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Analysis

Numbers and analysis on the Minnesota Twins to wet your whistle.

Three True Outcomes vs. Just Putting the Ball in Play

Cleveland and Minnesota illustrate the limits of one size fit all offenses and the metrics we use to characterize them

Should Max Kepler be playing some CF?

Musings on maximizing the roster

Off-Day Observations: Not Winning the Close Ones

Digging into the Twins’ expected record and challenges in close games, plus an update on free bases allowed, and an interesting comp for a young player!

Griffin Jax’s Results Have Not Matched His Process

The high-leverage reliever’s top-line numbers are obscuring his subtle improvements

It may be time to re-think Kenta Maeda’s role on the pitching staff

He wants to remain a starter—but is that realistic at this point?

Diving Into the Twins’ Futility with the Bases Loaded

Clutch hitting is not a skill, but the Twins have been terrible with the bases loaded for a long time. Why?

Off-Day Observations: Correa Will Be Fine

Plus José Miranda’s slow start, Joe Ryan’s splitter, and White Sox schadenfreude. Enjoy!

Off-Day Observations: Pitching, Defense, and Small Ball

Plus, the starters go streaking, the catchers’ blocking, and perfect extra-inning bunts! Enjoy!

Off-Day Observations: The First Two Series

Mini dives into a few things I have noticed in the Twins’ 4-2 start

Why Griffin Jax is Adding a Cutter

A weapon that tunnels with his wipe-out slider in the zone should help his fastball

It Is Hard to Hit MLB Pitching

Kenta Maeda’s PitchCom adventure is a reminder of how hard it is to hit a baseball, even when you know what pitch is coming

On the Relationship of Pitch Tempo and Defense

You’ll hear that a quicker pace will help defenders stay engaged and perform better. Is that really true?

Examining the Twins’ Extra-Innings Strategy

Manfredball is here to stay. What’s the best way to play it?

A Simple Approach Change That Should Pay Dividends in 2023

Their best relievers must stop throwing right-on-right offspeed pitches

Joe Ryan Tinkered With His Slider

Rookie seasons can hinge on making adjustments. Ryan might have found a slider that works last September.

There’s No Such Thing as Enough Pitching

Making Sense of the Twins’ Reported Interest in Back-End Starters

Christian Vázquez is an Investment in the Pitching Staff

The veteran backstop should bring winning experience, leadership, and pitcher-friendly skills that fit Minnesota’s staff very well

How Fast Can They Throw?

Jhoan Duran and his contemporaries push the boundaries of pitch velocity. Is there an upper limit to what they can do?

Making Sense of the Case for Emilio Pagán

"Having a vision for what you want is not enough. Vision without execution is hallucination." – Thomas Edison

Was the version of Jorge López the Twins acquired a mirage? 

The Twins bought high on a breakout and then saw it turn into a lemon. How can López get right for 2023?

They Call ‘Em Like They See ‘Em

Calling balls and strikes is an impossible task that is only getting more difficult. Despite that, the Umpires are getting better. But, automated help will come anyways.

Jovani Moran Made Some Important Adjustments

More strikes, better tunneling, and an improved fastball have brightened Moran’s future outlook

Keep Kep?

What should the Twins do with Max Kepler?

Celebrating Luis Arráez, AL Batting Champion

Slicing And Dicing All The Data For All The Hits

Six For Sunday: It’s the Little Things Edition

Updates, Analyses, Links, and more for your enjoyment

We Need to Talk About Clutch Hitting

Coming through in the clutch is (almost certainly) not a repeatable skill, but the Twins’ season might depend on it improving

Breaking Down the Twins Trade Deadline with Baseball Trade Values

A Q&A with Joshua Iversen of Baseball Trade Values

Six for Friday: First Base Turnaround Edition

Updates, Analyses, Links, and more for your enjoyment

Twins June Awards

Small sample sizes are back to tell you why Nick Gordon is the best utility man to ever exist.

Thinking About Bullpen Blowup Risk

What’s the probability a Twins reliever will wreck a game? Should the starters work deeper instead?

Let’s Make a Deal: Relief Pitcher Edition

The Twins to revamp the bullpen. Enough said.

Let’s Make a Deal: Starting Pitcher Edition

The Twins likely need starting pitching help if they are going win the AL Central. Which option should the Twins go after?