This article proposes scenarios for the five worst teams to beat the odds and make the playoffs:

http://mlb.sbnation.com/2013/2/28/4037872/2013-playoff-predictions-odds-astros-parade-route

Apparently the Twins have a 1.5% chance of reaching the playoffs. I suppose that's fair. But are they really worse than the Marlins?

Call me biased, but I find the Twins' scenario much more convincing than the Marlins'.

I can imagine a rotation of Worley, Gibson, Diamond, Hendricks, and Harden being competitive, with Pelfrey and Correia backing up from the bullpen;

I can imagine a lineup centered on Mauer, Willingham and Morneau being solid, especially if Hicks, Plouffe, and/or Parmelee blossom, and Doumit and Carroll keep pace with their pasts;

I can't really imagine the middle infield thriving as currently constructed, but they could certainly trade for somebody in July, as they've done before;

Do I predict this all falling into place, this year? Of course not. But it's a hell of a lot more likely than the Marlins doing it!

Isn't it?