thing that jumps out at you is that, over a full month, nobody hits as well as Trevor Plouffe has so far in June. And by nobody I mean absolutely nobody expect Barry Bonds in early 2004 when he was walked over 40% of the time.
The other thing is that almost everyone on this list is a big star. Sure there’s Matt Diaz, Jorge Cantu, Adam LaRoche...Delmon Young. But almost everyone else here is or was a true stud. In short, it’s pretty hard to be the best hitter in baseball over a month without also being one of the best hitters in baseball period. Marginal talents almost never just luck themselves into a full month at the top of the majors.
It’s pretty much the same story for the monthly home-run leaders:
|
Year |
Month |
Player |
HR |
|
2010 |
Sept./Oct. |
15 |
|
|
2004 |
June |
15 |
|
|
2003 |
August |
Alex Rodriguez |
15 |
|
2009 |
June |
Albert Pujols |
14 |
|
2007 |
Sept./Oct. |
14 |
|
|
2007 |
March/April |
Alex Rodriguez |
14 |
|
2006 |
August |
Ryan Howard |
14 |
|
2006 |
July |
David Ortiz |
14 |
|
2006 |
March/April |
Albert Pujols |
14 |
|
2005 |
July |
Jason Giambi |
14 |
|
2003 |
June |
Jim Edmonds |
14 |
|
2002 |
August |
14 |
|
|
2009 |
May |
13 |
|
|
2007 |
July |
13 |
|
|
2007 |
May |
13 |
|
|
2006 |
May |
Ryan Howard |
13 |
|
2005 |
June |
13 |
|
|
2004 |
August |
13 |
|
|
2004 |
July |
Edmonds/C. Lee/Teixeira |
13 |
|
2003 |
July |
13 |
|
|
2012 |
May |
Stanton/Hamilton |
12 |
|
2012 |
March/April |
Matt Kemp |
12 |
|
2011 |
Sept./Oct. |
Adrian Beltre |
12 |
|
2011 |
May |
12 |
|
|
2010 |
August |
Jose Bautista |
12 |
|
2010 |
May |
Jose Bautista |
12 |
|
2009 |
August |
12 |
|
|
2008 |
August |
12 |
|
|
2008 |
July |
12 |
|
|
2008 |
June |
J.D. Drew |
12 |
|
2008 |
May |
12 |
|
|
2005 |
Sept./Oct. |
Manny Ramirez |
12 |
|
2005 |
August |
Alex Rodriguez |
12 |
|
2002 |
July |
Alex Rodriguez |
12 |
|
2010 |
July |
Jose Bautista |
11 |
|
2010 |
March/April |
11 |
|
|
2008 |
Sept./Oct. |
Ryan Howard |
11 |
|
2008 |
March/April |
Chase Utley |
11 |
|
2007 |
June |
Alfonso Soriano |
11 |
|
2006 |
Sept./Oct. |
11 |
|
|
2006 |
June |
Jason Giambi |
11 |
|
2005 |
May |
Bobby Abreu |
11 |
|
2004 |
Sept./Oct. |
Vladimir Guerrero |
11 |
|
2011 |
August |
10 |
|
|
2011 |
June |
Fielder/Konerko/Pena |
10 |
|
2011 |
March/April |
Braun/A. Soriano |
10 |
|
2010 |
June |
Prince Fielder |
10 |
|
2009 |
Sept./Oct. |
Fielder/Bautista/Cuddyer |
10 |
|
2009 |
July |
10 |
|
|
2007 |
August |
4 players |
10 |
|
2004 |
May |
Ken Griffey Jr. |
10 |
|
2004 |
March/April |
Barry Bonds |
10 |
|
2003 |
Sept./Oct. |
Soriano/Thome |
10 |
|
2003 |
May |
Pujols/A. Huff/E. Martinez |
10 |
|
2003 |
March/April |
10 |
|
|
2002 |
Sept./Oct. |
4 players |
10 |
|
2012 |
June |
Trevor Plouffe |
9 |
|
2011 |
July |
9 |
|
|
2009 |
March/April |
9 |
|
|
2005 |
March/April |
Alex Rodriguez |
9 |
Again, Plouffe’s current pace would put him right on top of the leader board for most homeriffic months of the last decade, this time including the Bonds division. Even the 9 homers Plouffe already has would be enough to lead baseball some months. If he hits 18, well, that would be freaking crazy. He’s not going to do that, but if he adds just a few more, he’s likely to lead baseball for June and be in pretty elite company.
And again, almost everyone’s an All Star-caliber player here. Garrent Jones and Ty Wigginton? Maybe not, but essentially everyone else.
By the way, the most homers ever in a month is Sammy Sosa’s 20 in June of 1998, but get this. He only had a .331 OBP that month and his wRC+ of 188 trailed 5 other players. Typically the biggest homer-hitter and the best wRC+ guy each month are 2 different people.
Anyway, something fun to watch over the rest of June. It will take a while to figure out what we really have in Plouffe, but it is streaks like this that make watching even a pretty bad baseball team a lot of fun.
Poll
Is Trevor Plouffe going to be generally awesome for the rest of his MLB career?
Yes! (39 votes)
No! (37 votes)
Ploooooouuuuuuuuuuufffffffffffffe! (162 votes)
238 total votes




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