If you've taken a look at the mock drafts from the last couple of days, you'll notice that certain things appear to be looking more and more likely. The first thing is that Dansby Swanson is probably going to go first overall to the Diamondbacks. The second thing is that the other two shortstops vying for second place appear to have settled into their slots, with Alex Bregman pegged as the second pick in nine of the 11 mocks since Tuesday and Brendan Rodgers sitting at number three for Colorado.
Whether those scenarios play out remains to be seen, but it does look less and less likely that Bregman will fall to Minnesota. With that in mind I've separated the pool of prospects that the Twins are most likely to pick from into two categories: the primaries and the others.
Kolby Allard, LHP
School: San Clemente High School, CA
Allard missed most of 2015 but is considered by many to be the best left-handed pitcher - and the best prep pitcher - available in the draft. His fastball can approach the mid-90s with movement, and the curve has potential to be a very, very good pitch. The command looks good. There are injury issues here, but if a team's medical evaluation gives them the green light they'll be selecting a left-handed pitcher with plus command and potential for two plus pitches.
Daz Cameron, OF
School: Eagles Landing High School, GA
Cameron's biggest issue is that everyone knows he wants to sign over-slot, which only seems more likely to see him make less money because he'll tumble down the boards. All of his tools project to be at least above average, and many scouts see All-Star potential in him. With no obvious weaknesses but no truly incredible tools, Cameron could play anywhere in the outfield and has the potential to be an above average all-around player.
Carson Fulmer, RHP
Fulmer's teammate Dansby Swanson won't fall to the Twins, but Fulmer is loved by the scouts for his upside. His fastball sits in the mid-90s and the "power curve" looks like a strikeout pitch already, and he commands it well. Will he reign in the mechanics enough to be a starter? He's very high-effort and there's a lot to iron out on that front.
Jon Harris, RHP
School: Missouri State
Harris has fallen out of the top ten in many of the recent mock drafts, but his skill set as a relatively polished collegiate arm will make him a solid pick. His fastball sits low to mid-90s and a hard slider that could be a strikeout pitch; both pitches could be above average offerings. Harris' biggest issue is his command, which could be helped by addressing some mechanical issues.
Tyler Jay, LHP
A teammate of Dillon Tate with Team USA in 2014, Jay didn't allow a run. He possesses a mid-90s fastball and a power curve that he can locate with precision and throw in any count. Whether or not teams are willing to draft him as high as six after spending the year in the bullpen instead of the rotation is the big question here. But there's no doubt that, as a lefty, Jay has plus command and is looking at at least two plus pitches.
Dillon Tate, RHP
School: UC Santa Barbara
Tate's performance with Team USA last summer catapulted him from a top-three-rounds talent to a first-round talent, and he's secured that spot with his performance in 2015. He's widely considered to be the best pitcher in the draft with a mid-90s fastball and a slider that could be his best pitch. If Tate goes to Minnesota, it's worth being excited.
Kyle Tucker, OF
School: Plan High School, FL
Only the second prep target on this list so far, scouts like Tucker's tools and swing that looks like it will naturally generate home runs power. He projects as a corner outfielder with a decent arm and the ability to produce on offense. He seems to be in competition with Cameron for the best outfielder in the draft, although Tucker doesn't come with signability issues.
Alex Bregman, SS
As a good all-around athlete, Bregman grades out as average to slightly above average in every tool. His defensive reputation makes it sounds like he'd shift to second base eventually, but he still projects as an above average second baseman who could be one of the league's best during his prime. In the last couple of days I've become less hopeful that Bregman will fall to the Twins at six, but if he does it would surprise me if they didn't snap him up.
Garrett Whitley, OF
School: Niskayuna High School, NY
Whitley has come and gone as a member of the potential Top 10 Pick club. All of his tools project to be above average, as much as can be said of a high school prospect, with his running speed as his most impressive tool. Is his arm strong enough to be a center fielder? Keith Law thinks so. Whitley's hitting tools make him a fascinating project, and some scouts wonder about the level of competition he faced. If the Twins draft Whitley, they're going on tools.
Who would you like to see the Twins take?