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BH-Baseball’s Offseason Plan


What kind of plan is this?

Going for it in 2022, without breaking stride with the usual payroll limitations. Key to improvement is signing some young Twins long term, and adding a bunch of free agents, (some that had an off-year but are still young or talented enough to help a team win). Re-signing Eddie Rosario, not because of post-season performance, but because he’s a reliable left-handed bat.

What payroll limit did you set?

135 million

Trades

As the Mets have shown interest in Byron Buxton + Josh Donaldson, I’m dealing Buxton, Taylor Rogers, and Donaldson to the Mets in a package deal, with the Twins paying 5MM for each year of Donaldson’s remaining two years and the Mets taking on the rest + the buyout year option. Twins will acquire starter SP Tylor Megill, SP/RP Corey Oswalt, OF Wagner Lagrange, IF Luis Guillorme, and two or three A /AA prospects.

2022 Guaranteed Contracts

Luis Arraez signs long-term $4.0MM (increasing over 8 years to $15.0MM)

Mitch Garver signs long-term $4.5MM (increasing over 6 years to $11.0MM)

John Gant signs long-term $4.8MM (increasing over 6 years to $13.0MM)

Miguel Sanó — $10.583MM

Max Kepler — $6.75MM

Jorge Polanco — $5.0MM

Kenta Maeda — $3.125MM

Randy Dobnak — $800K

(traded Donaldson, Twins pay 5M) – $5.0MM

Total Payroll = $44.6MM

2022 Contract Options

Twins keep Alex Colomé, expect him in pre-2021 form next year— $5.5MM

Total Payroll = $5.5MM

Arbitration-eligible

The Twins sign all arb players except for Buxton (traded), Cave, + Refsnyder.

Tyler Duffey – $3.7MM

Caleb Thielbar – $1.2MM

Willians Astudillo – $1.2MM

Juan Minaya – $1.1MM

Danny Coulombe – $800K

Total Payroll = $8.0MM

Free Agents

Michael Pineda (SP) – $10.0MM (1 yr, + mutual option 2023)

Jon Gray (SP) – $12.0MM (2 yrs + team options 2024+2025)

Zach Davies (SP) – $6.2MM (2 yrs, + team option 2024)

Michael Wacha (SP) – $2.8MM (+ team options 2024+2025)

A.J. Cole (RP) – $2.8MM (2 yrs, + team options 2024)

Mychal Givens (RP) – $5.2MM (2 yrs, + team option 2024)

Brad Hand (RP) – $2.0MM (+ team option 2023)

Michael Lorenzen (P/OF) – $2.6MM (+ team option 2023)

Eddie Rosario (OF) $12.0MM (3 yrs + team options 2025+2026)

Matt Duffy (IF) – $4.4MM (2 yrs + team option 2024)

Delino DeShields Jr. (OF) – $2.0MM (+ team options 2023+2024)

Total Payroll = $63.0MM

Players received in trade + their salaries

Tylor Megill – $800K

Corey Oswalt – $1.6MM

Luis Guillorme – $1.4MM

Wagner Lagrange – $600K

Total Payroll = $4.4MM

Other players + their salaries

Ryan Jeffers – $1.0 MM

Trevor Larnach – $800K

Brent Rooker – $800K

Alex Kirilloff – $800K

Joe Ryan – $800K

Nick Gordon – $800K

Total Payroll = $4.0MM

Total Twins 2022 Team Payroll = 129.5MM

Lineup:

C: Mitch Garver

1B: Miguel Sano

2B: Luis Arraez

3B: Nick Gordon

SS: Jorge Polanco

LF: Eddie Rosario

CF: Max Kepler

RF: Trevor Larnach

DH: Alex Kirilloff / Brent Rooker

BN: Willians Astudillo / Luis Guillorme

BN: Ryan Jeffers

BN: Delino DeShields Jr.

BN: Wagner Lagrange / Matt Duffy

Pitching Staff:

SP1: Jon Gray

SP2: Michael Pineda

SP3: John Gant

SP4: Zach Davies

SP5: Joe Ryan

RP: Michael Wacha / Bailey Ober / Griffin Jax / Tyler Megill / Corey Oswalt

RP: Michael Wacha / Bailey Ober / Griffin Jax / Tyler Megill / Corey Oswalt

RP: Michael Wacha / Bailey Ober / Griffin Jax / Tyler Megill / Corey Oswalt

RP: A.J. Cole / Randy Dobnak

RP: Mychel Givens / Alex Colomé

RP: Brad Hand / Danny Coulombe

RP: Tyler Duffy

RP: Caleb Thielbar

Plan Summary:

Trading Buxton is a difficult decision, but he showed no interest in an extension earlier this year, and with one year of service time left, I’d deal him to the Mets who have been interested in both him and Donaldson before (as well as Taylor Rogers to acquire younger and longer team-controlled pitchers and hitters).

Signing some of the Twins talented young players like Arraez + Garver + Gant to long-term contracts shows the Twins are planning for the future, signing them into their first few free agent years. The players earn more now and saves the team money later.

The goal is to sign a ton of talented and experienced, yet not expensive free agents, especially starting pitching. For the fifth starter, I listed five competing for the spot, with the bullpen using three of the four other spots and one likely to AAA. As we know from recent years, it’s impossible to have too much starting pitching. Use the Twins AAA talent for fill-ins and injuries, which cannot possibly be anywhere near the level of 2021. I’ve listed a couple players together as reserves, in case one doesn’t pan out because there are always 2 or 3 that falter or get injured in spring training. If too many signed, they can go to St. Paul til needed, or possibly selected off waivers by another team.